Premier League Gameweek 13 Sat, Nov 29 2025 · 15:00 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
3–2 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 3.10 – 1.54
  • P. Foden 1’, 90’
  • J. Gvardiol 25’
  • 49’ D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 68’ L. Nmecha
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Foden’s late goal settles it for Manchester City

Manchester City entered as clear favourites and won 3–2 through goals from Foden and Gvardiol. Leeds replied through goals from Calvert-Lewin and Nmecha. Manchester City finished with the higher xG (3.10 vs 1.54).

Manchester City ✓71%
Draw18%
Leeds12%

Model vs reality

Manchester City goals
3
Model 2.42 · xG 3.10
Leeds goals
2
Model 0.89 · xG 1.54
Total goals
5
Model 3.31 · xG 4.64
Score 3–2
3%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 64%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. FodenManchester City · 2 goals
9.0
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueEtihad Stadium
  • Table before kick-offManchester City 3rd · Leeds 18th

Timeline

  1. P. Foden 1–0Assist M. Nunes
    1’
  2. J. Gvardiol 2–0Assist N. O'Reilly
    25’
  3. Half time · 2–0
  4. ⇄ D. Calvert-LewinFor D. James
    46’
  5. ⇄ J. BijolFor D. Gnonto
    46’
  6. D. Calvert-Lewin 2–1
    49’
  7. M. NunesYellow card · Foul
    55’
  8. Bernardo SilvaYellow card · Argument
    57’
  9. J. RodonYellow card · Argument
    58’
  10. J. GvardiolYellow card · Foul
    66’
  11. L. Nmecha 2–2
    68’
  12. ⇄ G. GudmundssonFor J. Justin
    69’
  13. ⇄ M. CherkiFor T. Reijnders
    75’
  14. ⇄ N. OkaforFor L. Nmecha
    82’
  15. G. DonnarummaYellow card · Argument
    87’
  16. ⇄ O. MarmoushFor Bernardo Silva
    89’
  17. P. Foden 3–2Assist M. Cherki
    90’
  18. ⇄ B. AaronsonFor A. Tanaka
    90+2’
  19. ⇄ J. StonesFor J. Doku
    90+6’
  20. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Manchester City18 shots · 14 in box, 4 outside
Leeds9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
Manchester CityLeeds
62% Possession 38%
3.10 Expected goals (xG) 1.54
2.21 Expected points (xPts) 0.64
18 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
14 Shots inside the box 8
4 Shots outside the box 1
561 Passes 348
88% Pass accuracy 76%
8 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
17 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 4
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.88 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Manchester City 4-3-2-1

256.9 G. Donnarumma(G)
336.5 N. O'Reilly A 246.3 J. Gvardiol 36.6 Rúben Dias 275.6 M. Nunes A
47.9 T. Reijnders ↓75’ 146.9 Nico González 206.6 Bernardo Silva ↓89’
117.3 J. Doku ↓90’ 479.0★ P. Foden
96.2 E. Haaland
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)6.9
  • 33N. O'ReillyA6.5
  • 24J. Gvardiol6.3
  • 3Rúben Dias6.6
  • 27M. NunesA5.6
  • 4T. Reijnders↓75’7.9
  • 14Nico González6.9
  • 20Bernardo Silva↓89’6.6
  • 11J. Doku↓90’7.3
  • 47P. Foden ★9.0
  • 9E. Haaland6.2

Substitutes used

  • 5J. Stones↑90’
  • 7O. Marmoush↑89’6.2
  • 10M. CherkiA↑75’7.0

Unused: J. Trafford, R. Aït-Nouri, R. Lewis, N. Aké, Savinho, A. Khusanov

Leeds 4-3-3

17.7 Lucas Perri(G)
246.9 J. Justin ↓69’ 56.6 P. Struijk 66.2 J. Rodon 25.9 J. Bogle
446.9 I. Gruev 46.3 E. Ampadu 226.3 A. Tanaka ↓90’
296.9 D. Gnonto ↓46’ 146.5 L. Nmecha ↓82’ 76.9 D. James ↓46’
  • 1Lucas Perri (G)7.7
  • 24J. Justin↓69’6.9
  • 5P. Struijk6.6
  • 6J. Rodon6.2
  • 2J. Bogle5.9
  • 44I. Gruev6.9
  • 4E. Ampadu6.3
  • 22A. Tanaka↓90’6.3
  • 29D. Gnonto↓46’6.9
  • 14L. Nmecha↓82’6.5
  • 7D. James↓46’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin↑46’7.9
  • 19N. Okafor↑82’6.5
  • 15J. Bijol↑46’6.5
  • 3G. Gudmundsson↑69’6.6
  • 11B. Aaronson↑90’6.6

Unused: I. Meslier, S. Byram, J. Harrison, J. Piroe

Player stats

Top rated
P. FodenManchester City9.0
2nd
T. ReijndersManchester City7.9
3rd
D. Calvert-LewinLeeds7.9

Manchester City

Leeds

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.