Serie A Gameweek 18 Sun, Jan 4 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
3–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 3.15 – 0.85
  • P. Zieliński 39’
  • L. Martínez 48’
  • M. Thuram 74’
  • 83’ S. Castro
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Inter beat Bologna

Inter entered as clear favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Zieliński, Martínez and Thuram. Bologna replied through a Castro goal. Inter finished with the higher xG (3.15 vs 0.85).

Inter ✓64%
Draw22%
Bologna14%

Model vs reality

Inter goals
3
Model 1.98 · xG 3.15
Bologna goals
1
Model 0.83 · xG 0.85
Total goals
4
Model 2.81 · xG 4.00
Score 3–1
6%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. ThuramInter · 1 goal
8.9
  • RefereeMarco Guida
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offInter 3rd · Bologna 7th

Timeline

  1. H. ÇalhanoğluYellow card · Roughing
    29’
  2. A. BastoniYellow card · Tripping
    30’
  3. P. Zieliński 1–0Assist L. Martínez
    39’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ T. PobegaFor N. Moro
    46’
  6. ⇄ M. VitíkFor J. Lucumí
    46’
  7. L. Martínez 2–0Assist H. Çalhanoğlu
    48’
  8. N. BarellaYellow card · Roughing
    62’
  9. ⇄ H. MkhitaryanFor N. Barella
    67’
  10. ⇄ P. SučićFor H. Çalhanoğlu
    67’
  11. ⇄ R. OrsoliniFor N. Cambiaghi
    68’
  12. ⇄ N. ZorteaFor E. Holm
    68’
  13. M. VitíkYellow card · Roughing
    72’
  14. M. Thuram 3–0Assist F. Dimarco
    74’
  15. ⇄ F. EspositoFor L. Martínez
    75’
  16. ⇄ Carlos AugustoFor A. Bastoni
    75’
  17. J. RoweYellow card · Tripping
    78’
  18. ⇄ R. FreulerFor J. Odgaard
    79’
  19. ⇄ M. LavelliFor M. Thuram
    83’
  20. S. Castro 3–1Assist C. Lykogiannis
    83’
  21. C. LykogiannisYellow card · Roughing
    89’
  22. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Inter19 shots · 15 in box, 4 outside
Bologna6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
InterBologna
58% Possession 42%
3.15 Expected goals (xG) 0.85
2.57 Expected points (xPts) 0.31
19 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 2
5 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
15 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 2
452 Passes 331
85% Pass accuracy 80%
7 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
19 Fouls 21
3 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.15 Team rating 6.70

Line-ups

Inter 3-5-2

16.5 Y. Sommer(G)
957.3 A. Bastoni ↓75’ 256.3 M. Akanji 316.2 Y. Bisseck
326.6 F. Dimarco A 77.7 P. Zieliński 207.6 H. Çalhanoğlu A↓67’ 237.0 N. Barella ↓67’ 117.0 L. de Lima
98.9★ M. Thuram ↓83’ 108.7 L. Martínez A↓75’
  • 1Y. Sommer (G)6.5
  • 95A. Bastoni↓75’7.3
  • 25M. Akanji6.3
  • 31Y. Bisseck6.2
  • 32F. DimarcoA6.6
  • 7P. Zieliński7.7
  • 20H. ÇalhanoğluA↓67’7.6
  • 23N. Barella↓67’7.0
  • 11L. de Lima7.0
  • 9M. Thuram ★↓83’8.9
  • 10L. MartínezA↓75’8.7

Substitutes used

  • 8P. Sučić↑67’6.5
  • 22H. Mkhitaryan↑67’6.5
  • 30Carlos Augusto↑75’6.2
  • 94F. Esposito↑75’6.7
  • 53M. Lavelli↑83’6.5

Unused: A. Taho, Josep Martínez, M. Cocchi, S. de Vrij, F. Acerbi, Simone Cinquegrano, D. Frattesi

Bologna 4-2-3-1

138.3 F. Ravaglia(G)
226.7 C. Lykogiannis A 266.0 J. Lucumí ↓46’ 146.2 T. Heggem 26.3 E. Holm ↓68’
196.2 L. Ferguson 66.7 N. Moro ↓46’
286.3 N. Cambiaghi ↓68’ 216.2 J. Odgaard ↓79’ 116.5 J. Rowe
98.2 S. Castro
  • 13F. Ravaglia (G)8.3
  • 22C. LykogiannisA6.7
  • 26J. Lucumí↓46’6.0
  • 14T. Heggem6.2
  • 2E. Holm↓68’6.3
  • 19L. Ferguson6.2
  • 6N. Moro↓46’6.7
  • 28N. Cambiaghi↓68’6.3
  • 21J. Odgaard↓79’6.2
  • 11J. Rowe6.5
  • 9S. Castro8.2

Substitutes used

  • 41M. Vitík↑46’5.9
  • 4T. Pobega↑46’6.7
  • 20N. Zortea↑68’6.5
  • 7R. Orsolini↑68’6.6
  • 8R. Freuler↑79’6.7

Unused: M. Pessina, Matteo Franceschelli, Juan Miranda, N. Casale, L. De Silvestri, G. Fabbian, B. Domínguez, I. Sulemana, T. Dallinga, C. Immobile

Player stats

Top rated
M. ThuramInter8.9
2nd
L. MartínezInter8.7
3rd
F. RavagliaBologna8.3

Inter

Bologna

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.