Premier League Gameweek 1 Mon, Aug 18 2025 · 20:00 Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.13 – 0.80
  • L. Nmecha 84’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nmecha goal decides it for Leeds

Leeds entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Nmecha goal. Leeds finished with the higher xG (2.13 vs 0.80).

Leeds ✓45%
Draw25%
Everton30%

Model vs reality

Leeds goals
1
Model 1.67 · xG 2.13
Everton goals
0
Model 1.32 · xG 0.80
Total goals
1
Model 2.99 · xG 2.93
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. GudmundssonLeeds
7.3
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueElland Road

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. T. IroegbunamYellow card · Foul
    56’
  3. C. AlcarazYellow card · Argument
    63’
  4. ⇄ B. AaronsonFor D. Gnonto
    67’
  5. ⇄ J. GrealishFor T. Iroegbunam
    71’
  6. ⇄ L. NmechaFor J. Piroe
    78’
  7. ⇄ J. HarrisonFor D. James
    78’
  8. ⇄ I. GruevFor E. Ampadu
    78’
  9. L. Nmecha (pen) 1–0
    84’
  10. ⇄ T. BarryFor C. Alcaraz
    86’
  11. ⇄ S. LongstaffFor A. Tanaka
    90+4’
  12. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Leeds21 shots · 12 in box, 9 outside
Everton7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
LeedsEverton
54% Possession 46%
2.13 Expected goals (xG) 0.80
2.23 Expected points (xPts) 0.58
21 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
7 Shots off target 3
11 Blocked shots 3
12 Shots inside the box 5
9 Shots outside the box 2
481 Passes 411
83% Pass accuracy 79%
7 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.89 Team rating 6.63

Line-ups

Leeds 4-3-3

16.7 Lucas Perri(G)
37.3★ G. Gudmundsson 57.2 P. Struijk 67.0 J. Rodon 27.2 J. Bogle
187.2 A. Stach 47.0 E. Ampadu ↓78’ 226.7 A. Tanaka ↓90’
296.6 D. Gnonto ↓67’ 106.2 J. Piroe ↓78’ 76.5 D. James ↓78’
  • 1Lucas Perri (G)6.7
  • 3G. Gudmundsson ★7.3
  • 5P. Struijk7.2
  • 6J. Rodon7.0
  • 2J. Bogle7.2
  • 18A. Stach7.2
  • 4E. Ampadu↓78’7.0
  • 22A. Tanaka↓90’6.7
  • 29D. Gnonto↓67’6.6
  • 10J. Piroe↓78’6.2
  • 7D. James↓78’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 14L. Nmecha↑78’7.2
  • 8S. Longstaff↑90’
  • 20J. Harrison↑78’6.6
  • 44I. Gruev↑78’6.3
  • 11B. Aaronson↑67’7.3

Unused: K. Darlow, S. Bornauw, S. Byram, L. Ramazani

Everton 4-2-3-1

16.6 J. Pickford(G)
376.3 J. Garner 56.7 M. Keane 67.3 J. Tarkowski 156.3 J. O'Brien
276.6 I. Gueye 426.9 T. Iroegbunam ↓71’
106.5 I. Ndiaye 227.3 K. Dewsbury-Hall 246.3 C. Alcaraz ↓86’
96.3 Beto
  • 1J. Pickford (G)6.6
  • 37J. Garner6.3
  • 5M. Keane6.7
  • 6J. Tarkowski7.3
  • 15J. O'Brien6.3
  • 27I. Gueye6.6
  • 42T. Iroegbunam↓71’6.9
  • 10I. Ndiaye6.5
  • 22K. Dewsbury-Hall7.3
  • 24C. Alcaraz↓86’6.3
  • 9Beto6.3

Substitutes used

  • 18J. Grealish↑71’6.3
  • 11T. Barry↑86’6.2

Unused: H. Tyrer, M. Travers, H. Armstrong, S. Coleman, D. McNeil, T. Onyango, Youssef Chermiti

Player stats

Top rated
G. GudmundssonLeeds7.3
2nd
B. AaronsonLeeds7.3
3rd
J. TarkowskiEverton7.3

Leeds

Everton

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.