Premier League Gameweek 32 Mon, Apr 13 2026 · 20:00 Old Trafford, Manchester
1–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 1.27 – 2.57
  • Casemiro 69’
  • L. Martínez 56’
  • 5’, 29’ N. Okafor
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Leeds beat Manchester United

Manchester United entered as favourites, but Leeds won 2–1 through two Okafor goals. Manchester United replied through a Casemiro goal. Manchester United played with ten men from the 56th minute after Martínez was sent off. Leeds finished with the higher xG (2.57 vs 1.27).

Manchester United58%
Draw23%
Leeds ✓19%

Model vs reality

Manchester United goals
1
Model 1.93 · xG 1.27
Leeds goals
2
Model 1.03 · xG 2.57
Total goals
3
Model 2.97 · xG 3.84
Score 1–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. OkaforLeeds · 2 goals
8.9
  • RefereePaul Tierney
  • VenueOld Trafford
  • Table before kick-offManchester United 3rd · Leeds 15th

Timeline

  1. N. Okafor 0–1
    5’
  2. Matheus CunhaYellow card · Simulation
    18’
  3. N. Okafor 0–2Assist B. Aaronson
    29’
  4. J. JustinYellow card · Foul
    39’
  5. Half time · 0–2
  6. L. ShawYellow card · Foul
    49’
  7. VAR L. MartínezCard upgrade
    55’
  8. L. MartínezRed card · Violent conduct
    56’
  9. Bruno FernandesYellow card · Argument
    64’
  10. Casemiro 1–2Assist Bruno Fernandes
    69’
  11. ⇄ Diogo DalotFor N. Mazraoui
    70’
  12. ⇄ B. MbeumoFor A. Diallo
    70’
  13. ⇄ I. GruevFor A. Tanaka
    74’
  14. ⇄ D. GnontoFor N. Okafor
    74’
  15. E. AmpaduYellow card · Simulation
    86’
  16. ⇄ S. LongstaffFor B. Aaronson
    86’
  17. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Manchester United20 shots · 15 in box, 5 outside
Leeds15 shots · 11 in box, 4 outside
Manchester UnitedLeeds
53% Possession 47%
1.27 Expected goals (xG) 2.57
0.69 Expected points (xPts) 2.14
20 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 6
5 Shots off target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
15 Shots inside the box 11
5 Shots outside the box 4
497 Passes 453
85% Pass accuracy 83%
11 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
7.07 Team rating 7.36

Line-ups

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

317.2 S. Lammens(G)
237.0 L. Shaw 67.0 L. Martínez 157.9 L. Yoro 36.2 N. Mazraoui ↓70’
257.2 M. Ugarte 187.9 Casemiro
106.3 Matheus Cunha 87.9 Bruno Fernandes A 166.3 A. Diallo ↓70’
306.6 B. Šeško
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.2
  • 23L. Shaw7.0
  • 6L. Martínez7.0
  • 15L. Yoro7.9
  • 3N. Mazraoui↓70’6.2
  • 25M. Ugarte7.2
  • 18Casemiro7.9
  • 10Matheus Cunha6.3
  • 8Bruno FernandesA7.9
  • 16A. Diallo↓70’6.3
  • 30B. Šeško6.6

Substitutes used

  • 2Diogo Dalot↑70’6.9
  • 19B. Mbeumo↑70’6.7

Unused: A. Bayındır, Mason Mount, J. Zirkzee, T. Malacia, Tyler Fletcher, Shea Lacey, A. Heaven

Leeds 3-4-2-1

268.3 K. Darlow(G)
57.3 P. Struijk 157.2 J. Bijol 247.2 J. Justin
37.7 G. Gudmundsson 227.6 A. Tanaka ↓74’ 47.0 E. Ampadu 27.7 J. Bogle
198.9★ N. Okafor ↓74’ 116.2 B. Aaronson A↓86’
96.3 D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 26K. Darlow (G)8.3
  • 5P. Struijk7.3
  • 15J. Bijol7.2
  • 24J. Justin7.2
  • 3G. Gudmundsson7.7
  • 22A. Tanaka↓74’7.6
  • 4E. Ampadu7.0
  • 2J. Bogle7.7
  • 19N. Okafor ★↓74’8.9
  • 11B. AaronsonA↓86’6.2
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin6.3

Substitutes used

  • 8S. Longstaff↑86’6.7
  • 44I. Gruev↑74’7.0
  • 29D. Gnonto↑74’6.7

Unused: Lucas Perri, S. Bornauw, S. Byram, L. Nmecha, J. Piroe, F. Buonanotte

Player stats

Top rated
N. OkaforLeeds8.9
2nd
K. DarlowLeeds8.3
3rd
L. YoroManchester United7.9

Manchester United

Leeds

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.