Premier League Gameweek 37 Sun, May 17 2026 · 15:00 Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Leeds
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.39 – 3.06
Brighton
  • D. Calvert-Lewin 90’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Calvert-Lewin’s late goal settles it for Leeds

Leeds entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Calvert-Lewin goal. Leeds won despite the lower xG; Brighton created the better chances (3.06 vs 0.39). On the chances created, Brighton deserved more: 2.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Leeds ✓41%
Draw25%
Brighton34%

Model vs reality

Leeds goals
1
Model 1.59 · xG 0.39
Brighton goals
0
Model 1.45 · xG 3.06
Total goals
1
Model 3.04 · xG 3.45
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchK. DarlowLeeds
8.0
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueElland Road
  • Table before kick-offLeeds 14th · Brighton 7th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ L. NmechaFor B. Aaronson
    60’
  3. ⇄ S. LongstaffFor A. Tanaka
    60’
  4. ⇄ D. GnontoFor D. James
    60’
  5. ⇄ D. GómezFor J. Veltman
    65’
  6. ⇄ G. RutterFor D. Welbeck
    65’
  7. ⇄ J. PiroeFor A. Stach
    74’
  8. ⇄ Y. AyariFor C. Baleba
    82’
  9. ⇄ C. KostoulasFor J. Hinshelwood
    82’
  10. D. Calvert-Lewin 1–0
    90’
  11. ⇄ S. ByramFor S. Bornauw
    90+1’
  12. ⇄ S. MarchFor Y. Minteh
    90+3’
  13. D. Calvert-LewinYellow card
    90+7’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Leeds7 shots · 3 in box, 4 outside
Brighton19 shots · 15 in box, 4 outside
LeedsBrighton
34% Possession 66%
0.39 Expected goals (xG) 3.06
0.16 Expected points (xPts) 2.76
7 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 8
3 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Shots inside the box 15
4 Shots outside the box 4
280 Passes 556
67% Pass accuracy 85%
7 Corners 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.22 Team rating 6.74

Line-ups

Leeds 3-5-2

268.0★ K. Darlow(G)
237.0 S. Bornauw ↓90’ 157.3 J. Bijol 67.3 J. Rodon
246.9 J. Justin 226.9 A. Tanaka ↓60’ 47.7 E. Ampadu 187.2 A. Stach ↓74’ 76.9 D. James ↓60’
116.7 B. Aaronson ↓60’ 97.9 D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 26K. Darlow (G) ★8.0
  • 23S. Bornauw↓90’7.0
  • 15J. Bijol7.3
  • 6J. Rodon7.3
  • 24J. Justin6.9
  • 22A. Tanaka↓60’6.9
  • 4E. Ampadu7.7
  • 18A. Stach↓74’7.2
  • 7D. James↓60’6.9
  • 11B. Aaronson↓60’6.7
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin7.9

Substitutes used

  • 25S. Byram↑90’6.6
  • 14L. Nmecha↑60’6.6
  • 8S. Longstaff↑60’6.6
  • 10J. Piroe↑74’6.5
  • 29D. Gnonto↑60’6.7

Unused: Lucas Perri, Alfie Cresswell, Jayden Lienou, Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin

Brighton 4-2-3-1

16.2 B. Verbruggen(G)
297.2 M. De Cuyper 56.6 L. Dunk 65.6 J. van Hecke 346.9 J. Veltman ↓65’
177.0 C. Baleba ↓82’ 307.7 P. Groß
116.9 Y. Minteh ↓90’ 136.5 J. Hinshelwood ↓82’ 247.2 F. Kadıoğlu
186.7 D. Welbeck ↓65’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)6.2
  • 29M. De Cuyper7.2
  • 5L. Dunk6.6
  • 6J. van Hecke5.6
  • 34J. Veltman↓65’6.9
  • 17C. Baleba↓82’7.0
  • 30P. Groß7.7
  • 11Y. Minteh↓90’6.9
  • 13J. Hinshelwood↓82’6.5
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu7.2
  • 18D. Welbeck↓65’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 7S. March↑90’6.5
  • 26Y. Ayari↑82’6.3
  • 25D. Gómez↑65’6.0
  • 19C. Kostoulas↑82’7.0
  • 10G. Rutter↑65’6.5

Unused: J. Steele, J. Milner, O. Boscagli, M. O'Riley

Player stats

Top rated
K. DarlowLeeds8.0
2nd
D. Calvert-LewinLeeds7.9
3rd
E. AmpaduLeeds7.7

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Darlow G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 44% 36 0 0 0/0 0/1 8.0
S. Bornauw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 23 1 0 0/1 2/0 7.0
J. Bijol D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 24 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
J. Rodon D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 18 0 0 0/1 0/0 7.3
J. Justin D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 58% 19 2 2 0/0 0/4 6.9
A. Tanaka M 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 20 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.9
E. Ampadu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 40 1 0 1/1 3/0 7.7
A. Stach M 74 0 0 1 (0) 1 57% 21 3 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
D. James M 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 12 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
B. Aaronson M 60 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 12 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.7
D. Calvert-Lewin F 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 56% 18 0 1 2/2 1/0 7.9
S. Byram D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Nmecha F 30 0 0 0 (0) 2 100% 7 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
S. Longstaff M 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 16 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
J. Piroe F 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
D. Gnonto F 30 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 8 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Brighton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Verbruggen G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 61% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. De Cuyper D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 83% 60 0 2 1/2 1/1 7.2
L. Dunk D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 92 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.6
J. van Hecke D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 98 0 1 0/0 0/2 5.6
J. Veltman D 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 37 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
C. Baleba M 82 0 0 1 (1) 1 84% 37 0 0 0/1 1/2 7.0
P. Groß M 90 0 0 2 (2) 4 90% 68 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
Y. Minteh F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 70% 20 0 1 3/3 1/0 6.9
J. Hinshelwood M 82 0 0 3 (1) 2 85% 27 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
F. Kadıoğlu M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 93% 28 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
D. Welbeck F 65 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 17 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
S. March M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Y. Ayari M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Gómez M 25 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 17 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.0
C. Kostoulas F 8 0 0 1 (1) 1 78% 9 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
G. Rutter F 25 0 0 2 (1) 1 33% 6 1 0 1/3 1/1 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.