Bundesliga Gameweek 6 Sat, Oct 17 2026 · 14:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SV
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.46 – 1.73
VfB Stuttgart
  • M. Muheim 88’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Muheim’s late goal settles it for Hamburger SV

VfB Stuttgart entered as favourites, but Hamburger SV won 1–0 through a Muheim goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.46 and 1.73. On the chances created, VfB Stuttgart deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Hamburger SV ✓24%
Draw22%
VfB Stuttgart54%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
1
Model 1.37 · xG 1.46
VfB Stuttgart goals
0
Model 2.12 · xG 1.73
Total goals
1
Model 3.48 · xG 3.19
Score 1–0
4%
Most likely 1–2 (9%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 68%
Both scored
No
Model 66%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. MuheimHamburger SV · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeRobert Hartmann
  • CoachesM. Polzin · S. Hoeneb
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 13th · VfB Stuttgart 12th
  • Weather at kick-off14°C · Overcast · wind 17 km/h

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. W. OmariYellow card · Foul
    54’
  3. ⇄ Otto StangeFor Y. Poulsen
    61’
  4. ⇄ C. FührichFor B. El Khannouss
    67’
  5. ⇄ G. PrömelFor A. Karazor
    67’
  6. ⇄ L. SauerFor J. Leweling
    77’
  7. ⇄ D. PejčinovićFor E. Demirović
    77’
  8. ⇄ Z. El OuahdiFor Louis Lemke
    78’
  9. ⇄ T. MoffiFor Fábio Vieira
    78’
  10. ⇄ A. GrønbækFor M. Adeline
    78’
  11. N. CapaldoYellow card · Foul
    82’
  12. ⇄ K. AmoakoFor B. Nadir
    84’
  13. Otto StangeYellow card · Foul
    85’
  14. M. Muheim 1–0Assist Z. El Ouahdi
    88’
  15. ⇄ L. AssignonFor R. Hendriks
    89’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Hamburger SV14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
VfB Stuttgart24 shots · 15 in box, 9 outside
Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
34% Possession 66%
1.46 Expected goals (xG) 1.73
1.21 Expected points (xPts) 1.56
14 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 5
9 Shots off target 12
2 Blocked shots 7
8 Shots inside the box 15
6 Shots outside the box 9
314 Passes 626
76% Pass accuracy 92%
5 Corners 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.04 Team rating 6.88

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-5-2

17.4 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
177.5 W. Omari 337.7 S. Bornauw 246.4 N. Capaldo
376.6 Louis Lemke ↓78’ 288.2★ M. Muheim 47.2 B. Nadir ↓84’ 57.1 M. Adeline ↓78’ 36.7 D. Møller Wolfe
156.3 Y. Poulsen ↓61’ 206.4 Fábio Vieira ↓78’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)7.4
  • 17W. Omari7.5
  • 33S. Bornauw7.7
  • 24N. Capaldo6.4
  • 37Louis Lemke↓78’6.6
  • 28M. Muheim ★8.2
  • 4B. Nadir↓84’7.2
  • 5M. Adeline↓78’7.1
  • 3D. Møller Wolfe6.7
  • 15Y. Poulsen↓61’6.3
  • 20Fábio Vieira↓78’6.4

Substitutes used

  • 22K. Amoako↑84’6.8
  • 7Z. El OuahdiA↑78’7.0
  • 11A. Grønbæk↑78’6.8
  • 9T. Moffi↑78’6.5
  • 19Otto Stange↑61’6.2

Unused: S. Nandja, Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit, J. Torunarigha, S. Tangvik

Coach: M. Polzin

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

416.7 D. Seimen(G)
37.5 R. Hendriks ↓89’ 247.4 J. Chabot 297.6 Finn Jeltsch 47.2 J. Vagnoman
67.2 A. Stiller 166.8 A. Karazor ↓67’
186.6 J. Leweling ↓77’ 266.1 D. Undav 117.1 B. El Khannouss ↓67’
95.5 E. Demirović ↓77’
  • 41D. Seimen (G)6.7
  • 3R. Hendriks↓89’7.5
  • 24J. Chabot7.4
  • 29Finn Jeltsch7.6
  • 4J. Vagnoman7.2
  • 6A. Stiller7.2
  • 16A. Karazor↓67’6.8
  • 18J. Leweling↓77’6.6
  • 26D. Undav6.1
  • 11B. El Khannouss↓67’7.1
  • 9E. Demirović↓77’5.5

Substitutes used

  • 22L. Assignon↑89’6.4
  • 10C. Führich↑67’7.1
  • 17D. Pejčinović↑77’6.3
  • 21G. Prömel↑67’6.7
  • 44L. Sauer↑77’6.6

Unused: F. Bredlow, L. Jaquez, Yanik Spalt, L. Stergiou

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Player stats

Top rated
M. MuheimHamburger SV8.2
2nd
S. BornauwHamburger SV7.7
3rd
Finn JeltschVfB Stuttgart7.6

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Heuer Fernandes G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 54% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.4
W. Omari D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 96% 50 2 2 0/0 1/1 7.5
S. Bornauw D 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 82% 22 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.7
N. Capaldo M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 58% 31 1 2 1/1 2/0 6.4
Louis Lemke D 78 0 0 1 (0) 0 53% 17 2 1 1/1 0/0 6.6
M. Muheim D 90 1 0 1 (1) 4 79% 28 1 0 0/1 0/1 8.2
B. Nadir M 84 0 0 2 (0) 1 97% 32 4 0 2/3 0/0 7.2
M. Adeline M 78 0 0 0 (0) 2 85% 33 5 1 2/2 2/1 7.1
D. Møller Wolfe D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 65% 23 1 0 1/1 2/0 6.7
Y. Poulsen F 61 0 0 3 (0) 0 67% 9 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Fábio Vieira M 78 0 0 3 (1) 1 77% 13 0 0 0/1 2/2 6.4
K. Amoako M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.8
Z. El Ouahdi D 12 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
A. Grønbæk M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.8
T. Moffi F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Otto Stange F 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.2

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Seimen G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 95% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
R. Hendriks D 89 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 71 1 1 0/0 0/1 7.5
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 83 2 1 0/0 2/2 7.4
Finn Jeltsch D 90 0 0 3 (1) 1 93% 74 0 0 0/0 1/3 7.6
J. Vagnoman D 90 0 0 3 (1) 0 95% 60 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.2
A. Stiller M 90 0 0 2 (0) 2 94% 93 0 0 0/2 0/1 7.2
A. Karazor M 67 0 0 0 (0) 2 90% 52 2 3 0/0 2/0 6.8
J. Leweling F 77 0 0 0 (0) 3 86% 37 0 0 4/7 1/2 6.6
D. Undav F 90 0 0 7 (1) 0 80% 20 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.1
B. El Khannouss M 67 0 0 1 (0) 5 89% 46 2 0 2/3 0/1 7.1
E. Demirović F 77 0 0 4 (1) 0 75% 12 0 0 0/2 1/0 5.5
L. Assignon D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.4
C. Führich M 23 0 0 1 (1) 2 84% 19 0 0 3/3 0/1 7.1
D. Pejčinović F 13 0 0 3 (0) 1 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
G. Prömel M 23 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 19 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
L. Sauer F 13 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 8 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.