Primeira Liga Gameweek 30 Mon, Apr 20 2026 · 20:15 Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.86 – 0.35
  • Alan 12’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Alan goal decides it for Moreirense

Moreirense entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Alan goal. Moreirense finished with the higher xG (0.86 vs 0.35). On the chances created, Estoril deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Moreirense ✓38%
Draw29%
Estoril33%

Model vs reality

Moreirense goals
1
Model 1.28 · xG 0.86
Estoril goals
0
Model 1.17 · xG 0.35
Total goals
1
Model 2.45 · xG 1.21
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 44%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchAlanMoreirense · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeMarcio Torres
  • VenueParque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Table before kick-offMoreirense 9th · Estoril 8th

Timeline

  1. Alan 1–0Assist Afonso Assis
    12’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ João CarvalhoFor Peixinho
    46’
  4. ⇄ R. GuitaneFor Jandro Orellana
    53’
  5. ⇄ J. HolsgroveFor Pizzi
    53’
  6. ⇄ MaranhãoFor Afonso Assis
    63’
  7. ⇄ Cedric TeguiaFor Kiko Bondoso
    63’
  8. FerroYellow card
    72’
  9. ⇄ A. MarquésFor Xeka
    73’
  10. ⇄ Leandro SantosFor Landerson
    79’
  11. ⇄ Gonçalo CostaFor Pedro Carvalho
    79’
  12. ⇄ J. GowerFor Alan
    90’
  13. A. TsounguiYellow card
    90+3’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Moreirense11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
Estoril4 shots · 4 in box
MoreirenseEstoril
43% Possession 57%
0.86 Expected goals (xG) 0.35
1.78 Expected points (xPts) 0.83
11 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
5 Shots off target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
7 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 0
389 Passes 512
76% Pass accuracy 80%
5 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.95 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

Moreirense 4-2-3-1

137.3 André Ferreira(G)
27.3 Diogo Travassos 667.2 G. Dambi Batista 47.2 Kevyn Monteiro 706.2 Fabiano
86.3 M. Stjepanović 256.9 Afonso Assis A↓63’
106.3 Kiko Bondoso ↓63’ 216.9 Rodri Alonso 786.7 Landerson ↓79’
118.0★ Alan ↓90’
  • 13André Ferreira (G)7.3
  • 2Diogo Travassos7.3
  • 66G. Dambi Batista7.2
  • 4Kevyn Monteiro7.2
  • 70Fabiano6.2
  • 8M. Stjepanović6.3
  • 25Afonso AssisA↓63’6.9
  • 10Kiko Bondoso↓63’6.3
  • 21Rodri Alonso6.9
  • 78Landerson↓79’6.7
  • 11Alan ★↓90’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 71Leandro Santos↑79’6.5
  • 30J. Gower↑90’
  • 7Cedric Teguia↑63’7.0
  • 99Maranhão↑63’6.6

Unused: Mika, Caio Secco, Luís Semedo

Estoril 4-1-4-1

167.9 M. Turk(G)
247.0 Pedro Amaral 256.9 F. Bacher 47.5 Ferro 226.2 Pedro Carvalho ↓79’
56.9 A. Tsoungui
146.6 Y. Begraoui 66.2 Jandro Orellana ↓53’ 86.9 Xeka ↓73’ 706.9 Peixinho ↓46’
216.5 Pizzi ↓53’
  • 16M. Turk (G)7.9
  • 24Pedro Amaral7.0
  • 25F. Bacher6.9
  • 4Ferro7.5
  • 22Pedro Carvalho↓79’6.2
  • 5A. Tsoungui6.9
  • 14Y. Begraoui6.6
  • 6Jandro Orellana↓53’6.2
  • 8Xeka↓73’6.9
  • 70Peixinho↓46’6.9
  • 21Pizzi↓53’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 12João Carvalho↑46’6.5
  • 10J. Holsgrove↑53’6.3
  • 99R. Guitane↑53’6.3
  • 20Gonçalo Costa↑79’6.5
  • 9A. Marqués↑73’6.5

Unused: Diogo Dias, Luís Gomes, N. Lominadze

Player stats

Top rated
AlanMoreirense8.0
2nd
M. TurkEstoril7.9
3rd
FerroEstoril7.5

Moreirense

Estoril

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.