Süper Lig Gameweek 18 Mon, Jan 19 · 14:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Konyaspor were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Konyaspor had 30.1 days of rest, Eyüpspor 30 and had to travel 463 km.

Away travel463 kmRest days30.1 · 30Matches / 14d0 · 0
Konyaspor45%
Draw26%
Eyüpspor29%
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.21
Konyaspor44%
Draw27%
Eyüpspor29%
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.19
Konyaspor44%
Draw26%
Eyüpspor29%
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.21
Konyaspor37%
Draw27%
Eyüpspor36%
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.36
Konyaspor44%
Draw27%
Eyüpspor29%
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.19
Over 2.5 52% Both score 56% Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Konya)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeOmer Faruk Turtay
  • Cards per match 3.0
  • Penalties per match 2.00
  • Matches 1

Team strength

KonyasporEyüpspor
16 L90 StrengthIn forecast 16
18 Current StrengthIn forecast 13
13 AttackIn forecast 9
31 DefenceIn forecast 10
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Eyüpspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KonyasporEyüpspor
1.24 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.59
1.71 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.41
1.13 xGVia Att/Def 1.00
1.52 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.42
+0.11 Goals minus xGContext -0.41
76% Scored inContext 41%
12% Clean sheetsContext 18%
13.71 ShotsContext 10.94
4.24 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.81
31% On target shareContext 33%
8.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.75
59% Box shareContext 59%
9% ConversionContext 5%
2.00 OffsidesContext 2.65
12.41 Shots allowedContext 12.88
4.31 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.41
3.00 BlocksContext 4.00
2.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.53
59% Save rateContext 73%
53% PossessionIn forecast 51%
399 PassesContext 380
330 Accurate passesContext 311
83% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.80 Team ratingContext 6.76
11.18 FoulsContext 11.82
12.71 Fouls sufferedContext 15.24
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.29
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 17 and 17 games
0.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.60
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
1.07 xGVia Att/Def 1.09
1.58 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.30
-0.27 Goals minus xGContext -0.49
60% Scored inContext 40%
10% Clean sheetsContext 10%
14.60 ShotsContext 11.10
3.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00
25% On target shareContext 41%
8.30 Shots in the boxContext 7.33
58% Box shareContext 59%
6% ConversionContext 5%
1.86 OffsidesContext 2.40
11.40 Shots allowedContext 11.70
4.44 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30
2.90 BlocksContext 3.56
2.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22
49% Save rateContext 69%
55% PossessionIn forecast 50%
422 PassesContext 387
355 Accurate passesContext 317
84% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.68 Team ratingContext 6.77
10.80 FoulsContext 12.80
12.90 Fouls sufferedContext 15.00
1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.30
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor
Rest30.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Eyüpspor
Rest30 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel463 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Konyaspor Eyüpspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match30.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 20 Dec30Süper Lig 2025-2026, 20 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km463 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 00 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one5.97.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá 4A. Demirbağ 5U. Yazğılı 23Y. Andzouana
42M. Bjørlo 16M. Jevtović
40J. Muleka 32S. Svendsen 9D. Türüç
22M. Nayir
+2 more reported missing outside this XI
Eyüpspor Confirmed XI
4-4-2
24J. Yılmaz(G)
88A. Popov 5E. Ortakaya 68J. Onguéné 17Talha Ülvan
23L. Pintor 55B. Gezek 28T. İlter 26Metehan Altunbaş
19U. Bozok 20M. Łęgowski
+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Konyaspor Absences are shown before kick-off
Eyüpspor Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
  • Konyaspor+0.6 pp
  • Draw-0.2 pp
  • Eyüpspor-0.4 pp

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home 1.00points per game · 9 home games
W-D-L
2-3-4
Scored
1.22
Conceded
1.44
Eyüpspor · Away 0.50points per game · 8 away games
W-D-L
1-1-6
Scored
0.38
Conceded
1.38

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 16 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings

2 Konyaspor wins0 draws1 Eyüpspor wins
Goals per game2.33 – 1.33 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 10 Aug 2025Eyüpspor1–4Konyaspor
  • 9 Mar 2025Eyüpspor2–1Konyaspor
  • 6 Oct 2024Konyaspor2–1Eyüpspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Referee · Omer Faruk Turtay Türkiye · 1 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.00league 4.40
Red cards0.00league 0.24
Cards 5+0%league 45%
Fouls19.0league 25.7
Penalties2.00league 0.25
Home wins0%league 36%
Konyaspor

No previous matches with this referee.

Eyüpspor

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Konyaspor17 games · scored 21 · conceded 29
1 2 0-15
5 6 16-30
3 7 31-45
5 6 46-60
2 5 61-75
5 3 76-90
Eyüpspor17 games · scored 10 · conceded 24
3 2 0-15
1 3 16-30
4 31-45
2 2 46-60
2 4 61-75
2 9 76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 8 · conceded 20
2 0-15
1 4 16-30
1 6 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 3 61-75
1 2 76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 6 · conceded 14
2 1 0-15
1 16-30
2 31-45
1 2 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 6 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.