Premier League Gameweek 30 Sun, Mar 15 2026 · 14:00 Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United
3–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.07 – 1.02
Aston Villa
  • Casemiro 53’
  • Matheus Cunha 71’
  • B. Šeško 81’
  • 64’ R. Barkley
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester United beat Aston Villa

Manchester United entered as favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Casemiro, Cunha and Šeško. Aston Villa replied through a Barkley goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.07 and 1.02. On the chances created, Aston Villa deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Manchester United ✓56%
Draw23%
Aston Villa21%

Model vs reality

Manchester United goals
3
Model 1.93 · xG 1.07
Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.11 · xG 1.02
Total goals
4
Model 3.04 · xG 2.09
Score 3–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. BarkleyAston Villa · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueOld Trafford
  • Table before kick-offManchester United 3rd · Aston Villa 4th

Timeline

  1. O. WatkinsYellow card · Argument
    41’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. Casemiro 1–0Assist Bruno Fernandes
    53’
  4. CasemiroYellow card · Foul
    60’
  5. ⇄ T. AbrahamFor O. Watkins
    60’
  6. ⇄ L. BaileyFor J. McGinn
    61’
  7. R. Barkley 1–1
    64’
  8. E. BuendíaYellow card · Argument
    69’
  9. Matheus Cunha 2–1Assist Bruno Fernandes
    71’
  10. L. YoroYellow card · Foul
    72’
  11. ⇄ B. ŠeškoFor B. Mbeumo
    75’
  12. B. Šeško 3–1
    81’
  13. ⇄ Douglas LuizFor R. Barkley
    82’
  14. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor L. Digne
    82’
  15. ⇄ Andrés GarcíaFor E. Buendía
    86’
  16. ⇄ M. UgarteFor Casemiro
    90+1’
  17. J. MaguireYellow card · Foul
    90+6’
  18. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Manchester United16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
Aston Villa9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Manchester UnitedAston Villa
53% Possession 47%
1.07 Expected goals (xG) 1.02
1.39 Expected points (xPts) 1.31
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 3
479 Passes 426
85% Pass accuracy 85%
6 Corners 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.17 Team rating 6.44

Line-ups

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

317.0 S. Lammens(G)
237.2 L. Shaw 57.2 J. Maguire 157.2 L. Yoro 26.9 Diogo Dalot
377.2 K. Mainoo 188.0 Casemiro ↓90’
107.7 Matheus Cunha 87.3 Bruno Fernandes AA 166.7 A. Diallo
196.3 B. Mbeumo ↓75’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.0
  • 23L. Shaw7.2
  • 5J. Maguire7.2
  • 15L. Yoro7.2
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.9
  • 37K. Mainoo7.2
  • 18Casemiro↓90’8.0
  • 10Matheus Cunha7.7
  • 8Bruno FernandesA×27.3
  • 16A. Diallo6.7
  • 19B. Mbeumo↓75’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 25M. Ugarte↑90’6.3
  • 30B. Šeško↑75’7.5

Unused: A. Bayındır, Mason Mount, N. Mazraoui, J. Zirkzee, T. Malacia, Tyler Fletcher, A. Heaven

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

235.6 E. Martínez(G)
125.9 L. Digne ↓82’ 56.2 T. Mings 46.3 E. Konsa 265.6 L. Bogarde
68.2★ R. Barkley ↓82’ 246.3 A. Onana
106.9 E. Buendía ↓86’ 76.5 J. McGinn ↓61’ 277.2 M. Rogers
116.2 O. Watkins ↓60’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)5.6
  • 12L. Digne↓82’5.9
  • 5T. Mings6.2
  • 4E. Konsa6.3
  • 26L. Bogarde5.6
  • 6R. Barkley ★↓82’8.2
  • 24A. Onana6.3
  • 10E. Buendía↓86’6.9
  • 7J. McGinn↓61’6.5
  • 27M. Rogers7.2
  • 11O. Watkins↓60’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 31L. Bailey↑61’6.7
  • 21Douglas Luiz↑82’6.2
  • 22I. Maatsen↑82’6.6
  • 18T. Abraham↑60’6.3
  • 16Andrés García↑86’6.7

Unused: M. Bizot, V. Lindelöf, Pau Torres, H. Elliott

Player stats

Top rated
R. BarkleyAston Villa8.2
2nd
CasemiroManchester United8.0
3rd
Matheus CunhaManchester United7.7

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 82% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
L. Shaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 49 3 1 0/1 2/1 7.2
J. Maguire D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 66 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
L. Yoro D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 47 3 3 0/0 1/0 7.2
Diogo Dalot D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 83% 35 2 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
K. Mainoo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 54 2 2 2/4 0/0 7.2
Casemiro M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 79% 39 1 1 0/0 4/1 8.0
Matheus Cunha F 90 1 0 2 (1) 1 73% 37 1 0 0/1 0/0 7.7
Bruno Fernandes M 90 0 2 1 (0) 6 87% 52 1 1 1/1 1/0 7.3
A. Diallo F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 89% 45 1 1 1/2 0/1 6.7
B. Mbeumo M 75 0 0 2 (1) 1 80% 15 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Ugarte M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
B. Šeško F 15 1 0 2 (1) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 68% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.6
L. Digne D 82 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 36 1 1 0/1 0/0 5.9
T. Mings D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 51 0 2 0/0 0/1 6.2
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 44 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Bogarde M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 44 3 1 0/0 0/0 5.6
R. Barkley M 82 1 0 1 (1) 0 90% 60 4 0 1/1 0/0 8.2
A. Onana M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 85% 54 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
E. Buendía M 86 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 27 2 3 1/3 1/2 6.9
J. McGinn M 61 0 0 1 (0) 1 69% 16 0 0 0/0 2/2 6.5
M. Rogers F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 70% 27 2 0 2/2 1/3 7.2
O. Watkins F 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 0 0 1/4 1/1 6.2
L. Bailey M 29 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 12 1 0 0/2 0/1 6.7
Douglas Luiz M 8 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 12 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
I. Maatsen D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
T. Abraham F 30 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 4 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Andrés García D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.