Bundesliga Gameweek 15 Sat, Dec 20 2025 · 14:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.77 – 2.18
  • A. Sambi Lokonga 19’
  • 26’ H. Larsson
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt share the points

Eintracht Frankfurt entered as narrow favourites, yet Hamburger SV led 1–0 after 19 minutes through a Lokonga goal. But Larsson scored to rescue a draw for Eintracht Frankfurt. Eintracht Frankfurt finished with the higher xG (2.18 vs 0.77). On the chances created, Eintracht Frankfurt deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Hamburger SV28%
Draw ✓25%
Eintracht Frankfurt47%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
1
Model 1.24 · xG 0.77
Eintracht Frankfurt goals
1
Model 1.66 · xG 2.18
Total goals
2
Model 2.90 · xG 2.95
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. Sambi LokongaHamburger SV · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeTobias Stieler
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 14th · Eintracht Frankfurt 7th

Timeline

  1. A. Sambi Lokonga 1–0
    19’
  2. H. Larsson 1–1Assist N. Brown
    26’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ O. HøjlundFor J. Bahoya
    46’
  5. ⇄ B. JattaFor W. Mikelbrencis
    61’
  6. ⇄ Aboubaka SoumahoroFor Daniel Elfadli
    61’
  7. ⇄ Fábio VieiraFor F. Balde
    69’
  8. ⇄ E. BaumFor R. Kristensen
    71’
  9. ⇄ C. UzunFor H. Larsson
    71’
  10. VAR Fábio VieiraGoal Disallowed - offside
    80’
  11. ⇄ N. NgankamFor A. Knauff
    83’
  12. ⇄ A. ButaFor E. Baum
    85’
  13. ⇄ I. PheraiFor R. Königsdörffer
    87’
  14. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor Rayan Philippe
    87’
  15. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Hamburger SV9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
Eintracht Frankfurt9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Hamburger SVEintracht Frankfurt
41% Possession 59%
0.77 Expected goals (xG) 2.18
0.54 Expected points (xPts) 2.28
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 2
372 Passes 555
78% Pass accuracy 85%
5 Corners 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 6.85

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 4-3-3

17.2 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
287.0 M. Muheim 86.7 Daniel Elfadli ↓61’ 446.7 L. Vušković 26.2 W. Mikelbrencis ↓61’
68.5★ A. Sambi Lokonga 216.9 N. Remberg 247.2 N. Capaldo
457.3 F. Balde ↓69’ 116.3 R. Königsdörffer ↓87’ 146.2 Rayan Philippe ↓87’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)7.2
  • 28M. Muheim7.0
  • 8Daniel Elfadli↓61’6.7
  • 44L. Vušković6.7
  • 2W. Mikelbrencis↓61’6.2
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga ★8.5
  • 21N. Remberg6.9
  • 24N. Capaldo7.2
  • 45F. Balde↓69’7.3
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↓87’6.3
  • 14Rayan Philippe↓87’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 22Aboubaka Soumahoro↑61’6.5
  • 18B. Jatta↑61’7.3
  • 20Fábio Vieira↑69’6.3
  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↑87’6.2
  • 10I. Pherai↑87’6.3

Unused: D. Peretz, Guilherme Ramos, J. Meffert, E. Sahiti

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4-2-1

236.5 M. Zetterer(G)
56.9 A. Amenda 47.5 R. Koch 346.3 P. Collins
218.3 N. Brown A 186.3 M. Dahoud 167.9 H. Larsson ↓71’ 136.7 R. Kristensen ↓71’
196.9 J. Bahoya ↓46’ 206.2 R. Doan
76.3 A. Knauff ↓83’
  • 23M. Zetterer (G)6.5
  • 5A. Amenda6.9
  • 4R. Koch7.5
  • 34P. Collins6.3
  • 21N. BrownA8.3
  • 18M. Dahoud6.3
  • 16H. Larsson↓71’7.9
  • 13R. Kristensen↓71’6.7
  • 19J. Bahoya↓46’6.9
  • 20R. Doan6.2
  • 7A. Knauff↓83’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 6O. Højlund↑46’6.7
  • 2E. Baum6.5
  • 42C. Uzun↑71’6.7
  • 24A. Buta↑85’6.3
  • 32N. Ngankam↑83’6.2

Unused: Kauã Santos, Fousseny Doumbia, Marvin Dills, Alexander Staff

Player stats

Top rated
A. Sambi LokongaHamburger SV8.5
2nd
N. BrownEintracht Frankfurt8.3
3rd
H. LarssonEintracht Frankfurt7.9

Hamburger SV

Eintracht Frankfurt

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.