Serie A Gameweek 25 Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 17:00 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.92 – 1.53
  • 41’ (P) Éderson
  • 60’ N. Zalewski
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Atalanta beat Lazio

Atalanta won 2–0 through goals from Éderson and Zalewski. Atalanta finished with the higher xG (1.53 vs 0.92). On the chances created, Lazio deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Lazio35%
Draw28%
Atalanta ✓37%

Model vs reality

Lazio goals
0
Model 1.25 · xG 0.92
Atalanta goals
2
Model 1.30 · xG 1.53
Total goals
2
Model 2.55 · xG 2.45
Score 0–2
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. CarnesecchiAtalanta
9.2
  • RefereeJuan Luca Sacchi
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offLazio 8th · Atalanta 7th

Timeline

  1. G. ScalviniYellow card · Holding
    10’
  2. H. AhanorYellow card · Tripping
    11’
  3. ⇄ S. KolašinacFor H. Ahanor
    25’
  4. Éderson (pen) 0–1
    41’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ PatricFor Mario Gila
    46’
  7. ⇄ K. KossounouFor G. Scalvini
    47’
  8. ⇄ G. RaspadoriFor L. Samardžić
    47’
  9. N. Zalewski 0–2Assist L. Bernasconi
    60’
  10. ⇄ N. RovellaFor D. Cataldi
    67’
  11. ⇄ P. RatkovFor T. Noslin
    67’
  12. ⇄ K. SulemanaFor N. Zalewski
    70’
  13. L. BernasconiYellow card · Holding
    74’
  14. K. TaylorYellow card · Foul
    78’
  15. ⇄ M. CancellieriFor K. Taylor
    79’
  16. ⇄ R. BellanovaFor D. Zappacosta
    83’
  17. ⇄ B. DiaFor G. Isaksen
    88’
  18. B. DjimsitiYellow card · Foul
    90’
  19. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Lazio17 shots · 11 in box, 6 outside
Atalanta11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
LazioAtalanta
49% Possession 51%
0.92 Expected goals (xG) 1.53
0.94 Expected points (xPts) 1.80
17 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
11 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 5
466 Passes 493
87% Pass accuracy 90%
5 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.67 Team rating 7.01

Line-ups

Lazio 4-3-3

946.5 I. Provedel(G)
176.2 Nuno Tavares 256.7 Oliver Provstgaard 346.3 Mario Gila ↓46’ 776.3 A. Marušić
247.3 K. Taylor ↓79’ 327.0 D. Cataldi ↓67’ 76.2 O. Dele-Bashiru
147.3 T. Noslin ↓67’ 277.0 D. Maldini 186.6 G. Isaksen ↓88’
  • 94I. Provedel (G)6.5
  • 17Nuno Tavares6.2
  • 25Oliver Provstgaard6.7
  • 34Mario Gila↓46’6.3
  • 77A. Marušić6.3
  • 24K. Taylor↓79’7.3
  • 32D. Cataldi↓67’7.0
  • 7O. Dele-Bashiru6.2
  • 14T. Noslin↓67’7.3
  • 27D. Maldini7.0
  • 18G. Isaksen↓88’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 4Patric↑46’6.5
  • 6N. Rovella↑67’7.2
  • 20P. Ratkov↑67’6.9
  • 22M. Cancellieri↑79’6.7
  • 19B. Dia↑88’

Unused: A. Furlanetto, E. Motta, E. Hysaj, L. Pellegrini, A. Przyborek, Valerio Farcomeni, R. Belahyane

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

299.2★ M. Carnesecchi(G)
696.5 H. Ahanor ↓25’ 196.9 B. Djimsiti 426.3 G. Scalvini ↓47’
476.9 L. Bernasconi A 137.3 Éderson 156.7 M. de Roon 776.9 D. Zappacosta ↓83’
597.3 N. Zalewski ↓70’ 106.6 L. Samardžić ↓47’
906.6 N. Krstović
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G) ★9.2
  • 69H. Ahanor↓25’6.5
  • 19B. Djimsiti6.9
  • 42G. Scalvini↓47’6.3
  • 47L. BernasconiA6.9
  • 13Éderson7.3
  • 15M. de Roon6.7
  • 77D. Zappacosta↓83’6.9
  • 59N. Zalewski↓70’7.3
  • 10L. Samardžić↓47’6.6
  • 90N. Krstović6.6

Substitutes used

  • 23S. Kolašinac↑25’6.9
  • 3K. Kossounou↑47’6.3
  • 18G. Raspadori↑47’6.3
  • 7K. Sulemana↑70’6.5
  • 16R. Bellanova↑83’6.6

Unused: M. Sportiello, F. Rossi, M. Bakker, I. Hien, Y. Musah, M. Pašalić, G. Scamacca

Player stats

Top rated
M. CarnesecchiAtalanta9.2
2nd
K. TaylorLazio7.3
3rd
T. NoslinLazio7.3

Lazio

Atalanta

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.