Kocaelispor vs Genclerbirligi

Süper Lig Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 13 · 10:30 Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli

Kocaelispor 8th · 12 pts · 8 played WLWLL

VS— Compare

Genclerbirligi 15th · 8 pts · 8 played LLLDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel458 kmRest days7 · 6.9Matches / 14d2 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Kocaelispor—%

Draw—%

Genclerbirligi—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Kocaeli)

Forecast from 28 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Kocaelispor

Genclerbirligi

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

22 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

16 AttackIn forecast 13

32 DefenceIn forecast 16

33 Form indexContext 7

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Kocaelispor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Genclerbirligi

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Kocaelispor

Genclerbirligi

1.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.88

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

0.91 xGVia Att/Def 0.95

1.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83

+0.22 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

75% Scored inContext 63%

38% Clean sheetsContext 13%

11.25 ShotsContext 11.88

4.14 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.14

32% On target shareContext 31%

6.25 Shots in the boxContext 7.25

55% Box shareContext 58%

10% ConversionContext 7%

1.86 OffsidesContext 2.40

15.50 Shots allowedContext 17.25

4.29 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.88

2.88 BlocksContext 4.14

3.43 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.13

80% Save rateContext 75%

48% PossessionIn forecast 43%

401 PassesContext 327

323 Accurate passesContext 261

81% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.81

12.00 FoulsContext 11.63

13.88 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.75

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

0.76 xGVia Att/Def 1.13

1.27 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68

+0.14 Goals minus xGContext +0.17

60% Scored inContext 70%

30% Clean sheetsContext 20%

10.40 ShotsContext 12.10

3.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67

29% On target shareContext 35%

5.80 Shots in the boxContext 7.30

56% Box shareContext 58%

9% ConversionContext 11%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.17

14.60 Shots allowedContext 15.80

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.20

2.60 BlocksContext 3.78

3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.70

80% Save rateContext 76%

51% PossessionIn forecast 44%

415 PassesContext 327

339 Accurate passesContext 260

82% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.79 Team ratingContext 6.84

12.80 FoulsContext 11.50

14.40 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Kocaelispor WLWLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km3,634 km in 14d

Schedule load10%Low

Form 33 · 6 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected

L18 OctH · Goztepe1–21.4 xPts
L11 OctA · Besiktas1–20.6 xPts
W19 SepH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–01.6 xPts
L13 SepA · Galatasaray0–10.5 xPts
W6 SepH · Samsunspor1–01.5 xPts

Genclerbirligi LLLDL

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel458 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 7 · 1 pts vs 8.1 for an average club · -3.8 vs expected

L17 OctH · Galatasaray0–10.6 xPts
D10 OctH · Amed2–21.0 xPts
L19 SepA · Istanbul Basaksehir0–41.0 xPts
L13 SepH · Kasimpasa1–21.4 xPts
L6 SepA · Trabzonspor0–50.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Kocaelispor	Genclerbirligi
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 10	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 6 Dec	6.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 6 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	458 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	3,634 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	1 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	8.3	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Kocaelispor Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Goztepe (H) 1–2, 18 Oct

83S. Öztaşdelen(G)

3Muharrem Cinan 5E. Ortakaya 2A. Dijksteel 22U. Yıldız

10B. Kutlu 14Show 20Mahamadou Susoho

26Metehan Altunbaş 7Daniel Agyei 11Gonçalo Sousa

Genclerbirligi Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Galatasaray (H) 0–1, 17 Oct

70İ. Eğribayat(G)

2T. da Silva 6D. Goutas 90M. Baltacı 88F. Üzüm

42Ousmane Diabate

7Tiago Gouveia 10F. Tongya 48S. Uçan 83R. Luis

9Pedro Mendes

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Kocaelispor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Genclerbirligi Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Kocaelispor · Home 2.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 3-0-1
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 0.50

Genclerbirligi · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-2
Scored: 0.33
Conceded: 3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Kocaelispor	Genclerbirligi
Goztepe	L 1–2 H	W 1–0 A
Galatasaray	L 0–1 A	L 0–1 H
Amed	W 2–0 H	D 2–2 H
Istanbul Basaksehir	L 0–2 A	L 0–4 A
Points	3 of 12 · 0.75 per game	4 of 12 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Kocaelispor wins0 draws1 Genclerbirligi wins

Goals per game0.50 – 0.50 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets50% · 50%

26 Apr 2026Genclerbirligi1–0Kocaelispor
28 Nov 2025Kocaelispor1–0Genclerbirligi

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Kocaelispor	Genclerbirligi
Scored per game	1.13	0.88
Conceded per game	1.00	2.00
Match goals	2.13	2.88
Over 1.5	75%	75%
Over 2.5	38%	63%
Over 3.5	0%	38%
Both teams scored	38%	50%
Clean sheets	38%	13%
Failed to score	25%	38%
Games	8	8

	Kocaelispor	Genclerbirligi
Scored per game	0.90	1.30
Conceded per game	1.00	1.80
Match goals	1.90	3.10
Over 1.5	60%	80%
Over 2.5	30%	70%
Over 3.5	0%	40%
Both teams scored	30%	50%
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Failed to score	40%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Kocaelispor	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	3.38	4.63
Corners conceded	5.25	6.50
Match total	8.63	11.13	9.12
Over 8.5	50% 4/8	75% 6/8
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	50% 4/8
Over 10.5	25% 2/8	50% 4/8
Cards
Cards	1.50	1.75
Opponent cards	1.75	2.13
Match total	3.25	3.88	4.04
Over 3.5	50% 4/8	50% 4/8
Over 4.5	13% 1/8	38% 3/8

	Kocaelispor	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	3.20	4.50
Corners conceded	4.70	6.10
Match total	7.90	10.60	9.12
Over 8.5	40% 4/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	1.90
Opponent cards	2.00	2.80
Match total	3.90	4.70	4.04
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.