Premier League Gameweek 14 Wed, Dec 3 2025 · 20:15 Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Leeds
3–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 2.79 – 0.96
Chelsea
  • J. Bijol 6’
  • A. Tanaka 43’
  • D. Calvert-Lewin 72’
  • 50’ Pedro Neto
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Leeds beat Chelsea

Chelsea entered as favourites, but Leeds won 3–1 through goals from Bijol, Tanaka and Calvert-Lewin. Chelsea replied through a Neto goal. Leeds finished with the higher xG (2.79 vs 0.96).

Leeds ✓24%
Draw24%
Chelsea52%

Model vs reality

Leeds goals
3
Model 1.17 · xG 2.79
Chelsea goals
1
Model 1.84 · xG 0.96
Total goals
4
Model 3.01 · xG 3.75
Score 3–1
2%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. Calvert-LewinLeeds · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeDarren England
  • VenueElland Road
  • Table before kick-offLeeds 18th · Chelsea 4th

Timeline

  1. J. Bijol 1–0Assist A. Stach
    6’
  2. A. StachYellow card · Foul
    35’
  3. EstêvãoYellow card · Foul
    39’
  4. A. Tanaka 2–0Assist J. Bogle
    43’
  5. Half time · 2–0
  6. ⇄ Pedro NetoFor Estêvão
    46’
  7. ⇄ M. GustoFor B. Badiashile
    46’
  8. Pedro Neto 2–1Assist J. Gittens
    50’
  9. ⇄ C. PalmerFor L. Delap
    61’
  10. ⇄ A. GarnachoFor J. Gittens
    61’
  11. ⇄ N. OkaforFor L. Nmecha
    67’
  12. ⇄ I. GruevFor A. Tanaka
    67’
  13. D. Calvert-Lewin 3–1
    72’
  14. ⇄ Marc GuiuFor Andrey Santos
    77’
  15. ⇄ J. PiroeFor D. Calvert-Lewin
    86’
  16. ⇄ J. JustinFor J. Bogle
    87’
  17. ⇄ S. BornauwFor G. Gudmundsson
    90+4’
  18. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Leeds17 shots · 11 in box, 6 outside
Chelsea14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
LeedsChelsea
29% Possession 71%
2.79 Expected goals (xG) 0.96
2.41 Expected points (xPts) 0.45
17 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 2
10 Shots off target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
11 Shots inside the box 11
6 Shots outside the box 3
264 Passes 682
70% Pass accuracy 89%
4 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.02 Team rating 6.57

Line-ups

Leeds 3-5-2

16.7 Lucas Perri(G)
56.6 P. Struijk 157.6 J. Bijol 66.3 J. Rodon
37.3 G. Gudmundsson ↓90’ 187.2 A. Stach A 47.3 E. Ampadu 227.2 A. Tanaka ↓67’ 26.5 J. Bogle A↓87’
146.3 L. Nmecha ↓67’ 98.2★ D. Calvert-Lewin ↓86’
  • 1Lucas Perri (G)6.7
  • 5P. Struijk6.6
  • 15J. Bijol7.6
  • 6J. Rodon6.3
  • 3G. Gudmundsson↓90’7.3
  • 18A. StachA7.2
  • 4E. Ampadu7.3
  • 22A. Tanaka↓67’7.2
  • 2J. BogleA↓87’6.5
  • 14L. Nmecha↓67’6.3
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin ★↓86’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 23S. Bornauw↑90’
  • 24J. Justin↑87’6.6
  • 19N. Okafor↑67’7.2
  • 10J. Piroe↑86’6.7
  • 44I. Gruev↑67’6.6

Unused: K. Darlow, J. Harrison, B. Aaronson, D. Gnonto

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

16.3 Robert Sánchez(G)
36.2 Marc Cucurella 56.2 B. Badiashile ↓46’ 46.3 T. Adarabioyo 236.2 T. Chalobah
176.9 Andrey Santos ↓77’ 86.9 E. Fernández
117.3 J. Gittens A↓61’ 206.3 João Pedro 416.5 Estêvão ↓46’
96.7 L. Delap ↓61’
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)6.3
  • 3Marc Cucurella6.2
  • 5B. Badiashile↓46’6.2
  • 4T. Adarabioyo6.3
  • 23T. Chalobah6.2
  • 17Andrey Santos↓77’6.9
  • 8E. Fernández6.9
  • 11J. GittensA↓61’7.3
  • 20João Pedro6.3
  • 41Estêvão↓46’6.5
  • 9L. Delap↓61’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 7Pedro Neto↑46’7.7
  • 10C. Palmer↑61’6.2
  • 27M. Gusto↑46’6.7
  • 49A. Garnacho↑61’6.9
  • 38Marc Guiu↑77’6.5

Unused: F. Jørgensen, R. James, J. Hato, J. Acheampong

Player stats

Top rated
D. Calvert-LewinLeeds8.2
2nd
Pedro NetoChelsea7.7
3rd
J. BijolLeeds7.6

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Lucas Perri G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 32% 37 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
P. Struijk D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 29 2 2 0/0 1/0 6.6
J. Bijol D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 83% 29 3 0 1/1 2/1 7.6
J. Rodon D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 12 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
G. Gudmundsson D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 67% 18 8 1 1/4 2/3 7.3
A. Stach M 90 0 1 1 (0) 4 76% 25 2 2 0/1 2/0 7.2
E. Ampadu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 28 2 2 0/0 1/2 7.3
A. Tanaka M 67 1 0 4 (1) 0 70% 20 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
J. Bogle D 87 0 1 0 (0) 1 80% 15 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
L. Nmecha F 67 0 0 2 (1) 0 77% 13 1 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
D. Calvert-Lewin F 86 1 0 3 (1) 1 47% 19 1 0 1/1 0/3 8.2
S. Bornauw D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
J. Justin D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
N. Okafor F 23 0 0 2 (1) 1 100% 2 2 0 1/4 0/0 7.2
J. Piroe F 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
I. Gruev M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Robert Sánchez G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 76% 45 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Marc Cucurella D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 57 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
B. Badiashile D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 52 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
T. Adarabioyo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 104 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
T. Chalobah D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 98% 113 3 1 0/0 1/1 6.2
Andrey Santos M 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 67 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.9
E. Fernández M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 89% 82 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Gittens F 61 0 1 0 (0) 1 82% 17 1 0 3/3 0/0 7.3
João Pedro F 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 78% 32 1 0 1/2 2/1 6.3
Estêvão F 46 0 0 1 (0) 1 85% 20 1 0 2/6 1/3 6.5
L. Delap F 61 0 0 3 (1) 0 50% 6 0 0 1/1 1/2 6.7
Pedro Neto F 44 1 0 1 (1) 0 78% 18 0 0 0/1 1/0 7.7
C. Palmer M 29 0 0 1 (0) 0 68% 19 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
M. Gusto D 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 39 4 1 0/1 0/0 6.7
A. Garnacho F 29 0 0 0 (0) 2 90% 10 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
Marc Guiu F 13 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.