Premier League Gameweek 22 Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 15:00 Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Leeds
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.43 – 0.39
Fulham
  • L. Nmecha 90’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nmecha’s late goal settles it for Leeds

Leeds entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Nmecha goal. Leeds finished with the higher xG (1.43 vs 0.39).

Leeds ✓42%
Draw26%
Fulham32%

Model vs reality

Leeds goals
1
Model 1.53 · xG 1.43
Fulham goals
0
Model 1.32 · xG 0.39
Total goals
1
Model 2.85 · xG 1.82
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. AmpaduLeeds · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueElland Road
  • Table before kick-offLeeds 16th · Fulham 9th

Timeline

  1. T. CastagneYellow card · Foul
    27’
  2. S. LukićYellow card · Foul
    28’
  3. E. AmpaduYellow card · Argument
    41’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. H. WilsonYellow card · Foul
    56’
  6. ⇄ KevinFor K. Sessegnon
    65’
  7. ⇄ T. CairneyFor S. Lukić
    66’
  8. ⇄ D. GnontoFor N. Okafor
    70’
  9. ⇄ J. KingFor E. Smith Rowe
    77’
  10. ⇄ L. NmechaFor J. Bogle
    81’
  11. ⇄ A. TanakaFor I. Gruev
    81’
  12. Jorge CuencaYellow card · Foul
    87’
  13. ⇄ I. DiopFor H. Wilson
    88’
  14. ⇄ J. Kusi-AsareFor R. Jiménez
    88’
  15. L. Nmecha 1–0Assist E. Ampadu
    90’
  16. ⇄ S. BornauwFor B. Aaronson
    90+4’
  17. J. Kusi-AsareYellow card · Foul
    90+5’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Leeds14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Fulham8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
LeedsFulham
46% Possession 54%
1.43 Expected goals (xG) 0.39
2.17 Expected points (xPts) 0.56
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
8 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 5
4 Shots outside the box 3
402 Passes 477
77% Pass accuracy 81%
7 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Fouls 11
8 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.84 Team rating 6.70

Line-ups

Leeds 3-5-2

266.5 K. Darlow(G)
56.9 P. Struijk 66.3 J. Rodon 246.9 J. Justin
37.2 G. Gudmundsson 446.7 I. Gruev ↓81’ 48.0★ E. Ampadu A 116.6 B. Aaronson ↓90’ 27.0 J. Bogle ↓81’
196.6 N. Okafor ↓70’ 96.5 D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 26K. Darlow (G)6.5
  • 5P. Struijk6.9
  • 6J. Rodon6.3
  • 24J. Justin6.9
  • 3G. Gudmundsson7.2
  • 44I. Gruev↓81’6.7
  • 4E. Ampadu ★A8.0
  • 11B. Aaronson↓90’6.6
  • 2J. Bogle↓81’7.0
  • 19N. Okafor↓70’6.6
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin6.5

Substitutes used

  • 23S. Bornauw↑90’
  • 14L. Nmecha↑81’7.7
  • 22A. Tanaka↑81’6.7
  • 29D. Gnonto↑70’6.5

Unused: Lucas Perri, S. Byram, S. Longstaff, J. Piroe, F. Buonanotte

Fulham 4-2-3-1

16.9 B. Leno(G)
336.7 A. Robinson 156.2 Jorge Cuenca 57.2 J. Andersen 216.5 T. Castagne
167.0 S. Berge 206.5 S. Lukić ↓66’
326.9 E. Smith Rowe ↓77’ 86.6 H. Wilson ↓88’ 306.3 K. Sessegnon ↓65’
77.0 R. Jiménez ↓88’
  • 1B. Leno (G)6.9
  • 33A. Robinson6.7
  • 15Jorge Cuenca6.2
  • 5J. Andersen7.2
  • 21T. Castagne6.5
  • 16S. Berge7.0
  • 20S. Lukić↓66’6.5
  • 32E. Smith Rowe↓77’6.9
  • 8H. Wilson↓88’6.6
  • 30K. Sessegnon↓65’6.3
  • 7R. Jiménez↓88’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 10T. Cairney↑66’6.3
  • 31I. Diop↑88’6.3
  • 22Kevin↑65’6.3
  • 24J. King↑77’6.5
  • 18J. Kusi-Asare↑88’6.5

Unused: B. Lecomte, Adama Traoré, S. Amissah, H. Reed

Player stats

Top rated
E. AmpaduLeeds8.0
2nd
G. GudmundssonLeeds7.2
3rd
J. AndersenFulham7.2

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Darlow G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 43% 44 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.5
P. Struijk D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 55 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
J. Rodon D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 52 0 1 0/0 2/1 6.3
J. Justin D 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 85% 48 3 2 0/1 1/1 6.9
G. Gudmundsson D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 26 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.2
I. Gruev M 81 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 28 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
E. Ampadu D 90 0 1 0 (0) 4 84% 49 1 0 1/1 0/2 8.0
B. Aaronson M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 71% 21 2 1 2/2 2/2 6.6
J. Bogle D 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 68% 28 2 1 0/1 0/1 7.0
N. Okafor F 70 0 0 2 (1) 1 80% 15 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
D. Calvert-Lewin F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 73% 15 0 0 0/2 0/2 6.5
S. Bornauw D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
L. Nmecha F 9 1 0 3 (2) 0 43% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
A. Tanaka M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
D. Gnonto F 20 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 7 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.5

Fulham

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Leno G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 83% 40 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Robinson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 37 6 0 0/2 1/0 6.7
Jorge Cuenca D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 74 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.2
J. Andersen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 93 2 0 0/0 2/0 7.2
T. Castagne D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 42 1 3 0/0 0/0 6.5
S. Berge M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 54 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
S. Lukić M 66 0 0 1 (1) 1 93% 15 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
E. Smith Rowe M 77 0 0 1 (0) 1 79% 33 4 3 1/2 0/0 6.9
H. Wilson M 88 0 0 1 (0) 3 75% 20 0 2 1/1 1/1 6.6
K. Sessegnon M 65 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Jiménez F 88 0 0 2 (0) 0 48% 27 0 0 1/1 2/3 7.0
T. Cairney M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 21 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
I. Diop D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Kevin M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
J. King M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
J. Kusi-Asare F 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.