Premier League Gameweek 33 Sun, Apr 19 2026 · 16:30 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Manchester City
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.36 – 1.62
Arsenal
  • M. Cherki 16’
  • E. Haaland 65’
  • 18’ K. Havertz
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester City beat Arsenal

Manchester City entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Cherki and Haaland. Arsenal replied through a Havertz goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.36 and 1.62. On the chances created, Arsenal deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Manchester City ✓41%
Draw26%
Arsenal33%

Model vs reality

Manchester City goals
2
Model 1.54 · xG 1.36
Arsenal goals
1
Model 1.36 · xG 1.62
Total goals
3
Model 2.90 · xG 2.98
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. O'ReillyManchester City
8.3
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueEtihad Stadium
  • Table before kick-offManchester City 2nd · Arsenal 1st

Timeline

  1. M. Cherki 1–0Assist M. Nunes
    16’
  2. K. Havertz 1–1
    18’
  3. Cristhian MosqueraYellow card · Persistent fouling
    36’
  4. Half time · 1–1
  5. ⇄ Gabriel MartinelliFor C. Madueke
    46’
  6. A. GuéhiYellow card · Foul
    60’
  7. E. Haaland 2–1
    65’
  8. ⇄ B. WhiteFor Cristhian Mosquera
    74’
  9. ⇄ L. TrossardFor E. Eze
    74’
  10. E. HaalandYellow card · Argument
    83’
  11. Gabriel MagalhãesYellow card · Argument
    83’
  12. ⇄ V. GyökeresFor Martín Zubimendi
    84’
  13. ⇄ P. FodenFor M. Cherki
    85’
  14. ⇄ Nico GonzálezFor Rodri
    88’
  15. ⇄ SavinhoFor J. Doku
    88’
  16. ⇄ N. AkéFor A. Semenyo
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Manchester City15 shots · 13 in box, 2 outside
Arsenal9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
Manchester CityArsenal
59% Possession 41%
1.36 Expected goals (xG) 1.62
1.21 Expected points (xPts) 1.55
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
13 Shots inside the box 8
2 Shots outside the box 1
498 Passes 348
85% Pass accuracy 75%
8 Corners 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 4
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.13 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

256.2 G. Donnarumma(G)
338.3★ N. O'Reilly 156.7 A. Guéhi 456.9 A. Khusanov 277.2 M. Nunes A
167.6 Rodri ↓88’ 206.3 Bernardo Silva
117.5 J. Doku ↓88’ 108.2 M. Cherki ↓85’ 426.2 A. Semenyo ↓90’
97.5 E. Haaland
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)6.2
  • 33N. O'Reilly ★8.3
  • 15A. Guéhi6.7
  • 45A. Khusanov6.9
  • 27M. NunesA7.2
  • 16Rodri↓88’7.6
  • 20Bernardo Silva6.3
  • 11J. Doku↓88’7.5
  • 10M. Cherki↓85’8.2
  • 42A. Semenyo↓90’6.2
  • 9E. Haaland7.5

Substitutes used

  • 6N. Aké↑90’
  • 47P. Foden↑85’6.7
  • 14Nico González↑88’6.7
  • 26Savinho↑88’6.3

Unused: J. Trafford, T. Reijnders, R. Aït-Nouri, J. Stones, O. Marmoush

Arsenal 4-3-3

16.5 David Raya(G)
56.5 P. Hincapié 66.9 Gabriel Magalhães 26.9 W. Saliba 36.7 Cristhian Mosquera ↓74’
416.5 D. Rice 366.9 Martín Zubimendi ↓84’ 86.5 M. Ødegaard
106.3 E. Eze ↓74’ 297.3 K. Havertz 206.3 C. Madueke ↓46’
  • 1David Raya (G)6.5
  • 5P. Hincapié6.5
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães6.9
  • 2W. Saliba6.9
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera↓74’6.7
  • 41D. Rice6.5
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↓84’6.9
  • 8M. Ødegaard6.5
  • 10E. Eze↓74’6.3
  • 29K. Havertz7.3
  • 20C. Madueke↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14V. Gyökeres↑84’6.2
  • 4B. White↑74’6.7
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↑46’6.3
  • 19L. Trossard↑74’7.0

Unused: Kepa, G. de Jesus, M. Lewis-Skelly, M. Dowman, C. Nørgaard

Player stats

Top rated
N. O'ReillyManchester City8.3
2nd
M. CherkiManchester City8.2
3rd
RodriManchester City7.6

Manchester City

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Donnarumma G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 77% 44 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
N. O'Reilly M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 46 1 2 1/2 1/1 8.3
A. Guéhi D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 92% 71 1 2 0/0 1/1 6.7
A. Khusanov D 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 93% 42 1 4 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Nunes M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 91% 33 2 0 0/2 1/0 7.2
Rodri M 88 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 74 2 0 0/0 0/1 7.6
Bernardo Silva M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 59 3 0 1/2 1/1 6.3
J. Doku F 88 0 0 2 (1) 1 81% 42 1 0 3/7 1/6 7.5
M. Cherki M 85 1 0 1 (1) 2 83% 48 0 0 3/3 0/0 8.2
A. Semenyo F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 16 1 1 1/4 0/0 6.2
E. Haaland F 90 1 0 4 (1) 1 53% 15 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.5
N. Aké D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
P. Foden M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Nico González M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Savinho F 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 50% 32 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
P. Hincapié D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 68% 22 3 0 1/1 0/0 6.5
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 32 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.9
W. Saliba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 45 2 1 1/1 0/0 6.9
Cristhian Mosquera D 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 96% 23 3 0 0/0 4/1 6.7
D. Rice M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 36 3 1 0/0 2/0 6.5
Martín Zubimendi M 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 27 4 2 0/0 1/1 6.9
M. Ødegaard M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 77% 53 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.5
E. Eze M 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 63% 16 1 2 0/2 0/2 6.3
K. Havertz M 90 1 0 3 (2) 0 76% 17 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
C. Madueke F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 16 3 0 1/2 0/0 6.3
V. Gyökeres F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
B. White D 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 44% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Gabriel Martinelli F 44 0 0 1 (1) 0 70% 10 1 1 0/1 1/0 6.3
L. Trossard F 16 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 10 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.0

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.