Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Feb 6 · 16:00 Planet Group Arena, Gent
Gent 1st · 22 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
SK Beveren 11th · 9 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel42 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Gent—%
Draw—%
SK Beveren—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Gent)

Forecast from 22 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Gent and SK Beveren. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

GentSK Beveren
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
46 Current StrengthIn forecast 25
46 AttackIn forecast 18
61 DefenceIn forecast 20
84 Form indexContext 25
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Gent

Attack—
Defense risk—

SK Beveren

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GentSK Beveren
1.88 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.31 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
0.60 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
+0.57 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
100% Scored inContext 63%
50% Clean sheetsContext 38%
12.38 ShotsContext 10.25
5.13 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
41% On target shareContext 32%
8.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
65% Box shareContext 69%
15% ConversionContext 10%
2.33 OffsidesContext 1.88
10.63 Shots allowedContext 15.50
3.13 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
3.50 BlocksContext 3.50
2.75 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
88% Save rateContext 71%
46% PossessionIn forecast 51%
456 PassesContext 469
386 Accurate passesContext 382
85% Pass accuracyContext 81%
7.07 Team ratingContext 6.83
10.25 FoulsContext 8.75
9.88 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.38 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.42 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
1.07 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
+0.08 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
80% Scored inContext 63%
50% Clean sheetsContext 38%
12.20 ShotsContext 10.25
4.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
36% On target shareContext 32%
8.10 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
67% Box shareContext 69%
12% ConversionContext 10%
2.29 OffsidesContext 1.88
12.60 Shots allowedContext 15.50
4.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
3.80 BlocksContext 3.50
3.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
82% Save rateContext 71%
46% PossessionIn forecast 51%
453 PassesContext 469
384 Accurate passesContext 382
85% Pass accuracyContext 81%
7.04 Team ratingContext 6.83
10.00 FoulsContext 8.75
9.30 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Gent
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km99 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 84 · 13 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +5.0 vs expected
  • W10 OctA · Zulte Waregem2–01.4 xPts
  • W18 SepH · Standard Liege2–11.9 xPts
  • D13 SepA · Genk1–11.1 xPts
  • W6 SepA · Cercle Brugge3–01.4 xPts
  • W3 SepH · OH Leuven1–02.2 xPts
SK Beveren
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel42 km81 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 6 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected
  • L9 OctH · Lommel United1–31.4 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Kortrijk0–11.6 xPts
  • W12 SepH · St. Truiden2–01.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · OH Leuven3–01.7 xPts
  • L28 AugA · Genk0–40.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Gent SK Beveren
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 30 Jan7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 30 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km42 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways99 km81 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Gent Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-2-1 · vs Zulte Waregem (A) 2–0, 10 Oct
33D. Roef(G)
44S. Van der Heyden 16C. Burgess 3M. Paskotši
20Tiago Araújo 17M. Delorge-Knieper 22Leonardo Lopes 45B. Goore
11M. Sonko 7M. Balikwisha
75Ibrahima Cisse
SK Beveren Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Lommel United (H) 1–3, 9 Oct
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens 31B. Godeau 35Y. Gomis 25C. Konaté
44C. Conde 18S. Dewaele
17J. Margaritha 22C. Brüls 5C. Lokesa
9M. Kaboré

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Gent Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
SK Beveren Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Gent · Home 3.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
4-0-0
Scored
1.75
Conceded
0.50
SK Beveren · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-0-4
Scored
0.25
Conceded
2.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentGentSK Beveren
Zulte Waregem W 2–0 A L 0–4 A
Genk D 1–1 A L 0–4 A
OH Leuven W 1–0 H W 3–0 H
Points7 of 9 · 2.33 per game3 of 9 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

GentSK BeverenForecast
Scored per game 1.881.00
Conceded per game 0.501.75
Match goals 2.382.75
Over 1.5 88%75%
Over 2.5 50%63%
Over 3.5 0%38%
Both teams scored 50%25%
Clean sheets 50%38%
Failed to score 0%38%
Games88
GentSK BeverenForecast
Scored per game 2.001.00
Conceded per game 0.501.75
Match goals 2.502.75
Over 1.5 90%75%
Over 2.5 50%63%
Over 3.5 10%38%
Both teams scored 50%25%
Clean sheets 50%38%
Failed to score 0%38%
Games108

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

GentSK BeverenLeague
Corners
Corners won5.145.00
Corners conceded3.714.38
Match total8.859.3810.01
Over 8.557% 4/750% 4/8
Over 9.543% 3/738% 3/8
Over 10.543% 3/738% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.502.00
Opponent cards1.501.25
Match total3.003.253.36
Over 3.525% 2/838% 3/8
Over 4.525% 2/825% 2/8
GentSK BeverenLeague
Corners
Corners won5.785.00
Corners conceded4.004.38
Match total9.789.3810.01
Over 8.567% 6/950% 4/8
Over 9.556% 5/938% 3/8
Over 10.556% 5/938% 3/8
Cards
Cards1.702.00
Opponent cards1.201.25
Match total2.903.253.36
Over 3.530% 3/1038% 3/8
Over 4.520% 2/1025% 2/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Gent8 games · scored 15 · conceded 4
2 1 0-15
2 16-30
4 2 31-45
2 1 46-60
61-75
5 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90
Gent10 games · scored 15 · conceded 9
2 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
4 4 31-45
2 2 46-60
61-75
5 1 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
OH Leuven Anderlecht Feb 616:00 KV Mechelen Cercle Brugge Feb 616:00 Club Brugge KV Standard Liege Feb 616:00 Zulte Waregem Lommel United Feb 616:00 Gent SK Beveren Feb 616:00 Kortrijk RAAL La Louvière Feb 616:00 Charleroi KVC Westerlo Feb 616:00 Genk Antwerp Feb 616:00 Union St. Gilloise St. Truiden Feb 616:00