Primeira Liga Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 8 2026 · 15:30 Estádio do Marítimo, Ilha da Madeira
Maritimo
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.39 – 0.67
Casa Pia
  • R. Guzzo 61’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guzzo goal decides it for Maritimo

Maritimo won 1–0 through a Guzzo goal. Maritimo finished with the higher xG (1.39 vs 0.67). On the chances created, Casa Pia deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Maritimo ✓36%
Draw27%
Casa Pia37%

Model vs reality

Maritimo goals
1
Model 1.26 · xG 1.39
Casa Pia goals
0
Model 1.30 · xG 0.67
Total goals
1
Model 2.56 · xG 2.06
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. GuzzoMaritimo · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeSergio Guelho
  • CoachesMitchell van der Gaag · Filipe Coelho
  • VenueEstádio do Marítimo

Timeline

  1. David SousaYellow card · Foul
    45+2’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. R. Guzzo 1–0Assist Martín Tejón
    61’
  4. ⇄ Pedro RosasFor A. Conté
    66’
  5. ⇄ Kevin PrietoFor Oluwakorede Osundina
    66’
  6. ⇄ A. JattaFor Gabi Pereira
    78’
  7. ⇄ SilviFor S. Pérez
    80’
  8. ⇄ KalyFor João Goulart
    80’
  9. ⇄ S. BambaFor M. Diouri
    82’
  10. A. JattaYellow card · Foul
    86’
  11. ⇄ Tomás TavaresFor Martín Tejón
    87’
  12. ⇄ Maurice Osei BoakyeFor Adrián Butzke
    87’
  13. R. GuzzoYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  14. ⇄ Yellu SantiagoFor V. Danilović
    90+1’
  15. ⇄ G. SzalaiFor R. Guzzo
    90+1’
  16. Tomás TavaresYellow card · Time wasting
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Maritimo16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
Casa Pia9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
MaritimoCasa Pia
39% Possession 61%
1.39 Expected goals (xG) 0.67
1.91 Expected points (xPts) 0.82
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
12 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 3
305 Passes 470
78% Pass accuracy 89%
2 Corners 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
17 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.19 Team rating 6.80

Line-ups

Maritimo 4-2-3-1

137.3 Alfonso Pastor(G)
237.0 Paulo Henrique 446.9 Romain Correia 47.2 Rafael Fernandes 27.0 Igor Julião
67.2 Rodrigo Andrade 187.3 V. Danilović ↓90’
107.2 Martín Tejón A↓87’ 148.2★ R. Guzzo ↓90’ 116.9 M. Diouri ↓82’
177.0 Adrián Butzke ↓87’
  • 13Alfonso Pastor (G)7.3
  • 23Paulo Henrique7.0
  • 44Romain Correia6.9
  • 4Rafael Fernandes7.2
  • 2Igor Julião7.0
  • 6Rodrigo Andrade7.2
  • 18V. Danilović↓90’7.3
  • 10Martín TejónA↓87’7.2
  • 14R. Guzzo ★↓90’8.2
  • 11M. Diouri↓82’6.9
  • 17Adrián Butzke↓87’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 27S. Bamba↑82’6.5
  • 25Yellu Santiago↑90’
  • 15Tomás Tavares↑87’6.7
  • 22G. Szalai↑90’
  • 90Maurice Osei Boakye↑87’6.3

Unused: Gonçalo Tabuaço, Pedro Teixeira, F. Silva, I. Ayuma, N. Batista

Coach: Mitchell van der Gaag

Casa Pia 4-3-3

317.9 André Gomes(G)
57.3 A. Conté ↓66’ 436.9 David Sousa 46.9 João Goulart ↓80’ 186.5 André Geraldes
86.6 Gabi Pereira ↓78’ 806.7 L. Ofori 246.7 S. Pérez ↓80’
106.9 Rochinha 96.2 Henrique Araújo 136.2 Oluwakorede Osundina ↓66’
  • 31André Gomes (G)7.9
  • 5A. Conté↓66’7.3
  • 43David Sousa6.9
  • 4João Goulart↓80’6.9
  • 18André Geraldes6.5
  • 8Gabi Pereira↓78’6.6
  • 80L. Ofori6.7
  • 24S. Pérez↓80’6.7
  • 10Rochinha6.9
  • 9Henrique Araújo6.2
  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↓66’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 75Pedro Rosas↑66’6.9
  • 20A. Jatta↑78’6.2
  • 19Kevin Prieto↑66’6.9
  • 16Silvi↑80’6.9
  • 3Kaly↑80’6.6

Unused: Daniel Azevedo, Ivan Mandić, Kaique Rocha, Claudio, Raúl Blanco, Abdu Dafe

Coach: Filipe Coelho

Player stats

Top rated
R. GuzzoMaritimo8.2
2nd
André GomesCasa Pia7.9
3rd
Alfonso PastorMaritimo7.3

Maritimo

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Alfonso Pastor G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 52% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Paulo Henrique D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 24 2 1 0/0 3/0 7.0
Romain Correia D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 48 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
Rafael Fernandes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 38 0 0 0/0 1/2 7.2
Igor Julião D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 72% 18 3 2 1/1 0/1 7.0
Rodrigo Andrade M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 28 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
V. Danilović M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 35 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Martín Tejón M 87 0 1 4 (2) 4 74% 19 2 0 3/4 4/4 7.2
R. Guzzo M 90 1 0 2 (2) 0 65% 23 2 0 1/1 4/1 8.2
M. Diouri F 82 0 0 2 (0) 5 78% 23 1 0 1/2 1/2 6.9
Adrián Butzke F 87 0 0 1 (0) 0 56% 16 1 0 0/0 0/2 7.0
S. Bamba F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
Yellu Santiago M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Tomás Tavares D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
G. Szalai D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 —
Maurice Osei Boakye F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3

Casa Pia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
André Gomes G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 91% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
A. Conté D 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 37 2 0 0/1 0/1 7.3
David Sousa D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 92% 79 0 1 1/1 1/0 6.9
João Goulart D 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 69 1 2 0/0 2/1 6.9
André Geraldes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 46 1 0 0/2 2/2 6.5
Gabi Pereira M 78 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 22 3 0 0/0 2/1 6.6
L. Ofori M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 59 1 1 1/1 1/1 6.7
S. Pérez M 80 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 39 1 0 0/1 0/2 6.7
Rochinha F 90 0 0 2 (2) 2 75% 28 1 0 1/6 1/3 6.9
Henrique Araújo F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 88% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Oluwakorede Osundina F 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 1 1/3 1/2 6.2
Pedro Rosas D 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 55% 11 0 0 2/3 0/0 6.9
A. Jatta F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 3/0 6.2
Kevin Prieto F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 1 0 2/2 0/2 6.9
Silvi M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
Kaly D 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 12 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.