Juventus vs Cagliari – 24 Jan 2027

Serie A Gameweek 21 Sun, Jan 24 · 17:30 Allianz Stadium, Torino

Juventus 8th · 11 pts · 7 played DLWDL

VS— Compare

Cagliari 7th · 13 pts · 7 played WWWDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel660 kmRest days3 · 7Matches / 14d3 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Juventus—%

Draw—%

Cagliari—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Torino)

Forecast from 9 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Juventus

Cagliari

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

67 Current StrengthIn forecast 33

57 AttackIn forecast 31

76 DefenceIn forecast 31

74 Form indexContext 72

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Juventus

Attack—

Defense risk—

Cagliari

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Juventus

Cagliari

1.29 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.86

1.14 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.48 xGVia Att/Def 1.00

0.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.95

-0.19 Goals minus xGContext -0.14

86% Scored inContext 71%

43% Clean sheetsContext 43%

16.71 ShotsContext 10.57

5.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67

35% On target shareContext 38%

8.86 Shots in the boxContext 6.57

53% Box shareContext 60%

8% ConversionContext 8%

3.00 OffsidesContext 3.00

7.29 Shots allowedContext 19.57

2.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.29

1.83 BlocksContext 4.86

2.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29

67% Save rateContext 81%

58% PossessionIn forecast 41%

547 PassesContext 408

480 Accurate passesContext 345

88% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.77 Team ratingContext 6.98

12.57 FoulsContext 10.43

10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 8.57

1.29 Yellow cardsContext 1.29

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

1.50 xGVia Att/Def 1.31

0.61 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.82

+0.30 Goals minus xGContext -0.31

90% Scored inContext 70%

40% Clean sheetsContext 30%

16.70 ShotsContext 13.40

5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.22

35% On target shareContext 35%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.50

60% Box shareContext 61%

11% ConversionContext 8%

2.75 OffsidesContext 2.75

8.20 Shots allowedContext 17.10

2.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.90

1.89 BlocksContext 4.10

2.13 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.80

68% Save rateContext 78%

57% PossessionIn forecast 45%

532 PassesContext 429

466 Accurate passesContext 365

88% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.85 Team ratingContext 6.92

12.60 FoulsContext 10.00

11.10 Fouls sufferedContext 9.30

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Juventus WWDWL

Rest3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km2,076 km in 14d

Schedule load28%Moderate

Form 74 · 10 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected

L18 OctH · Lazio0–32.1 xPts
W15 OctA · Celta Vigo2–11.6 xPts
D11 OctA · Cagliari1–11.7 xPts
W20 SepH · Atalanta2–01.9 xPts
W17 SepH · NEC Nijmegen5–02.2 xPts

Cagliari WWWDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel660 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 72 · 10 pts vs 7.4 for an average club · +3.8 vs expected

L19 OctA · Monza0–41.4 xPts
D11 OctH · Juventus1–11.1 xPts
W19 SepA · Udinese1–01.2 xPts
W12 SepA · Atalanta2–10.8 xPts
W7 SepH · Lecce1–01.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Juventus	Cagliari
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 28	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	3UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 21 Jan	7Serie A 2026-2027, 17 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	660 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,076 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	2 / 3 / 5	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	4.1	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Juventus Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Lazio (H) 0–3, 18 Oct

25G. Vicario(G)

2M. Çelik 26J. Lucumí 3Bremer 15P. Kalulu

29P. Sarr 12Douglas Luiz

17Kerim Alajbegović 22W. McKennie 31N. González

9R. Kolo Muani

Cagliari Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-1-2 · vs Monza (A) 0–4, 19 Oct

1E. Caprile(G)

33A. Obert 15J. Rodríguez 26Y. Mina 2Zé Pedro

4Alessandro Romano 6H. Winks 8M. Adopo

70D. Maldini

18M. Nzola 31Paul Mendy

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Juventus Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Cagliari Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Juventus · Home 1.75points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 2-1-1
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.00

Cagliari · Away 2.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 3-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Juventus	Cagliari
Atalanta	W 2–0 H	W 2–1 A
Parma	W 2–0 H	W 1–0 A
Points	6 of 6 · 3.00 per game	6 of 6 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 9 of 9 meetings

5 Juventus wins3 draws1 Cagliari wins

Goals per game1.44 – 0.89 Over 2.544% Both scored67% Clean sheets22% · 11%

11 Oct 2026Cagliari1–1Juventus
17 Jan 2026Cagliari1–0Juventus
29 Nov 2025Juventus2–1Cagliari
23 Feb 2025Cagliari0–1Juventus
6 Oct 2024Juventus1–1Cagliari
19 Apr 2024Cagliari2–2Juventus

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Juventus	Cagliari
Scored per game	1.29	0.86
Conceded per game	1.14	1.00
Match goals	2.43	1.86
Over 1.5	86%	43%
Over 2.5	29%	29%
Over 3.5	14%	14%
Both teams scored	43%	29%
Clean sheets	43%	43%
Failed to score	14%	29%
Games	7	7

	Juventus	Cagliari
Scored per game	1.80	1.00
Conceded per game	1.10	1.10
Match goals	2.90	2.10
Over 1.5	90%	60%
Over 2.5	50%	40%
Over 3.5	30%	10%
Both teams scored	50%	40%
Clean sheets	40%	30%
Failed to score	10%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Juventus	Cagliari	League
Corners
Corners won	8.00	4.00
Corners conceded	3.14	6.29
Match total	11.14	10.29	9.38
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	71% 5/7
Over 9.5	71% 5/7	57% 4/7
Over 10.5	57% 4/7	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.29	1.29
Opponent cards	2.29	1.14
Match total	3.58	2.43	3.43
Over 3.5	57% 4/7	14% 1/7
Over 4.5	14% 1/7	0% 0/7

	Juventus	Cagliari	League
Corners
Corners won	7.67	4.60
Corners conceded	3.22	5.40
Match total	10.89	10.00	9.38
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.40	1.30
Opponent cards	2.00	1.30
Match total	3.40	2.60	3.43
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	20% 2/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	0% 0/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.