Premier League Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 22 2026 · 12:30 The MKM Stadium, Hull
2–0 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.01 – 1.83
  • S. Ajayi 17’
  • N. Mendy 38’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hull City beat Manchester United

Manchester United entered as clear favourites, but Hull City won 2–0 through goals from Ajayi and Mendy. Hull City won despite the lower xG; Manchester United created the better chances (1.83 vs 1.01). On the chances created, Manchester United deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Hull City ✓13%
Draw18%
Manchester United69%

Model vs reality

Hull City goals
2
Model 0.85 · xG 1.01
Manchester United goals
0
Model 2.23 · xG 1.83
Total goals
2
Model 3.09 · xG 2.84
Score 2–0
2%
Most likely 0–2 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchK. TzolakisHull City
8.2
  • RefereeDarren England
  • CoachesSergej Jakirovic · Michael Carrick
  • VenueThe MKM Stadium
  • Weather at kick-off17°C · Overcast · wind 6 km/h

Timeline

  1. S. Ajayi 1–0
    17’
  2. P. DorguYellow card · Foul
    34’
  3. N. Mendy 2–0Assist R. Slater
    38’
  4. M. CrooksYellow card · Foul
    42’
  5. Half time · 2–0
  6. ⇄ M. RashfordFor P. Dorgu
    46’
  7. ⇄ P. McNairFor S. Ajayi
    64’
  8. ⇄ L. HerringtonFor N. Mendy
    64’
  9. ⇄ K. MainooFor Y. Tielemans
    67’
  10. ⇄ B. ŠeškoFor Andrey Santos
    67’
  11. ⇄ C. DramehFor L. Coyle
    70’
  12. ⇄ L. MillarFor E. Stroud
    71’
  13. ⇄ Diogo DalotFor N. Mazraoui
    80’
  14. ⇄ Shea LaceyFor Matheus Cunha
    80’
  15. ⇄ M. TargettFor R. Giles
    85’
  16. L. MillarYellow card · Simulation
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Hull City8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
Manchester United21 shots · 15 in box, 6 outside
Hull CityManchester United
28% Possession 72%
1.01 Expected goals (xG) 1.83
0.85 Expected points (xPts) 1.93
8 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 8
1 Blocked shots 8
5 Shots inside the box 15
3 Shots outside the box 6
257 Passes 669
70% Pass accuracy 88%
1 Corners 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.28 Team rating 6.51

Line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

198.2★ K. Tzolakis(G)
37.2 R. Giles ↓85’ 328.0 N. Mendy ↓64’ 157.7 J. Egan 67.7 S. Ajayi ↓64’ 27.2 L. Coyle ↓70’
217.0 E. Stroud ↓71’ 277.2 R. Slater A 257.2 M. Crooks 106.9 M. Belloumi
96.6 O. McBurnie
  • 19K. Tzolakis (G) ★8.2
  • 3R. Giles↓85’7.2
  • 32N. Mendy↓64’8.0
  • 15J. Egan7.7
  • 6S. Ajayi↓64’7.7
  • 2L. Coyle↓70’7.2
  • 21E. Stroud↓71’7.0
  • 27R. SlaterA7.2
  • 25M. Crooks7.2
  • 10M. Belloumi6.9
  • 9O. McBurnie6.6

Substitutes used

  • 17P. McNair↑64’6.6
  • 18C. Drameh↑70’6.6
  • 23M. Targett↑85’6.9
  • 22L. Herrington↑64’7.0
  • 7L. Millar↑71’6.7

Unused: D. Phillips, L. Gourna-Douath, K. Dowell, J. Hjertø-Dahl

Coach: Sergej Jakirovic

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

16.6 S. Lammens(G)
236.3 L. Shaw 266.2 A. Heaven 57.2 J. Maguire 36.2 N. Mazraoui ↓80’
177.2 Andrey Santos ↓67’ 186.6 Y. Tielemans ↓67’
135.5 P. Dorgu ↓46’ 87.3 Bruno Fernandes 196.2 B. Mbeumo
105.9 Matheus Cunha ↓80’
  • 1S. Lammens (G)6.6
  • 23L. Shaw6.3
  • 26A. Heaven6.2
  • 5J. Maguire7.2
  • 3N. Mazraoui↓80’6.2
  • 17Andrey Santos↓67’7.2
  • 18Y. Tielemans↓67’6.6
  • 13P. Dorgu↓46’5.5
  • 8Bruno Fernandes7.3
  • 19B. Mbeumo6.2
  • 10Matheus Cunha↓80’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 2Diogo Dalot↑80’6.9
  • 37K. Mainoo↑67’6.6
  • 9M. Rashford↑46’6.5
  • 30B. Šeško↑67’6.3
  • 31Shea Lacey↑80’6.3

Unused: K. Darlow, L. Martínez, L. Yoro, J. Zirkzee

Coach: Michael Carrick

Player stats

Top rated
K. TzolakisHull City8.2
2nd
N. MendyHull City8.0
3rd
J. EganHull City7.7

Hull City

Manchester United

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.