Serie A Gameweek 4 Sat, Sep 12 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
2–2 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 2.05 – 1.08
  • M. Cancellieri 10’
  • T. Noslin 39’
  • 65’, 67’ Diego Moreira
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AC Milan fight back from two goals down

Lazio entered as narrow favourites and led 2–0 at half-time through goals from Cancellieri and Noslin. But Moreira struck twice to rescue a draw for AC Milan. Lazio finished with the higher xG (2.05 vs 1.08). On the chances created, Lazio deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Lazio40%
Draw ✓25%
AC Milan34%

Model vs reality

Lazio goals
2
Model 1.45 · xG 2.05
AC Milan goals
2
Model 1.31 · xG 1.08
Total goals
4
Model 2.76 · xG 3.13
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDiego MoreiraAC Milan · 2 goals
9.0
  • RefereeMatteo Marcenaro
  • CoachesG. Gattuso · Ruben Amorim
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offLazio 3rd · AC Milan 6th
  • Weather at kick-off28°C · Clear · wind 12 km/h Warm

Timeline

  1. M. Cancellieri 1–0Assist M. Zaccagni
    10’
  2. T. Noslin 2–0
    39’
  3. Half time · 2–0
  4. ⇄ C. PulišićFor R. Loftus-Cheek
    46’
  5. ⇄ Diego MoreiraFor P. Estupiñán
    46’
  6. ⇄ Y. MusahFor L. Modrić
    46’
  7. ⇄ G. IsaksenFor M. Cancellieri
    58’
  8. ⇄ A. PinamontiFor T. Noslin
    58’
  9. C. PulišićYellow card · Roughing
    59’
  10. R. BelahyaneYellow card · Roughing
    63’
  11. S. PavlovićYellow card · Tripping
    64’
  12. Diego Moreira 2–1Assist C. Pulišić
    65’
  13. Diego Moreira 2–2Assist A. Rabiot
    67’
  14. ⇄ A. GuðmundssonFor K. Taylor
    74’
  15. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor A. Cissè
    77’
  16. M. ZaccagniYellow card · Roughing
    78’
  17. ⇄ Diogo LeiteFor J. Šutalo
    84’
  18. ⇄ M. LazzariFor R. Floriani Mussolini
    84’
  19. ⇄ F. CamardaFor Gonçalo Ramos
    85’
  20. Mario GilaYellow card · Roughing
    86’
  21. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Lazio8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
AC Milan16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
LazioAC Milan
34% Possession 66%
2.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.08
2.00 Expected points (xPts) 0.79
8 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
2 Shots off target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
7 Shots inside the box 11
1 Shots outside the box 5
313 Passes 624
82% Pass accuracy 91%
2 Corners 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

Lazio 4-3-3

357.5 C. Mandas(G)
176.9 Nuno Tavares 256.3 Oliver Provstgaard 376.0 J. Šutalo ↓84’ 156.3 R. Floriani Mussolini ↓84’
246.7 K. Taylor ↓74’ 216.9 R. Belahyane 167.0 D. Frattesi
107.5 M. Zaccagni A 147.5 T. Noslin ↓58’ 227.2 M. Cancellieri ↓58’
  • 35C. Mandas (G)7.5
  • 17Nuno Tavares6.9
  • 25Oliver Provstgaard6.3
  • 37J. Šutalo↓84’6.0
  • 15R. Floriani Mussolini↓84’6.3
  • 24K. Taylor↓74’6.7
  • 21R. Belahyane6.9
  • 16D. Frattesi7.0
  • 10M. ZaccagniA7.5
  • 14T. Noslin↓58’7.5
  • 22M. Cancellieri↓58’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 11G. Isaksen↑58’6.5
  • 9A. Pinamonti↑58’6.2
  • 80A. Guðmundsson↑74’6.2
  • 29M. Lazzari↑84’6.7
  • 2Diogo Leite↑84’6.3

Unused: D. Renzetti, E. Motta, Ricardo Bordon, A. Pedraza Sag, Valerio Farcomeni, A. Przyborek, D. Cataldi, Federico Serra

Coach: G. Gattuso

AC Milan 3-4-2-1

167.5 M. Maignan(G)
316.5 S. Pavlović 56.6 K. De Winter 347.2 Mario Gila
26.5 P. Estupiñán ↓46’ 126.5 A. Rabiot A 146.2 L. Modrić ↓46’ 217.2 S. Chukwueze
706.3 A. Cissè ↓77’ 86.3 R. Loftus-Cheek ↓46’
96.6 Gonçalo Ramos ↓85’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)7.5
  • 31S. Pavlović6.5
  • 5K. De Winter6.6
  • 34Mario Gila7.2
  • 2P. Estupiñán↓46’6.5
  • 12A. RabiotA6.5
  • 14L. Modrić↓46’6.2
  • 21S. Chukwueze7.2
  • 70A. Cissè↓77’6.3
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↓46’6.3
  • 9Gonçalo Ramos↓85’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 22Diego Moreira ★↑46’9.0
  • 80Y. Musah↑46’6.9
  • 11C. PulišićA↑46’6.9
  • 20O. Hutchinson↑77’6.3
  • 73F. Camarda↑85’6.5

Unused: L. Torriani, P. Terracciano, S. Bocoum, F. Terracciano, M. Gabbia, O. Tomori, C. Comotto, D. Bartesaghi, A. Jashari, A. Saelemaekers

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Player stats

Top rated
Diego MoreiraAC Milan9.0
2nd
C. MandasLazio7.5
3rd
M. ZaccagniLazio7.5

Lazio

AC Milan

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.