Bundesliga Gameweek 13 Sun, Dec 7 2025 · 14:30 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
3–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.37 – 0.73
  • A. Sambi Lokonga 63’
  • L. Vušković 75’
  • Y. Poulsen 84’
  • 45’ J. Stage
  • 78’ J. Njinmah
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hamburger SV come from behind to beat Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Stage goal. But Lokonga, Vušković and Poulsen scored to turn it around for Hamburger SV, who won 3–2. Hamburger SV finished with the higher xG (1.37 vs 0.73). On the chances created, Werder Bremen deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Hamburger SV ✓33%
Draw26%
Werder Bremen41%

Model vs reality

Hamburger SV goals
3
Model 1.36 · xG 1.37
Werder Bremen goals
2
Model 1.55 · xG 0.73
Total goals
5
Model 2.91 · xG 2.10
Score 3–2
3%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. Sambi LokongaHamburger SV · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeSascha Stegemann
  • VenueVolksparkstadion
  • Table before kick-offHamburger SV 15th · Werder Bremen 11th

Timeline

  1. J. StageYellow card · Roughing
    32’
  2. J. Stage 0–1
    45’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. L. VuškovićYellow card · Foul
    56’
  5. ⇄ M. MuheimFor Aboubaka Soumahoro
    59’
  6. ⇄ R. KönigsdörfferFor Rayan Philippe
    59’
  7. K. ToppYellow card · Elbowing
    62’
  8. A. Sambi Lokonga 1–1
    63’
  9. ⇄ J. NjinmahFor K. Topp
    68’
  10. M. GrüllYellow card · Foul
    69’
  11. M. FriedlYellow card · Elbowing
    74’
  12. L. Vušković 2–1Assist Fábio Vieira
    75’
  13. J. Njinmah 2–2Assist R. Schmid
    78’
  14. ⇄ V. BonifaceFor Cameron Puertas
    79’
  15. ⇄ Y. PoulsenFor Fábio Vieira
    82’
  16. ⇄ G. GocholeishviliFor B. Jatta
    82’
  17. Y. Poulsen 3–2Assist M. Muheim
    84’
  18. ⇄ S. MbangulaFor M. Grüll
    87’
  19. ⇄ F. BaldeFor Jean-Luc Dompe
    90+2’
  20. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Hamburger SV12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Werder Bremen10 shots · 3 in box, 7 outside
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
54% Possession 46%
1.37 Expected goals (xG) 0.73
1.84 Expected points (xPts) 0.88
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 7
455 Passes 381
88% Pass accuracy 82%
5 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.04 Team rating 6.49

Line-ups

Hamburger SV 3-4-3

16.3 D. Heuer Fernandes(G)
256.7 J. Torunarigha 447.5 L. Vušković 246.5 N. Capaldo
226.2 Aboubaka Soumahoro ↓59’ 217.2 N. Remberg 68.2★ A. Sambi Lokonga 187.3 B. Jatta ↓82’
77.6 Jean-Luc Dompe ↓90’ 146.3 Rayan Philippe ↓59’ 207.3 Fábio Vieira A↓82’
  • 1D. Heuer Fernandes (G)6.3
  • 25J. Torunarigha6.7
  • 44L. Vušković7.5
  • 24N. Capaldo6.5
  • 22Aboubaka Soumahoro↓59’6.2
  • 21N. Remberg7.2
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga ★8.2
  • 18B. Jatta↓82’7.3
  • 7Jean-Luc Dompe↓90’7.6
  • 14Rayan Philippe↓59’6.3
  • 20Fábio VieiraA↓82’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 28M. MuheimA↑59’6.9
  • 11R. Königsdörffer↑59’6.5
  • 16G. Gocholeishvili↑82’6.7
  • 15Y. Poulsen↑82’7.7
  • 45F. Balde↑90’

Unused: D. Peretz, Guilherme Ramos, W. Mikelbrencis, J. Meffert

Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1

306.3 M. Backhaus(G)
326.2 M. Friedl 316.2 Karim Coulibaly 56.5 A. Pieper 35.9 Y. Sugawara
67.6 J. Stage 145.9 S. Lynen
176.9 M. Grüll ↓87’ 206.9 R. Schmid A 186.3 Cameron Puertas ↓79’
96.3 K. Topp ↓68’
  • 30M. Backhaus (G)6.3
  • 32M. Friedl6.2
  • 31Karim Coulibaly6.2
  • 5A. Pieper6.5
  • 3Y. Sugawara5.9
  • 6J. Stage7.6
  • 14S. Lynen5.9
  • 17M. Grüll↓87’6.9
  • 20R. SchmidA6.9
  • 18Cameron Puertas↓79’6.3
  • 9K. Topp↓68’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Njinmah↑68’7.7
  • 7S. Mbangula↑87’
  • 44V. Boniface↑79’6.5

Unused: K. Hein, I. Schmidt, J. Malatini, S. Alvero, Patrice Čović, L. Bittencourt

Player stats

Top rated
A. Sambi LokongaHamburger SV8.2
2nd
J. NjinmahWerder Bremen7.7
3rd
Jean-Luc DompeHamburger SV7.6

Hamburger SV

Werder Bremen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.