Premier League Gameweek 3 Sun, Aug 31 2025 · 16:30 Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.52 – 0.49
Arsenal
  • D. Szoboszlai 83’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Szoboszlai goal decides it for Liverpool

Liverpool entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Szoboszlai goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.52 and 0.49. On the chances created, Arsenal deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Liverpool ✓45%
Draw25%
Arsenal30%

Model vs reality

Liverpool goals
1
Model 1.66 · xG 0.52
Arsenal goals
0
Model 1.32 · xG 0.49
Total goals
1
Model 2.98 · xG 1.01
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. SzoboszlaiLiverpool · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueAnfield
  • Table before kick-offLiverpool 4th · Arsenal 2nd

Timeline

  1. ⇄ Cristhian MosqueraFor W. Saliba
    5’
  2. R. GravenberchYellow card · Foul
    29’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ C. JonesFor A. Mac Allister
    61’
  5. V. GyökeresYellow card · Foul
    66’
  6. ⇄ M. ØdegaardFor Mikel Merino
    70’
  7. ⇄ E. EzeFor Gabriel Martinelli
    70’
  8. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor H. Ekitiké
    79’
  9. ⇄ J. GomezFor I. Konaté
    79’
  10. Martín ZubimendiYellow card · Foul
    81’
  11. D. Szoboszlai 1–0
    83’
  12. ⇄ W. EndōFor F. Wirtz
    89’
  13. ⇄ M. DowmanFor C. Madueke
    89’
  14. W. EndōYellow card · Foul
    90+8’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Liverpool9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
Arsenal11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
LiverpoolArsenal
53% Possession 47%
0.52 Expected goals (xG) 0.49
1.30 Expected points (xPts) 1.24
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
2 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 7
4 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 3
435 Passes 371
85% Pass accuracy 82%
3 Corners 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.14 Team rating 6.72

Line-ups

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

17.3 A. Becker(G)
67.9 M. Kerkez 47.9 V. van Dijk 57.2 I. Konaté ↓79’ 88.2★ D. Szoboszlai
106.6 A. Mac Allister ↓61’ 386.6 R. Gravenberch
187.0 C. Gakpo 77.2 F. Wirtz ↓89’ 116.2 Mohamed Salah
226.3 H. Ekitiké ↓79’
  • 1A. Becker (G)7.3
  • 6M. Kerkez7.9
  • 4V. van Dijk7.9
  • 5I. Konaté↓79’7.2
  • 8D. Szoboszlai ★8.2
  • 10A. Mac Allister↓61’6.6
  • 38R. Gravenberch6.6
  • 18C. Gakpo7.0
  • 7F. Wirtz↓89’7.2
  • 11Mohamed Salah6.2
  • 22H. Ekitiké↓79’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14F. Chiesa↑79’6.5
  • 17C. Jones↑61’6.9
  • 3W. Endō↑89’6.5
  • 2J. Gomez↑79’7.0

Unused: G. Mamardashvili, H. Elliott, A. Robertson, C. Bradley, R. Ngumoha

Arsenal 4-3-3

16.9 David Raya(G)
336.6 R. Calafiori 66.5 Gabriel Magalhães 2 W. Saliba ↓5’ 126.5 J. Timber
416.7 D. Rice 366.5 Martín Zubimendi 236.9 Mikel Merino ↓70’
116.9 Gabriel Martinelli ↓70’ 146.5 V. Gyökeres 206.9 C. Madueke ↓89’
  • 1David Raya (G)6.9
  • 33R. Calafiori6.6
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães6.5
  • 2W. Saliba↓5’
  • 12J. Timber6.5
  • 41D. Rice6.7
  • 36Martín Zubimendi6.5
  • 23Mikel Merino↓70’6.9
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↓70’6.9
  • 14V. Gyökeres6.5
  • 20C. Madueke↓89’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Ødegaard↑70’6.5
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera↑5’7.2
  • 56M. Dowman↑89’6.2
  • 10E. Eze↑70’6.7

Unused: Kepa, E. Nwaneri, M. Lewis-Skelly, A. Annous, L. Trossard

Player stats

Top rated
D. SzoboszlaiLiverpool8.2
2nd
M. KerkezLiverpool7.9
3rd
V. van DijkLiverpool7.9

Liverpool

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Becker G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 81% 47 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
M. Kerkez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 29 3 0 0/0 0/2 7.9
V. van Dijk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 81 0 1 1/1 0/1 7.9
I. Konaté D 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 44 1 0 0/0 2/0 7.2
D. Szoboszlai M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 90% 52 2 1 0/0 0/0 8.2
A. Mac Allister M 61 0 0 0 (0) 2 84% 25 0 2 0/3 1/0 6.6
R. Gravenberch M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 57 1 1 2/2 1/1 6.6
C. Gakpo F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 78% 18 1 1 1/1 1/3 7.0
F. Wirtz M 89 0 0 1 (1) 1 71% 28 2 1 3/3 0/0 7.2
Mohamed Salah F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 20 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.2
H. Ekitiké F 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 1 0 0/2 1/1 6.3
F. Chiesa F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
C. Jones M 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 22 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
W. Endō M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
J. Gomez D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 2 sv 1 66% 44 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
R. Calafiori D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 35 2 3 0/0 0/2 6.6
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 41 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.5
W. Saliba D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 1 0/0 0/0 —
J. Timber D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 25 2 0 0/0 2/1 6.5
D. Rice M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 52 0 3 1/2 1/0 6.7
Martín Zubimendi M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 41 1 1 0/0 3/0 6.5
Mikel Merino M 70 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 22 3 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
Gabriel Martinelli F 70 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
V. Gyökeres F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 71% 7 0 0 0/1 0/3 6.5
C. Madueke F 89 0 0 2 (1) 0 56% 16 0 0 1/1 2/0 6.9
M. Ødegaard M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Cristhian Mosquera D 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 51 4 0 0/1 0/0 7.2
M. Dowman M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.2
E. Eze M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.