Inter vs Club Brugge KV – 13 Oct 2026

UEFA Champions League Matchday 2 Tue, Oct 13 · 20:00 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Inter 25th · 0 pts · 1 played L

3–4Full time

Club Brugge KV 24th · 0 pts · 1 played L

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Inter were slight favourites.

Inter were the stronger side on L90 Strength (84 vs 74). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Club Brugge KV. Club Brugge KV were without J. Ordoñez. Inter had 3.1 days of rest, Club Brugge KV 3.1 and had to travel 776 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel776 kmRest days3.1 · 3.1Matches / 14d1 · 1

Inter57%

Draw20%

Club Brugge KV24%

Expected goals 2.29 – 1.44

Inter53%

Draw24%

Club Brugge KV23%

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.04

Inter56%

Draw20%

Club Brugge KV24%

Expected goals 2.25 – 1.43

Inter48%

Draw21%

Club Brugge KV31%

Expected goals 2.04 – 1.62

Inter56%

Draw21%

Club Brugge KV24%

Expected goals 2.14 – 1.35

Over 2.5 72% Both score 69% Likeliest score 2–1

Pre-match forecast. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Milano)

17°CClear

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 3 km/h
Humidity 69%

RefereeRohit Saggi

Cards per match 4.9
Penalties per match 0.19
Matches 31

Team strength

Inter

Club Brugge KV

84 L90 StrengthIn forecast 74

83 Current StrengthIn forecast 75

91 AttackIn forecast 86

73 DefenceIn forecast 58

80 Form indexContext 82

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Inter

Attack−17%

Defense risk+54%

Club Brugge KV

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Inter

Club Brugge KV

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

2.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.60

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.70

2.27 xGVia Att/Def 2.44

0.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.44

+0.33 Goals minus xGContext +0.16

100% Scored inContext 100%

30% Clean sheetsContext 60%

19.70 ShotsContext 18.60

6.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.60

34% On target shareContext 36%

14.20 Shots in the boxContext 14.20

73% Box shareContext 75%

13% ConversionContext 14%

2.71 OffsidesContext 1.75

11.40 Shots allowedContext 14.40

4.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.90

2.60 BlocksContext 4.50

3.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

69% Save rateContext 77%

62% PossessionIn forecast 63%

599 PassesContext 594

541 Accurate passesContext 530

90% Pass accuracyContext 89%

7.10 Team ratingContext 7.31

8.70 FoulsContext 8.40

10.60 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Inter WLWDW

Rest3.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load8%Low

Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.2 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected

W10 OctH · Parma3–02.6 xPts
D19 SepA · AS Roma2–21.2 xPts
W14 SepH · Udinese5–32.4 xPts
L8 SepA · Real Madrid1–20.8 xPts
W5 SepH · Napoli3–22.0 xPts

Club Brugge KV WLWWW

Rest3.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel776 km210 km in 14d

Schedule load14%Low

Form 82 · 12 pts vs 7.8 for an average club · +2.2 vs expected

W10 OctA · RAAL La Louvière4–12.3 xPts
W20 SepH · Genk3–01.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Antwerp3–12.4 xPts
L8 SepH · Aston Villa2–31.5 xPts
W4 SepA · Lommel United1–01.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Inter	Club Brugge KV
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 8	Low · 14
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	3.1Serie A 2026-2027, 10 Oct	3.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 10 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	776 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	210 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 2	1 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	3.9	8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Inter Confirmed XI

3-5-2

1Josep Martínez(G)

95A. Bastoni 25M. Akanji 31Y. Bisseck

32F. Dimarco 7P. Zieliński 20H. Çalhanoğlu 23N. Barella 17A. Diouf

9M. Thuram 10L. Martínez

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Club Brugge KV Confirmed XI

4-5-1

1Y. Sommer(G)

65J. Seys 44B. Mechele 58J. Spileers 64K. Sabbe

11J. Virgili 20H. Vanaken 8F. Potts 10H. Vetlesen 9Carlos Forbs

7N. Tresoldi

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Inter Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.02 goals

Attack line −3.4% · Defence line −4.1% of weighted minutes

MID C. Jones Rotation 6.72 Att −3.4% Def −2.0%
DEF J. Stones Rotation 6.75 Def −2.1%

1 without recent minutes (no impact): A. Fiordilino

Club Brugge KV Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.04 goals

Attack line −0.0% · Defence line −9.1% of weighted minutes

DEF J. Ordoñez Starter 6.72 Def −9.1%

Total impact vs full squads

Inter+0.4 pp
Draw-0.2 pp
Club Brugge KV-0.2 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Inter · Home No home games yet this season.

Club Brugge KV · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Inter	Club Brugge KV	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	2.00
Conceded per game	2.00	3.00
Match goals	3.00	5.00	3.73
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	72%
Over 3.5	0%	100%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	69%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	1	1

	Inter	Club Brugge KV	Forecast
Scored per game	2.60	2.50
Conceded per game	1.40	0.80
Match goals	4.00	3.30	3.73
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	80%	80%	72%
Over 3.5	50%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	50%	69%
Clean sheets	30%	50%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Inter	Club Brugge KV	League
Corners
Corners won	11.00	4.00
Corners conceded	4.00	5.00
Match total	15.00	9.00	9.10
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	3.00	3.00
Opponent cards	1.00	3.00
Match total	4.00	6.00	3.75
Over 3.5	100% 1/1	100% 1/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	100% 1/1

	Inter	Club Brugge KV	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	7.50
Corners conceded	3.40	3.80
Match total	9.40	11.30	9.10
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	1.40	1.50
Opponent cards	1.60	2.00
Match total	3.00	3.50	3.75
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Rohit Saggi 31 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.55league 3.60

Red cards0.32league 0.15

Cards 5+58%league 35%

Fouls26.4league 23.2

Penalties0.19league 0.15

Home wins55%league 60%

Inter

No previous matches with this referee.

Club Brugge KV

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.