Premier League Gameweek 28 Sun, Mar 1 2026 · 14:00 Old Trafford, Manchester
2–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.16 – 0.38
  • Bruno Fernandes 57’ (P)
  • B. Šeško 65’
  • 4’ M. Lacroix
  • 56’ M. Lacroix
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester United come from behind to beat Crystal Palace

Manchester United entered as favourites, yet Crystal Palace led 1–0 at half-time through a Lacroix goal. But Fernandes and Šeško scored to turn it around for Manchester United, who won 2–1. Crystal Palace played with ten men from the 56th minute after Lacroix was sent off. Manchester United finished with the higher xG (2.16 vs 0.38).

Manchester United ✓58%
Draw23%
Crystal Palace19%

Model vs reality

Manchester United goals
2
Model 1.89 · xG 2.16
Crystal Palace goals
1
Model 0.98 · xG 0.38
Total goals
3
Model 2.86 · xG 2.54
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchCasemiroManchester United
7.9
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueOld Trafford
  • Table before kick-offManchester United 4th · Crystal Palace 13th

Timeline

  1. M. Lacroix 0–1Assist B. Johnson
    4’
  2. Daichi KamadaYellow card · Foul
    6’
  3. ⇄ N. MazraouiFor L. Shaw
    24’
  4. Diogo DalotYellow card · Foul
    36’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. D. HendersonYellow card · Time wasting
    49’
  7. VAR Matheus CunhaPenalty confirmed
    55’
  8. M. LacroixRed card · Professional foul last man
    56’
  9. Bruno Fernandes (pen) 1–1
    57’
  10. ⇄ E. GuessandFor B. Johnson
    58’
  11. ⇄ C. RiadFor J. Strand Larsen
    58’
  12. B. Šeško 2–1Assist Bruno Fernandes
    65’
  13. ⇄ W. HughesFor A. Wharton
    68’
  14. ⇄ A. DialloFor B. Šeško
    75’
  15. ⇄ A. HeavenFor J. Maguire
    85’
  16. ⇄ Yeremy PinoFor Daichi Kamada
    85’
  17. ⇄ J. ZirkzeeFor B. Mbeumo
    86’
  18. A. HeavenYellow card · Foul
    89’
  19. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Manchester United20 shots · 11 in box, 9 outside
Crystal Palace8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
Manchester UnitedCrystal Palace
61% Possession 39%
2.16 Expected goals (xG) 0.38
2.53 Expected points (xPts) 0.32
20 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 5
9 Shots outside the box 3
612 Passes 399
86% Pass accuracy 77%
7 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
13 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
7.10 Team rating 6.50

Line-ups

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

316.7 S. Lammens(G)
236.3 L. Shaw ↓24’ 57.2 J. Maguire ↓85’ 156.3 L. Yoro 26.7 Diogo Dalot
377.0 K. Mainoo 187.9★ Casemiro
106.9 Matheus Cunha 87.9 Bruno Fernandes A 196.9 B. Mbeumo ↓86’
307.9 B. Šeško ↓75’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)6.7
  • 23L. Shaw↓24’6.3
  • 5J. Maguire↓85’7.2
  • 15L. Yoro6.3
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.7
  • 37K. Mainoo7.0
  • 18Casemiro ★7.9
  • 10Matheus Cunha6.9
  • 8Bruno FernandesA7.9
  • 19B. Mbeumo↓86’6.9
  • 30B. Šeško↓75’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 3N. Mazraoui↑24’7.2
  • 11J. Zirkzee↑86’6.5
  • 16A. Diallo↑75’6.9
  • 26A. Heaven↑85’6.6

Unused: A. Bayındır, T. Malacia, M. Ugarte, Jack Lee Moorhouse, Tyler Fletcher

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

16.9 D. Henderson(G)
236.9 J. Canvot 56.3 M. Lacroix 266.2 Chris Richards
36.3 T. Mitchell 186.2 Daichi Kamada ↓85’ 206.2 A. Wharton ↓68’ 26.9 D. Muñoz
116.6 B. Johnson A↓58’ 76.6 I. Sarr
226.3 J. Strand Larsen ↓58’
  • 1D. Henderson (G)6.9
  • 23J. Canvot6.9
  • 5M. Lacroix6.3
  • 26Chris Richards6.2
  • 3T. Mitchell6.3
  • 18Daichi Kamada↓85’6.2
  • 20A. Wharton↓68’6.2
  • 2D. Muñoz6.9
  • 11B. JohnsonA↓58’6.6
  • 7I. Sarr6.6
  • 22J. Strand Larsen↓58’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 19W. Hughes↑68’6.6
  • 29E. Guessand↑58’6.3
  • 10Yeremy Pino↑85’6.7
  • 34C. Riad↑58’6.3

Unused: W. Benítez, N. Clyne, B. Sosa, C. Uche, J. Devenny

Player stats

Top rated
CasemiroManchester United7.9
2nd
Bruno FernandesManchester United7.9
3rd
B. ŠeškoManchester United7.9

Manchester United

Crystal Palace

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.