UEFA Europa League Matchday 7 Thu, Jan 21 · 17:45 Groupama Aréna, Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC 7th · 6 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Juventus 1st · 6 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel912 kmRest days41.9 · 4Matches / 14d0 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Ferencvarosi TC—%
Draw—%
Juventus—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Budapest)

Forecast from 6 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Ferencvarosi TC and Juventus. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Ferencvarosi TCJuventus
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
57 Current StrengthIn forecast 67
61 AttackIn forecast 57
56 DefenceIn forecast 76
— Form indexContext 74
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack—
Defense risk—

Juventus

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Ferencvarosi TCJuventus
2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.50
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.50
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 50%
13.00 ShotsContext 16.50
6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50
46% On target shareContext 39%
8.50 Shots in the boxContext 13.00
66% Box shareContext 80%
19% ConversionContext 21%
1.00 OffsidesContext —
17.00 Shots allowedContext 9.50
5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.50
6.50 BlocksContext 1.00
4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.00
82% Save rateContext 80%
46% PossessionIn forecast 51%
395 PassesContext 525
321 Accurate passesContext 463
81% Pass accuracyContext 88%
6.91 Team ratingContext 7.20
12.50 FoulsContext 14.00
16.50 Fouls sufferedContext 15.50
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80
0.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10
— xGVia Att/Def 1.50
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.61
— Goals minus xGContext +0.30
100% Scored inContext 90%
40% Clean sheetsContext 40%
— ShotsContext 16.70
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.80
46% On target shareContext 35%
— Shots in the boxContext 10.00
— Box shareContext 60%
19% ConversionContext 11%
— OffsidesContext 2.75
— Shots allowedContext 8.20
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.90
5.00 BlocksContext 1.89
— Goalkeeper savesContext 2.13
82% Save rateContext 68%
48% PossessionIn forecast 57%
— PassesContext 532
— Accurate passesContext 466
— Pass accuracyContext 88%
— Team ratingContext 6.85
14.75 FoulsContext 12.60
12.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.10
1.70 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Ferencvarosi TC
Rest41.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 76 · 6 pts vs 2.7 for an average club · +2.9 vs expected
  • W15 OctH · Plzen2–11.9 xPts
  • W17 SepA · Celtic3–11.3 xPts
Juventus
Rest4 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel912 km251 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Form 74 · 10 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected
  • L18 OctH · Lazio0–32.1 xPts
  • W15 OctA · Celta Vigo2–11.6 xPts
  • D11 OctA · Cagliari1–11.7 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Atalanta2–01.9 xPts
  • W17 SepH · NEC Nijmegen5–02.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Ferencvarosi TC Juventus
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match41.9UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 10 Dec4Serie A 2026-2027, 17 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km912 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km251 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 01 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one7.13

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Ferencvarosi TC Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Plzen (H) 2–1, 15 Oct
63D. Radnóti(G)
20Cadu 4M. Gómez 28T. Raemaekers 14A. Osváth
6Á. Nagy 17M. Corbu
7V. Birmančević 16K. Zachariassen 11B. Yusuf
76K. Lisztes
Juventus Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Lazio (H) 0–3, 18 Oct
25G. Vicario(G)
2M. Çelik 26J. Lucumí 3Bremer 15P. Kalulu
29P. Sarr 12Douglas Luiz
17Kerim Alajbegović 22W. McKennie 31N. González
9R. Kolo Muani

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Ferencvarosi TC Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Juventus Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Ferencvarosi TC · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.00
Juventus · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Ferencvarosi TCJuventusForecast
Scored per game 2.503.50
Conceded per game 1.000.50
Match goals 3.504.00
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%100%
Over 3.5 50%50%
Both teams scored 100%50%
Clean sheets 0%50%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games22
Ferencvarosi TCJuventusForecast
Scored per game 2.101.80
Conceded per game 0.701.10
Match goals 2.802.90
Over 1.5 80%90%
Over 2.5 70%50%
Over 3.5 30%30%
Both teams scored 60%50%
Clean sheets 40%40%
Failed to score 0%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Ferencvarosi TCJuventusLeague
Corners
Corners won5.007.00
Corners conceded7.001.00
Match total12.008.009.76
Over 8.5100% 2/20% 0/1
Over 9.5100% 2/20% 0/1
Over 10.550% 1/20% 0/1
Cards
Cards2.001.50
Opponent cards0.501.50
Match total2.503.003.76
Over 3.50% 0/250% 1/2
Over 4.50% 0/20% 0/2
Ferencvarosi TCJuventusLeague
Corners
Corners won6.007.67
Corners conceded6.253.22
Match total12.2510.899.76
Over 8.5100% 4/478% 7/9
Over 9.5100% 4/467% 6/9
Over 10.575% 3/456% 5/9
Cards
Cards1.801.40
Opponent cards1.502.00
Match total3.303.403.76
Over 3.540% 4/1050% 5/10
Over 4.540% 4/1010% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Ferencvarosi TC2 games · scored 5 · conceded 2
0-15
1 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 46-60
61-75
1 1 76-90
Juventus2 games · scored 7 · conceded 1
1 0-15
1 1 16-30
1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
2 76-90
Ferencvarosi TC10 games · scored 21 · conceded 7
2 0-15
5 16-30
2 4 31-45
5 46-60
2 61-75
5 3 76-90
Juventus10 games · scored 18 · conceded 11
1 0-15
4 2 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 1 46-60
2 3 61-75
8 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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