Premier League Gameweek 7 Sat, Oct 4 2025 · 12:30 Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.68 – 0.53
  • N. Okafor 34’
  • 23’ M. Tel
  • 57’ M. Kudus
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Tottenham beat Leeds

Leeds entered as narrow favourites, but Tottenham won 2–1 through goals from Tel and Kudus. Leeds replied through a Okafor goal. Tottenham won despite the lower xG; Leeds created the better chances (1.68 vs 0.53). On the chances created, Leeds deserved more: 2.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Leeds43%
Draw26%
Tottenham ✓32%

Model vs reality

Leeds goals
1
Model 1.57 · xG 1.68
Tottenham goals
2
Model 1.32 · xG 0.53
Total goals
3
Model 2.90 · xG 2.21
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. KudusTottenham · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeThomas Bramall
  • VenueElland Road
  • Table before kick-offLeeds 12th · Tottenham 5th

Timeline

  1. M. KudusYellow card · Foul
    22’
  2. M. Tel 0–1Assist M. Kudus
    23’
  3. N. Okafor 1–1
    34’
  4. João PalhinhaYellow card · Foul
    41’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. E. AmpaduYellow card · Foul
    52’
  7. M. Kudus 1–2
    57’
  8. N. OkaforYellow card · Argument
    64’
  9. C. RomeroYellow card · Argument
    64’
  10. ⇄ J. HarrisonFor B. Aaronson
    67’
  11. ⇄ A. TanakaFor A. Stach
    67’
  12. ⇄ P. SarrFor M. Tel
    73’
  13. ⇄ RicharlisonFor X. Simons
    74’
  14. ⇄ L. NmechaFor G. Gudmundsson
    79’
  15. ⇄ J. PiroeFor N. Okafor
    79’
  16. ⇄ K. DansoFor W. Odobert
    85’
  17. ⇄ J. JustinFor J. Bogle
    89’
  18. ⇄ B. JohnsonFor M. Kudus
    90’
  19. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Leeds16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
Tottenham9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
LeedsTottenham
57% Possession 43%
1.68 Expected goals (xG) 0.53
2.20 Expected points (xPts) 0.57
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
10 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 4
5 Shots outside the box 5
478 Passes 374
84% Pass accuracy 80%
4 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.56 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Leeds 4-3-3

265.6 K. Darlow(G)
35.9 G. Gudmundsson ↓79’ 56.2 P. Struijk 66.9 J. Rodon 26.9 J. Bogle ↓89’
186.7 A. Stach ↓67’ 46.9 E. Ampadu 86.9 S. Longstaff
197.3 N. Okafor ↓79’ 96.2 D. Calvert-Lewin 116.7 B. Aaronson ↓67’
  • 26K. Darlow (G)5.6
  • 3G. Gudmundsson↓79’5.9
  • 5P. Struijk6.2
  • 6J. Rodon6.9
  • 2J. Bogle↓89’6.9
  • 18A. Stach↓67’6.7
  • 4E. Ampadu6.9
  • 8S. Longstaff6.9
  • 19N. Okafor↓79’7.3
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin6.2
  • 11B. Aaronson↓67’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 24J. Justin↑89’6.7
  • 14L. Nmecha↑79’6.2
  • 20J. Harrison↑67’6.3
  • 10J. Piroe↑79’6.9
  • 22A. Tanaka↑67’6.9

Unused: I. Meslier, S. Bornauw, J. Bijol, I. Gruev

Tottenham 4-2-3-1

17.6 G. Vicario(G)
136.9 I. Udogie 376.9 M. van de Ven 176.6 C. Romero 235.6 Pedro Porro
66.3 João Palhinha 306.5 R. Bentancur
286.6 W. Odobert ↓85’ 76.2 X. Simons ↓74’ 208.0★ M. Kudus A↓90’
117.6 M. Tel ↓73’
  • 1G. Vicario (G)7.6
  • 13I. Udogie6.9
  • 37M. van de Ven6.9
  • 17C. Romero6.6
  • 23Pedro Porro5.6
  • 6João Palhinha6.3
  • 30R. Bentancur6.5
  • 28W. Odobert↓85’6.6
  • 7X. Simons↓74’6.2
  • 20M. Kudus ★A↓90’8.0
  • 11M. Tel↓73’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 22B. Johnson↑90’6.3
  • 4K. Danso↑85’6.7
  • 9Richarlison↑74’6.2
  • 29P. Sarr↑73’6.9

Unused: A. Kinský, A. Gray, B. Davies, D. Spence, L. Bergvall

Player stats

Top rated
M. KudusTottenham8.0
2nd
G. VicarioTottenham7.6
3rd
M. TelTottenham7.6

Leeds

Tottenham

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.