Serie A Gameweek 16 Wed, Jan 14 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.78 – 0.48
  • F. Esposito 78’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Esposito goal decides it for Inter

Inter entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Esposito goal. Inter finished with the higher xG (1.78 vs 0.48).

Inter ✓84%
Draw12%
Lecce4%

Model vs reality

Inter goals
1
Model 2.82 · xG 1.78
Lecce goals
0
Model 0.54 · xG 0.48
Total goals
1
Model 3.36 · xG 2.26
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 2–0 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 65%
Both scored
No
Model 39%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. ZielińskiInter
8.5
  • RefereeFabio Maresca
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offInter 1st · Lecce 17th

Timeline

  1. M. ThuramYellow card · Diving
    17’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ D. FrattesiFor N. Barella
    57’
  4. ⇄ F. EspositoFor A. Bonny
    57’
  5. ⇄ L. de LimaFor A. Diouf
    57’
  6. Danilo VeigaYellow card
    63’
  7. ⇄ Tete MorenteFor R. Sottil
    69’
  8. ⇄ M. KabaFor O. Gandelman
    69’
  9. ⇄ L. MartínezFor H. Mkhitaryan
    72’
  10. F. Esposito 1–0
    78’
  11. ⇄ K. N’DriFor S. Pierotti
    82’
  12. ⇄ Álex SalaFor Y. Maleh
    86’
  13. ⇄ P. SučićFor M. Thuram
    87’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Inter21 shots · 13 in box, 8 outside
Lecce10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
InterLecce
68% Possession 32%
1.78 Expected goals (xG) 0.48
2.29 Expected points (xPts) 0.49
21 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
9 Shots off target 2
5 Blocked shots 7
13 Shots inside the box 6
8 Shots outside the box 4
512 Passes 251
85% Pass accuracy 63%
11 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.11 Team rating 6.60

Line-ups

Inter 3-5-2

16.6 Y. Sommer(G)
957.6 A. Bastoni 157.9 F. Acerbi 257.3 M. Akanji
307.5 Carlos Augusto 227.0 H. Mkhitaryan ↓72’ 78.5★ P. Zieliński 236.3 N. Barella ↓57’ 176.3 A. Diouf ↓57’
96.5 M. Thuram ↓87’ 146.2 A. Bonny ↓57’
  • 1Y. Sommer (G)6.6
  • 95A. Bastoni7.6
  • 15F. Acerbi7.9
  • 25M. Akanji7.3
  • 30Carlos Augusto7.5
  • 22H. Mkhitaryan↓72’7.0
  • 7P. Zieliński ★8.5
  • 23N. Barella↓57’6.3
  • 17A. Diouf↓57’6.3
  • 9M. Thuram↓87’6.5
  • 14A. Bonny↓57’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 94F. Esposito↑57’7.0
  • 11L. de Lima↑57’6.6
  • 16D. Frattesi↑57’6.6
  • 8P. Sučić↑87’
  • 10L. Martínez↑72’6.7

Unused: A. Calligaris, A. Taho, M. Cocchi, S. de Vrij, Y. Bisseck, F. Dimarco, Leonardo Bovo, M. Darmian, T. Berenbruch

Lecce 4-2-3-1

307.3 W. Falcone(G)
257.0 A. Gallo 446.3 Tiago Gabriel 56.9 J. Siebert 176.6 Danilo Veiga
936.6 Y. Maleh ↓86’ 296.9 L. Coulibaly
236.5 R. Sottil ↓69’ 166.2 O. Gandelman ↓69’ 505.9 S. Pierotti ↓82’
96.3 N. Štulić
  • 30W. Falcone (G)7.3
  • 25A. Gallo7.0
  • 44Tiago Gabriel6.3
  • 5J. Siebert6.9
  • 17Danilo Veiga6.6
  • 93Y. Maleh↓86’6.6
  • 29L. Coulibaly6.9
  • 23R. Sottil↓69’6.5
  • 16O. Gandelman↓69’6.2
  • 50S. Pierotti↓82’5.9
  • 9N. Štulić6.3

Substitutes used

  • 77M. Kaba↑69’6.3
  • 6Álex Sala↑86’
  • 11K. N’Dri↑82’6.7
  • 7Tete Morente↑69’6.3

Unused: J. Samooja, C. Früchtl, C. Ndaba, Owen Kouassi, G. Jean, M. Pérez, Olaf Gorter, Þ. Helgason, F. Marchwiński, Oumar Ngom

Player stats

Top rated
P. ZielińskiInter8.5
2nd
F. AcerbiInter7.9
3rd
A. BastoniInter7.6

Inter

Lecce

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.