Marseille vs Angers – 13 Feb 2027

Ligue 1 Gameweek 20 Sat, Feb 13 · 16:00 Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille 9th · 9 pts · 7 played LLLWW

VS— Compare

Angers 15th · 7 pts · 7 played LDWLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel656 kmRest days5.8 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Marseille—%

Draw—%

Angers—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Marseille)

Forecast from 29 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Marseille

Angers

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

47 Current StrengthIn forecast 19

48 AttackIn forecast 22

46 DefenceIn forecast 12

41 Form indexContext 16

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Marseille

Attack—

Defense risk—

Angers

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Marseille

Angers

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.29

1.43 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.14

1.79 xGVia Att/Def 1.79

1.24 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.30

+0.21 Goals minus xGContext -0.50

71% Scored inContext 71%

29% Clean sheetsContext 29%

13.14 ShotsContext 13.29

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

38% On target shareContext 23%

9.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.00

62% Box shareContext 68%

15% ConversionContext 10%

1.40 OffsidesContext 2.00

15.86 Shots allowedContext 17.29

5.29 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.57

4.83 BlocksContext 3.86

3.86 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.71

73% Save rateContext 72%

58% PossessionIn forecast 49%

587 PassesContext 420

521 Accurate passesContext 353

89% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.89 Team ratingContext 6.73

10.71 FoulsContext 10.57

10.86 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00

1.43 Yellow cardsContext 1.57

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.14

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.83 xGVia Att/Def 1.52

1.33 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.96

-0.03 Goals minus xGContext -0.32

70% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

14.40 ShotsContext 12.10

5.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

38% On target shareContext 25%

9.78 Shots in the boxContext 8.30

63% Box shareContext 68%

13% ConversionContext 10%

1.71 OffsidesContext 2.00

16.20 Shots allowedContext 17.10

5.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.60

4.78 BlocksContext 3.50

3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.80

70% Save rateContext 73%

55% PossessionIn forecast 46%

547 PassesContext 394

481 Accurate passesContext 328

88% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.85 Team ratingContext 6.71

11.20 FoulsContext 10.00

10.70 Fouls sufferedContext 12.20

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.70

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Marseille LLWLW

Rest5.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,321 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 41 · 6 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -0.8 vs expected

W18 OctA · Angers5–21.7 xPts
L15 OctH · Olympiakos Piraeus0–11.3 xPts
W11 OctA · Estac Troyes2–01.8 xPts
L20 SepH · Paris Saint Germain1–20.8 xPts
L17 SepA · Besiktas1–41.1 xPts

Angers LDWLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel656 km823 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 16 · 4 pts vs 8.7 for an average club · -2.0 vs expected

L18 OctH · Marseille2–51.0 xPts
L10 OctA · Stade Brestois 291–50.9 xPts
W19 SepH · Estac Troyes2–01.8 xPts
D12 SepA · LE Havre0–01.2 xPts
L6 SepH · Rennes1–21.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Marseille	Angers
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.8Ligue 1 2026-2027, 7 Feb	7Ligue 1 2026-2027, 6 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	656 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,321 km	823 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 6	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Marseille Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Angers (A) 5–2, 18 Oct

1J. de Lange(G)

33Emerson 19G. Kondogbia 4C. Egan-Riley 22T. Weah

6Tochukwu Nnadi

14Igor Paixão 8H. Abdelli 77A. Harit

9A. Gouiri

Angers Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Marseille (H) 2–5, 18 Oct

1A. Lopes(G)

27L. Rao-Lisoa 34Maël Gernigon 24E. Biumla 2C. Arcus

8B. van den Boomen 14Y. Belkhdim

10M. Sbaï 6L. Mouton 18J. Allevinah

19A. El Ouazzani

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Marseille Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Angers Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Marseille · Home 1.00points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-2
Scored: 2.33
Conceded: 1.67

Angers · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-1
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Marseille	Angers
Estac Troyes	W 2–0 A	W 2–0 H
Rennes	L 0–1 A	L 1–2 H
Points	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 9 of 9 meetings

6 Marseille wins3 draws0 Angers wins

Goals per game2.89 – 1.11 Over 2.567% Both scored67% Clean sheets33% · 11%

18 Oct 2026Angers2–5Marseille
17 Jan 2026Angers2–5Marseille
29 Oct 2025Marseille2–2Angers
9 Feb 2025Angers0–2Marseille
4 Oct 2024Marseille1–1Angers
14 May 2023Marseille3–1Angers

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Marseille	Angers
Scored per game	2.00	1.29
Conceded per game	1.43	2.14
Match goals	3.43	3.43
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	57%	57%
Over 3.5	43%	43%
Both teams scored	43%	57%
Clean sheets	29%	29%
Failed to score	29%	29%
Games	7	7

	Marseille	Angers
Scored per game	1.80	1.20
Conceded per game	1.60	2.00
Match goals	3.40	3.20
Over 1.5	80%	90%
Over 2.5	60%	50%
Over 3.5	50%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	70%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	30%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Marseille	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	4.29	6.43
Corners conceded	4.43	5.71
Match total	8.72	12.14	9.63
Over 8.5	57% 4/7	86% 6/7
Over 9.5	29% 2/7	71% 5/7
Over 10.5	14% 1/7	57% 4/7
Cards
Cards	1.57	1.71
Opponent cards	2.29	1.57
Match total	3.86	3.28	3.47
Over 3.5	71% 5/7	43% 3/7
Over 4.5	43% 3/7	29% 2/7

	Marseille	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	4.70	6.00
Corners conceded	4.50	5.56
Match total	9.20	11.56	9.63
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	89% 8/9
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	1.70	1.90
Opponent cards	2.10	1.70
Match total	3.80	3.60	3.47
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.