KV Mechelen
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel90 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
KV Mechelen—%
Draw—%
Cercle Brugge—%
Weather (Malines)
Forecast from 22 Jan
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for KV Mechelen and Cercle Brugge. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Trend
Cercle Brugge
63%
Both teams scored
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
KV Mechelen
−0.60
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for0.88xG against1.48
-
Alert
KV Mechelen
2.1
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Cercle Brugge
2.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Defence
-
Alert
KV Mechelen
2.1
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
KV Mechelen
−0.60
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for0.88xG against1.48
-
Alert
Cercle Brugge
2.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
KV MechelenCercle Brugge
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
23
Current StrengthIn forecast
21
18
AttackIn forecast
24
23
DefenceIn forecast
28
20
Form indexContext
6
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisCercle Brugge
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KV MechelenCercle Brugge
1.13
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.13
2.13
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
1.02
xGVia Att/Def
1.74
1.42
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.68
+0.11
Goals minus xGContext
-0.61
38%
Scored inContext
63%
13%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
11.13
ShotsContext
14.13
3.57
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
28%
On target shareContext
28%
7.88
Shots in the boxContext
10.71
68%
Box shareContext
70%
10%
ConversionContext
8%
2.86
OffsidesContext
1.50
14.50
Shots allowedContext
12.63
5.71
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.38
3.00
BlocksContext
3.88
3.29
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.38
58%
Save rateContext
54%
47%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
407
PassesContext
370
317
Accurate passesContext
291
78%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.55
Team ratingContext
6.61
12.25
FoulsContext
12.38
13.88
Fouls sufferedContext
10.50
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
1.25
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.10
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
2.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.30
0.88
xGVia Att/Def
1.63
1.48
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.62
+0.22
Goals minus xGContext
-0.43
40%
Scored inContext
70%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
10.90
ShotsContext
13.80
3.33
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.20
28%
On target shareContext
30%
7.40
Shots in the boxContext
10.11
65%
Box shareContext
69%
10%
ConversionContext
9%
2.63
OffsidesContext
1.90
14.50
Shots allowedContext
12.80
5.56
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.80
3.40
BlocksContext
3.90
3.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.50
60%
Save rateContext
52%
47%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
400
PassesContext
370
311
Accurate passesContext
292
78%
Pass accuracyContext
79%
6.55
Team ratingContext
6.64
10.90
FoulsContext
12.30
12.80
Fouls sufferedContext
9.90
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
1.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
KV Mechelen
DLLDW
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 20 · 5 pts vs 8.8 for an average club · -1.2 vs expected
Cercle Brugge
LLDLL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel90 km77 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 6 · 1 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · -5.5 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| KV Mechelen |
Cercle Brugge |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 30 Jan | 7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 30 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 90 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 77 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.
Squad & lineups
KV Mechelen
Last XI · not confirmed
13Nacho Mirás(G)
3José Marsà
44M. Eerdhuijzen
20K. Corbanie
7T. Koudou
30Marco Decherf
6F. Hammar
23S. Michez
9M. van Brederode
14B. Raman
28B. Boersma
Cercle Brugge
Last XI · not confirmed
1G. Coucke(G)
12Valy Konaté
24Geoffrey Kondo
5Emmanuel Kakou
15G. Magnée
28H. Van der Bruggen
18L. Le Roux
30B. Akinsola
20A. Manneh
11C. Herrmann
9S. Ngoura
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences KV Mechelen
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Cercle Brugge
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
KV Mechelen · Home
1.00points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-2
- Scored
- 1.75
- Conceded
- 2.75
Cercle Brugge · Away
0.50points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-2-2
- Scored
- 1.25
- Conceded
- 1.75
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 6 this season
| Opponent | KV Mechelen | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | W 4–3 H | D 3–3 H |
| Lommel United | D 0–0 A | L 0–1 H |
| Anderlecht | L 0–1 H | L 1–2 H |
| Charleroi | L 0–2 A | L 2–3 A |
| Standard Liege | D 3–3 H | D 2–2 A |
| Gent | L 0–2 A | L 0–3 H |
| Points | 5 of 18 · 0.83 per game | 2 of 18 · 0.33 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
2 KV Mechelen wins1 draws1 Cercle Brugge wins
Goals per game1.50 – 1.50
Over 2.550%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets25% · 50%
- 13 Dec 2025Cercle Brugge2–3KV Mechelen
- 21 Sep 2025KV Mechelen0–0Cercle Brugge
- 2 Mar 2024Cercle Brugge2–3KV Mechelen
- 28 Oct 2023KV Mechelen0–2Cercle Brugge
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| KV Mechelen | Cercle Brugge | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.13 | 1.13 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.13 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.25 | 3.13 | |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 63% | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 38% | |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 63% | |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 63% | 38% | |
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| KV Mechelen | Cercle Brugge | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.10 | 1.30 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.10 | 2.10 | |
| Match goals | 3.20 | 3.40 | |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% | |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| KV Mechelen | Cercle Brugge | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.63 | 7.29 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.25 | 4.57 | |
| Match total | 8.88 | 11.86 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 4/8 | 71% 5/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 4/8 | 71% 5/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 38% 3/8 | 71% 5/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.25 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.13 | 1.63 | |
| Match total | 3.63 | 2.88 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 4/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 4/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| KV Mechelen | Cercle Brugge | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.20 | 6.67 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.10 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 8.30 | 11.67 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 4/10 | 78% 7/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 78% 7/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 78% 7/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.10 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 3.60 | 2.70 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
KV Mechelen8 games · scored 9 · conceded 17
1
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
6
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
2
76-90
Cercle Brugge8 games · scored 9 · conceded 16
1
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
4
76-90
KV Mechelen10 games · scored 11 · conceded 22
1
3
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
3
2
76-90
Cercle Brugge10 games · scored 12 · conceded 23
1
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
5
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
6
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
Next fixtures Belgian Pro League
View all fixtures →
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