UEFA Europa League Matchday 2 Thu, Oct 15 2026 · 20:00 Stadion Miejski, Białystok
3–1 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 1.61 – 0.99
  • K. Jóźwiak 13’
  • Rodrigo Conceição 38’
  • O. Sow 51’
  • 11’ Z. Banjaqui
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Jagiellonia come from behind to beat Ararat-Armenia

Jagiellonia entered as clear favourites, yet Ararat-Armenia led 1–0 after 11 minutes through a Banjaqui goal. But Jóźwiak, Conceição and Sow scored to turn it around for Jagiellonia, who won 3–1. Jagiellonia finished with the higher xG (1.61 vs 0.99). On the chances created, Ararat-Armenia deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Jagiellonia ✓73%
Draw16%
Ararat-Armenia12%

Model vs reality

Jagiellonia goals
3
Model 2.57 · xG 1.61
Ararat-Armenia goals
1
Model 0.94 · xG 0.99
Total goals
4
Model 3.51 · xG 2.60
Score 3–1
8%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 68%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRodrigo ConceiçãoJagiellonia · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeAnastasios Papapetrou
  • CoachesA. Siemieniec · —
  • VenueStadion Miejski
  • Table before kick-offJagiellonia 25th · Ararat-Armenia 32nd
  • Weather at kick-off10°C · Drizzle · wind 4 km/h · 0.2 mm rain

Timeline

  1. Z. Banjaqui 0–1Assist M. Carlier
    11’
  2. K. Jóźwiak 1–1
    13’
  3. ⇄ Z. ShaghoyanFor Z. Banjaqui
    17’
  4. T. RomanczukYellow card · Foul
    20’
  5. Bruno WilsonYellow card · Foul
    30’
  6. Rodrigo Conceição 2–1Assist A. Klynge
    38’
  7. Half time · 2–1
  8. O. Sow 3–1Assist Jesús Imaz
    51’
  9. A. TeraYellow card · Foul
    57’
  10. ⇄ J. AgbonifoFor O. Sow
    66’
  11. ⇄ K. MuradyanFor Luis Felipe
    68’
  12. ⇄ D. StojinovićFor K. Jóźwiak
    68’
  13. ⇄ E. KozłowskiFor Jesús Imaz
    68’
  14. ⇄ FrançaFor A. Serobyan
    76’
  15. ⇄ A. EloyanFor Sandro Lima
    76’
  16. ⇄ A. ĆirkovićFor K. Szmyt
    79’
  17. ⇄ Sergio LozanoFor T. Romanczuk
    80’
  18. D. StojinovićYellow card · Time Wasting
    83’
  19. E. KozłowskiYellow card · Time Wasting
    84’
  20. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Jagiellonia14 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
Ararat-Armenia15 shots · 7 in box, 8 outside
JagielloniaArarat-Armenia
43% Possession 57%
1.61 Expected goals (xG) 0.99
1.80 Expected points (xPts) 0.95
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
9 Shots inside the box 7
4 Shots outside the box 8
385 Passes 524
85% Pass accuracy 89%
2 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
22 Fouls 14
6 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.29

Line-ups

Jagiellonia 4-4-2

506.6 S. Abramowicz(G)
206.4 B. Wdowik 46.9 Y. Kobayashi 56.9 Bernardo Vital 277.9★ Rodrigo Conceição
76.4 K. Szmyt ↓79’ 197.7 A. Klynge A 66.2 T. Romanczuk ↓80’ 727.8 K. Jóźwiak ↓68’
307.8 O. Sow ↓66’ 117.3 Jesús Imaz A↓68’
  • 50S. Abramowicz (G)6.6
  • 20B. Wdowik6.4
  • 4Y. Kobayashi6.9
  • 5Bernardo Vital6.9
  • 27Rodrigo Conceição ★7.9
  • 7K. Szmyt↓79’6.4
  • 19A. KlyngeA7.7
  • 6T. Romanczuk↓80’6.2
  • 72K. Jóźwiak↓68’7.8
  • 30O. Sow↓66’7.8
  • 11Jesús ImazA↓68’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 10J. Agbonifo↑66’6.6
  • 32A. Ćirković↑79’6.8
  • 21Sergio Lozano↑80’6.3
  • 3D. Stojinović↑68’5.7
  • 85E. Kozłowski↑68’6.1

Unused: H. Finndell, A. Konstantopoulos, Guilherme Montóia, M. Perchel

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Ararat-Armenia 3-4-3

985.5 João Bravim(G)
56.3 Luis Felipe ↓68’ 177.7 M. Carlier A 436.3 Bruno Wilson
166.2 E. Grigoryan 205.6 A. Tera 86.1 J. Balanta 26.3 Hugo Oliveira
117.2 Z. Banjaqui ↓17’ 916.5 Sandro Lima ↓76’ 776.1 A. Serobyan ↓76’
  • 98João Bravim (G)5.5
  • 5Luis Felipe↓68’6.3
  • 17M. CarlierA7.7
  • 43Bruno Wilson6.3
  • 16E. Grigoryan6.2
  • 20A. Tera5.6
  • 8J. Balanta6.1
  • 2Hugo Oliveira6.3
  • 11Z. Banjaqui↓17’7.2
  • 91Sandro Lima↓76’6.5
  • 77A. Serobyan↓76’6.1

Substitutes used

  • 7Z. Shaghoyan↑17’6.7
  • 19K. Muradyan↑68’5.8
  • 95França↑76’6.4
  • 9A. Eloyan↑76’5.9

Unused: A. Ambartsumyan, Bruno Pereira, A. Ndour, A. Malis, A. Nersesyan

Player stats

Top rated
Rodrigo ConceiçãoJagiellonia7.9
2nd
O. SowJagiellonia7.8
3rd
K. JóźwiakJagiellonia7.8

Jagiellonia

Ararat-Armenia

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.