Ligue 1 Gameweek 5 Mon, Sep 22 2025 · 19:00 Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.49 – 0.63
  • N. Aguerd 5’
  • R. De Zerbi 90+1’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aguerd goal decides it for Marseille

Paris Saint Germain entered as favourites, but Marseille won 1–0 through a Aguerd goal. Marseille played with ten men from the 90th minute after De Zerbi was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 0.49 and 0.63. On the chances created, Paris Saint Germain deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Marseille ✓18%
Draw22%
Paris Saint Germain60%

Model vs reality

Marseille goals
1
Model 1.05 · xG 0.49
Paris Saint Germain goals
0
Model 2.03 · xG 0.63
Total goals
1
Model 3.08 · xG 1.12
Score 1–0
4%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. RulliMarseille
7.9
  • RefereeJérôme Brisard
  • VenueOrange Vélodrome
  • Table before kick-offMarseille 8th · Paris Saint Germain 1st

Timeline

  1. N. Aguerd 1–0
    5’
  2. B. PavardYellow card · Holding
    18’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. T. WeahYellow card · Foul
    50’
  5. ⇄ P. AubameyangFor Igor Paixão
    61’
  6. ⇄ K. LeeFor W. Pacho
    64’
  7. ⇄ S. MayuluFor W. Zaïre-Emery
    73’
  8. ⇄ A. MurilloFor T. Weah
    78’
  9. ⇄ B. NadirFor A. Gouiri
    79’
  10. ⇄ I. MbayeFor Gonçalo Ramos
    89’
  11. ⇄ Robinio VazFor M. Greenwood
    89’
  12. R. De ZerbiRed card
    90+1’
  13. P. HøjbjergYellow card · Tripping
    90+5’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Marseille8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
Paris Saint Germain12 shots · 4 in box, 8 outside
MarseilleParis Saint Germain
32% Possession 68%
0.49 Expected goals (xG) 0.63
1.15 Expected points (xPts) 1.42
8 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
4 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
7 Shots inside the box 4
1 Shots outside the box 8
300 Passes 654
79% Pass accuracy 91%
5 Corners 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
15 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 6.63

Line-ups

Marseille 3-4-2-1

17.9★ G. Rulli(G)
217.9 N. Aguerd 57.0 L. Balerdi 286.6 B. Pavard
336.3 Emerson 237.2 P. Højbjerg 176.5 M. O'Riley 227.2 T. Weah ↓78’
146.5 Igor Paixão ↓61’ 106.7 M. Greenwood ↓89’
96.2 A. Gouiri ↓79’
  • 1G. Rulli (G) ★7.9
  • 21N. Aguerd7.9
  • 5L. Balerdi7.0
  • 28B. Pavard6.6
  • 33Emerson6.3
  • 23P. Højbjerg7.2
  • 17M. O'Riley6.5
  • 22T. Weah↓78’7.2
  • 14Igor Paixão↓61’6.5
  • 10M. Greenwood↓89’6.7
  • 9A. Gouiri↓79’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 97P. Aubameyang↑61’6.6
  • 62A. Murillo↑78’6.9
  • 26B. Nadir↑79’6.7
  • 34Robinio Vaz↑89’

Unused: J. de Lange, F. Medina, C. Egan-Riley, A. Gomes, A. Vermeeren

Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3

305.3 L. Chevalier(G)
257.2 Nuno Mendes 516.6 W. Pacho ↓64’ 67.0 I. Zabarnyi 56.9 Marquinhos
86.6 Fabián Ruiz 177.3 Vitinha 336.2 W. Zaïre-Emery ↓73’
76.7 K. Kvaratskhelia 96.5 Gonçalo Ramos ↓89’ 26.6 A. Hakimi
  • 30L. Chevalier (G)5.3
  • 25Nuno Mendes7.2
  • 51W. Pacho↓64’6.6
  • 6I. Zabarnyi7.0
  • 5Marquinhos6.9
  • 8Fabián Ruiz6.6
  • 17Vitinha7.3
  • 33W. Zaïre-Emery↓73’6.2
  • 7K. Kvaratskhelia6.7
  • 9Gonçalo Ramos↓89’6.5
  • 2A. Hakimi6.6

Substitutes used

  • 19K. Lee↑64’6.3
  • 24S. Mayulu↑73’6.6
  • 49I. Mbaye↑89’

Unused: R. Bellucci, M. Safonov, Beraldo, L. Hernández, Noham Kamara

Player stats

Top rated
G. RulliMarseille7.9
2nd
N. AguerdMarseille7.9
3rd
VitinhaParis Saint Germain7.3

Marseille

Paris Saint Germain

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.