Bundesliga Gameweek 12 Sun, Nov 30 2025 · 14:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.57 – 0.65
VfB Stuttgart
  • R. Glatzel 17’
  • Fábio Vieira 90+4’
  • Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit 81’
  • 54’ D. Undav
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Vieira’s late goal settles it for Hamburger SV

VfB Stuttgart entered as favourites, but Hamburger SV won 2–1 through goals from Glatzel and Vieira. VfB Stuttgart replied through a Undav goal. Hamburger SV played with ten men from the 81st minute after Røssing-Lelesiit was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 0.57 and 0.65. On the chances created, VfB Stuttgart deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Hamburger SV ✓23%
Draw24%
VfB Stuttgart53%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
2
Model 1.17 · xG 0.57
VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 1.87 · xG 0.65
Total goals
3
Model 3.04 · xG 1.22
Score 2–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. MuheimHamburger SV
7.7
  • RefereeSören Storks
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 14th · VfB Stuttgart 6th

Timeline

  1. R. Glatzel 1–0Assist Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
    17’
  2. P. StenzelYellow card · Foul
    23’
  3. ⇄ R. KönigsdörfferFor R. Glatzel
    34’
  4. ⇄ D. UndavFor C. Führich
    40’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. ⇄ J. LewelingFor P. Stenzel
    46’
  7. D. Undav 1–1
    54’
  8. ⇄ A. StillerFor N. Nartey
    57’
  9. Alexander Røssing-LelesiitYellow card · Roughing
    65’
  10. ⇄ Fábio VieiraFor A. Sambi Lokonga
    67’
  11. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor W. Mikelbrencis
    67’
  12. ⇄ F. BaldeFor Rayan Philippe
    68’
  13. Chema AndrésYellow card · Tripping
    74’
  14. Alexander Røssing-LelesiitSecond yellow · Roughing
    81’
  15. D. UndavYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    81’
  16. J. VagnomanYellow card · Foul
    87’
  17. ⇄ M. MittelstädtFor R. Hendriks
    88’
  18. ⇄ L. JovanovićFor B. Bouanani
    88’
  19. ⇄ Guilherme RamosFor R. Königsdörffer
    89’
  20. Fábio Vieira 2–1Assist F. Balde
    90+4’
  21. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Hamburger SV9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
VfB Stuttgart14 shots · 7 in box, 7 outside
Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
34% Possession 66%
0.57 Expected goals (xG) 0.65
1.22 Expected points (xPts) 1.37
9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 7
278 Passes 541
73% Pass accuracy 87%
4 Corners 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
16 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
6.73 Team rating 6.62

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-4-3

15.9 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
256.5 J. Torunarigha 446.7 L. Vušković 246.7 N. Capaldo
287.7★ M. Muheim 217.2 N. Remberg 66.7 A. Sambi Lokonga ↓67’ 26.6 W. Mikelbrencis ↓67’
387.2 Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit A 97.5 R. Glatzel ↓34’ 146.2 Rayan Philippe ↓68’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)5.9
  • 25J. Torunarigha6.5
  • 44L. Vušković6.7
  • 24N. Capaldo6.7
  • 28M. Muheim ★7.7
  • 21N. Remberg7.2
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga↓67’6.7
  • 2W. Mikelbrencis↓67’6.6
  • 38Alexander Røssing-LelesiitA7.2
  • 9R. Glatzel↓34’7.5
  • 14Rayan Philippe↓68’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 11R. Königsdörffer6.0
  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↑67’6.6
  • 20Fábio Vieira↑67’6.5
  • 45F. BaldeA↑68’6.7
  • 13Guilherme Ramos↑89’

Unused: D. Peretz, Aboubaka Soumahoro, Jean-Luc Dompe, E. Sahiti

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1

336.3 A. Nübel(G)
37.3 R. Hendriks ↓88’ 246.9 J. Chabot 27.0 A. Al Dakhil
156.7 P. Stenzel ↓46’ 286.3 N. Nartey ↓57’ 306.3 Chema Andrés 46.3 J. Vagnoman
106.2 C. Führich ↓40’ 116.2 B. El Khannouss
276.9 B. Bouanani ↓88’
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.3
  • 3R. Hendriks↓88’7.3
  • 24J. Chabot6.9
  • 2A. Al Dakhil7.0
  • 15P. Stenzel↓46’6.7
  • 28N. Nartey↓57’6.3
  • 30Chema Andrés6.3
  • 4J. Vagnoman6.3
  • 10C. Führich↓40’6.2
  • 11B. El Khannouss6.2
  • 27B. Bouanani↓88’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 26D. Undav↑40’6.6
  • 18J. Leweling↑46’6.9
  • 6A. Stiller↑57’6.7
  • 7M. Mittelstädt↑88’
  • 45L. Jovanović↑88’

Unused: F. Bredlow, Finn Jeltsch, A. Karazor, L. Assignon

Player stats

Top rated
M. MuheimHamburger SV7.7
2nd
R. GlatzelHamburger SV7.5
3rd
R. HendriksVfB Stuttgart7.3

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Heuer Fernandes G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 58% 55 0 0 0/0 0/1 5.9
J. Torunarigha D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 30 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
L. Vušković D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 77% 30 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
N. Capaldo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 29 5 4 0/2 1/0 6.7
M. Muheim D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 48% 23 3 2 1/1 1/1 7.7
N. Remberg M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 31 4 1 0/0 2/2 7.2
A. Sambi Lokonga M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 14 0 2 0/0 0/1 6.7
W. Mikelbrencis D 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 15 3 1 0/1 2/1 6.6
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit F 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 71% 14 2 1 1/2 3/4 7.2
R. Glatzel F 34 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.5
Rayan Philippe F 68 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 0/2 3/0 6.2
R. Königsdörffer F 55 0 0 2 (0) 0 82% 11 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.0
G. Gocholeishvili D 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
Fábio Vieira M 23 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 7 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
F. Balde 22 0 1 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.7
Guilherme Ramos D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 86% 21 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Hendriks D 88 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 37 4 0 0/0 0/2 7.3
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 90 0 0 0/0 2/2 6.9
A. Al Dakhil D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 72 6 2 0/1 0/0 7.0
P. Stenzel D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 26 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.7
N. Nartey M 57 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 31 0 1 0/1 2/1 6.3
Chema Andrés M 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 92% 59 1 2 0/0 4/0 6.3
J. Vagnoman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 25 2 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
C. Führich M 40 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 23 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
B. El Khannouss M 90 0 0 1 (0) 4 74% 62 0 2 1/2 1/0 6.2
B. Bouanani M 88 0 0 2 (0) 1 71% 42 0 0 1/2 0/3 6.9
D. Undav F 50 1 0 3 (1) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
J. Leweling F 44 0 0 2 (1) 0 73% 15 1 1 0/2 0/3 6.9
A. Stiller M 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 1 0 1/3 0/0 6.7
M. Mittelstädt D 2 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
L. Jovanović F 2 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.