Premier League Gameweek 22 Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 12:30 Old Trafford, Manchester
2–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.27 – 0.45
  • B. Mbeumo 65’
  • P. Dorgu 76’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester United beat Manchester City

Manchester City entered as favourites, but Manchester United won 2–0 through goals from Mbeumo and Dorgu. Manchester United finished with the higher xG (2.27 vs 0.45).

Manchester United ✓27%
Draw24%
Manchester City49%

Model vs reality

Manchester United goals
2
Model 1.28 · xG 2.27
Manchester City goals
0
Model 1.79 · xG 0.45
Total goals
2
Model 3.07 · xG 2.72
Score 2–0
4%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBruno FernandesManchester United · 1 assist
8.7
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueOld Trafford
  • Table before kick-offManchester United 7th · Manchester City 2nd

Timeline

  1. Diogo DalotYellow card · Foul
    11’
  2. L. ShawYellow card · Foul
    17’
  3. RodriYellow card · Foul
    45+2’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ N. O'ReillyFor M. Alleyne
    46’
  6. ⇄ M. CherkiFor P. Foden
    46’
  7. N. O'ReillyYellow card · Foul
    48’
  8. B. Mbeumo 1–0Assist Bruno Fernandes
    65’
  9. ⇄ Matheus CunhaFor B. Mbeumo
    71’
  10. R. LewisYellow card · Foul
    75’
  11. P. Dorgu 2–0Assist Matheus Cunha
    76’
  12. ⇄ T. ReijndersFor Bernardo Silva
    80’
  13. ⇄ R. Aït-NouriFor J. Doku
    80’
  14. ⇄ Divine MukasaFor E. Haaland
    80’
  15. ⇄ M. UgarteFor Casemiro
    81’
  16. ⇄ Mason MountFor Bruno Fernandes
    90+1’
  17. ⇄ A. HeavenFor L. Shaw
    90+1’
  18. VAR Mason MountGoal cancelled
    90+4’
  19. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Manchester United11 shots · 10 in box, 1 outside
Manchester City7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Manchester UnitedManchester City
32% Possession 68%
2.27 Expected goals (xG) 0.45
2.52 Expected points (xPts) 0.33
11 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
4 Shots off target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 5
1 Shots outside the box 2
302 Passes 646
79% Pass accuracy 90%
1 Corners 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Fouls 8
6 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.28 Team rating 6.65

Line-ups

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

317.0 S. Lammens(G)
236.9 L. Shaw ↓90’ 67.3 L. Martínez 57.0 J. Maguire 27.0 Diogo Dalot
376.9 K. Mainoo 187.0 Casemiro ↓81’
138.3 P. Dorgu 88.7★ Bruno Fernandes A↓90’ 166.9 A. Diallo
197.0 B. Mbeumo ↓71’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.0
  • 23L. Shaw↓90’6.9
  • 6L. Martínez7.3
  • 5J. Maguire7.0
  • 2Diogo Dalot7.0
  • 37K. Mainoo6.9
  • 18Casemiro↓81’7.0
  • 13P. Dorgu8.3
  • 8Bruno Fernandes ★A↓90’8.7
  • 16A. Diallo6.9
  • 19B. Mbeumo↓71’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 7Mason Mount↑90’
  • 10Matheus CunhaA↑71’7.2
  • 25M. Ugarte↑81’6.9
  • 26A. Heaven↑90’

Unused: A. Bayındır, T. Malacia, B. Šeško, L. Yoro, J. Fletcher

Manchester City 4-1-4-1

257.3 G. Donnarumma(G)
66.2 N. Aké 686.9 M. Alleyne ↓46’ 456.6 A. Khusanov 826.3 R. Lewis
167.5 Rodri
116.7 J. Doku ↓80’ 206.2 Bernardo Silva ↓80’ 476.7 P. Foden ↓46’ 426.7 A. Semenyo
96.5 E. Haaland ↓80’
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)7.3
  • 6N. Aké6.2
  • 68M. Alleyne↓46’6.9
  • 45A. Khusanov6.6
  • 82R. Lewis6.3
  • 16Rodri7.5
  • 11J. Doku↓80’6.7
  • 20Bernardo Silva↓80’6.2
  • 47P. Foden↓46’6.7
  • 42A. Semenyo6.7
  • 9E. Haaland↓80’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 4T. Reijnders↑80’6.5
  • 21R. Aït-Nouri↑80’6.3
  • 33N. O'Reilly↑46’6.2
  • 10M. Cherki↑46’6.6
  • 63Divine Mukasa↑80’6.2

Unused: M. Bettinelli, J. Trafford, Ryan McAidoo, S. Mfuni

Player stats

Top rated
Bruno FernandesManchester United8.7
2nd
P. DorguManchester United8.3
3rd
RodriManchester City7.5

Manchester United

Manchester City

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.