Premier League Gameweek 7 Sun, Oct 18 2026 · 14:00 Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Leeds
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.00 – 0.93
Manchester United
  • D. Calvert-Lewin 51’
  • 35’ B. Mbeumo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Leeds and Manchester United share the points

Leeds entered as narrow favourites, yet Manchester United led 1–0 at half-time through a Mbeumo goal. But Calvert-Lewin scored to rescue a draw for Leeds. The chances were even, with xG of 1.00 and 0.93.

Leeds44%
Draw ✓24%
Manchester United32%

Model vs reality

Leeds goals
1
Model 1.77 · xG 1.00
Manchester United goals
1
Model 1.48 · xG 0.93
Total goals
2
Model 3.25 · xG 1.93
Score 1–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 63%
Both scored
Yes
Model 65%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. Calvert-LewinLeeds · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeDarren England
  • CoachesDaniel Farke · M. Carrick
  • VenueElland Road
  • Table before kick-offLeeds 8th · Manchester United 14th
  • Weather at kick-off12°C · Overcast · wind 15 km/h

Timeline

  1. Bruno FernandesYellow card · Foul
    17’
  2. G. GudmundssonYellow card · Foul
    19’
  3. B. Mbeumo 0–1Assist Y. Tielemans
    35’
  4. ⇄ N. MazraouiFor L. Martínez
    45’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. D. Calvert-Lewin 1–1Assist T. Muharemović
    51’
  7. ⇄ L. NmechaFor N. Okafor
    74’
  8. ⇄ Mason MountFor C. Baleba
    74’
  9. ⇄ S. LongstaffFor A. Tanaka
    81’
  10. ⇄ Matheus CunhaFor Y. Tielemans
    84’
  11. E. AmpaduYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  12. Andrey SantosYellow card · Argument
    90+2’
  13. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Leeds12 shots · 10 in box, 2 outside
Manchester United13 shots · 6 in box, 7 outside
LeedsManchester United
62% Possession 38%
1.00 Expected goals (xG) 0.93
1.40 Expected points (xPts) 1.29
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
10 Shots inside the box 6
2 Shots outside the box 7
530 Passes 345
84% Pass accuracy 74%
2 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
16 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.69 Team rating 6.69

Line-ups

Leeds 3-4-2-1

16.6 J. Trafford(G)
57.2 T. Muharemović A 306.9 N. Elvedi 246.5 J. Justin
36.4 G. Gudmundsson 226.5 A. Tanaka ↓81’ 46.4 E. Ampadu 26.2 J. Bogle
196.3 N. Okafor ↓74’ 186.7 A. Stach
98.0★ D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 1J. Trafford (G)6.6
  • 5T. MuharemovićA7.2
  • 30N. Elvedi6.9
  • 24J. Justin6.5
  • 3G. Gudmundsson6.4
  • 22A. Tanaka↓81’6.5
  • 4E. Ampadu6.4
  • 2J. Bogle6.2
  • 19N. Okafor↓74’6.3
  • 18A. Stach6.7
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin ★8.0

Substitutes used

  • 14L. Nmecha↑74’6.6
  • 8S. Longstaff↑81’6.2

Unused: H. Wilson, B. Aaronson, J. Bahoya, M. Zetterer, M. Bard, J. Bijol, I. Gruev

Coach: Daniel Farke

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

16.4 S. Lammens(G)
26.8 Diogo Dalot 66.0 L. Martínez ↓45’ 57.3 J. Maguire 156.4 L. Yoro
206.6 C. Baleba ↓74’ 176.3 Andrey Santos
86.3 Bruno Fernandes 187.7 Y. Tielemans A↓84’ 166.2 A. Diallo
197.4 B. Mbeumo
  • 1S. Lammens (G)6.4
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.8
  • 6L. Martínez↓45’6.0
  • 5J. Maguire7.3
  • 15L. Yoro6.4
  • 20C. Baleba↓74’6.6
  • 17Andrey Santos6.3
  • 8Bruno Fernandes6.3
  • 18Y. TielemansA↓84’7.7
  • 16A. Diallo6.2
  • 19B. Mbeumo7.4

Substitutes used

  • 3N. Mazraoui↑45’6.7
  • 7Mason Mount↑74’6.6
  • 10Matheus Cunha↑84’6.5

Unused: M. de Ligt, H. Amass, Shea Lacey, M. Rashford, K. Darlow, J. Zirkzee

Coach: M. Carrick

Player stats

Top rated
D. Calvert-LewinLeeds8.0
2nd
Y. TielemansManchester United7.7
3rd
B. MbeumoManchester United7.4

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
J. Trafford G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 74% 50 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
T. Muharemović D 90 0 1 1 (0) 2 84% 87 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.2
N. Elvedi D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 82 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.9
J. Justin D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 63 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
G. Gudmundsson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 1 1 0/1 1/1 6.4
A. Tanaka M 81 0 0 2 (1) 0 89% 53 2 0 1/1 3/1 6.5
E. Ampadu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 72 2 0 0/0 5/0 6.4
J. Bogle D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 78% 37 2 0 0/3 2/1 6.2
N. Okafor F 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 15 0 0 1/3 0/0 6.3
A. Stach M 90 0 0 2 (1) 3 73% 30 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
D. Calvert-Lewin F 90 1 0 3 (1) 1 74% 19 1 1 1/5 3/1 8.0
L. Nmecha F 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 4 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
S. Longstaff M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 45% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.4
Diogo Dalot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 68% 44 4 4 1/2 0/1 6.8
L. Martínez D 45 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
J. Maguire D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 34 3 2 0/0 0/2 7.3
L. Yoro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 23 1 2 0/0 0/2 6.4
C. Baleba M 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 26 1 1 1/1 2/1 6.6
Andrey Santos M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 36 1 2 0/0 0/3 6.3
Bruno Fernandes M 90 0 0 3 (1) 1 62% 37 1 1 0/2 0/0 6.3
Y. Tielemans M 84 0 1 1 (0) 3 77% 26 1 1 0/0 2/1 7.7
A. Diallo F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 88% 24 6 0 0/1 0/2 6.2
B. Mbeumo M 90 1 0 3 (2) 0 58% 12 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.4
N. Mazraoui D 45 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 16 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.7
Mason Mount M 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 9 1 0 1/1 0/2 6.6
Matheus Cunha F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.