Premier League Gameweek 9 Fri, Oct 24 2025 · 20:00 Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
2–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.49 – 0.65
  • B. Aaronson 3’
  • J. Rodon 15’
  • 90’ Mateus Fernandes
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Leeds beat West Ham

Leeds entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Aaronson and Rodon. West Ham replied through a Fernandes goal. Leeds finished with the higher xG (1.49 vs 0.65).

Leeds ✓52%
Draw24%
West Ham24%

Model vs reality

Leeds goals
2
Model 1.83 · xG 1.49
West Ham goals
1
Model 1.16 · xG 0.65
Total goals
3
Model 2.99 · xG 2.14
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. AaronsonLeeds · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeStuart Attwell
  • VenueElland Road
  • Table before kick-offLeeds 16th · West Ham 19th

Timeline

  1. B. Aaronson 1–0
    3’
  2. J. Rodon 2–0Assist S. Longstaff
    15’
  3. ⇄ C. WilsonFor O. Scarles
    25’
  4. C. SummervilleYellow card · Foul
    40’
  5. ⇄ J. JustinFor G. Gudmundsson
    44’
  6. Half time · 2–0
  7. ⇄ J. HarrisonFor N. Okafor
    46’
  8. Lucas PaquetáYellow card · Argument
    55’
  9. ⇄ F. PottsFor A. Irving
    64’
  10. ⇄ Mateus FernandesFor T. Souček
    65’
  11. ⇄ I. GruevFor A. Tanaka
    72’
  12. I. GruevYellow card · Foul
    76’
  13. ⇄ K. Walker-PetersFor A. Wan-Bissaka
    79’
  14. ⇄ S. MagassaFor C. Summerville
    79’
  15. Lucas PerriYellow card · Time wasting
    84’
  16. ⇄ D. JamesFor B. Aaronson
    87’
  17. ⇄ L. NmechaFor D. Calvert-Lewin
    87’
  18. Mateus Fernandes 2–1Assist J. Bowen
    90’
  19. J. TodiboYellow card · Argument
    90+2’
  20. J. JustinYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  21. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Leeds13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
West Ham9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
LeedsWest Ham
41% Possession 59%
1.49 Expected goals (xG) 0.65
1.99 Expected points (xPts) 0.75
13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 4
5 Shots outside the box 5
369 Passes 525
80% Pass accuracy 82%
3 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.94 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

Leeds 4-3-3

17.5 Lucas Perri(G)
36.9 G. Gudmundsson ↓44’ 156.9 J. Bijol 68.0 J. Rodon 26.3 J. Bogle
226.3 A. Tanaka ↓72’ 46.6 E. Ampadu 87.2 S. Longstaff A
196.9 N. Okafor ↓46’ 95.6 D. Calvert-Lewin ↓87’ 118.3★ B. Aaronson ↓87’
  • 1Lucas Perri (G)7.5
  • 3G. Gudmundsson↓44’6.9
  • 15J. Bijol6.9
  • 6J. Rodon8.0
  • 2J. Bogle6.3
  • 22A. Tanaka↓72’6.3
  • 4E. Ampadu6.6
  • 8S. LongstaffA7.2
  • 19N. Okafor↓46’6.9
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin↓87’5.6
  • 11B. Aaronson ★↓87’8.3

Substitutes used

  • 7D. James↑87’6.3
  • 24J. Justin↑44’6.5
  • 14L. Nmecha↑87’6.3
  • 20J. Harrison↑46’6.9
  • 44I. Gruev↑72’6.5

Unused: K. Darlow, A. Stach, J. Piroe, P. Struijk

West Ham 3-4-3

237.2 A. Areola(G)
296.2 A. Wan-Bissaka ↓79’ 36.9 M. Kilman 256.6 J. Todibo
126.9 E. Diouf 396.5 A. Irving ↓64’ 286.3 T. Souček ↓65’ 306.2 O. Scarles ↓25’
207.7 J. Bowen A 106.9 Lucas Paquetá 76.5 C. Summerville ↓79’
  • 23A. Areola (G)7.2
  • 29A. Wan-Bissaka↓79’6.2
  • 3M. Kilman6.9
  • 25J. Todibo6.6
  • 12E. Diouf6.9
  • 39A. Irving↓64’6.5
  • 28T. Souček↓65’6.3
  • 30O. Scarles↓25’6.2
  • 20J. BowenA7.7
  • 10Lucas Paquetá6.9
  • 7C. Summerville↓79’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 2K. Walker-Peters↑79’6.9
  • 27S. Magassa↑79’6.9
  • 9C. Wilson↑25’6.2
  • 32F. Potts↑64’6.9
  • 18Mateus Fernandes↑65’7.3

Unused: M. Hermansen, Igor Julio, C. Marshall, G. Rodríguez

Player stats

Top rated
B. AaronsonLeeds8.3
2nd
J. RodonLeeds8.0
3rd
J. BowenWest Ham7.7

Leeds

West Ham

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.