Eredivisie Knockout phase Fri, Feb 6 2026 · 19:00 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda
First leg0–1 0–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 1.08 – 0.86
Excelsior
  • R. Hillen 12’
  • 18’ E. Hansson
  • 31’ I. Yegoian
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Excelsior beat NAC Breda

NAC Breda entered as narrow favourites, but Excelsior won 2–0 through goals from Hansson and Yegoian. NAC Breda played with ten men from the 12th minute after Hillen was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 1.08 and 0.86. On the chances created, NAC Breda deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

NAC Breda41%
Draw27%
Excelsior ✓32%

Model vs reality

NAC Breda goals
0
Model 1.45 · xG 1.08
Excelsior goals
2
Model 1.25 · xG 0.86
Total goals
2
Model 2.70 · xG 1.94
Score 0–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. van GasselExcelsior
8.9
  • RefereeSerdar Gozubuyuk
  • CoachesC. Hoefkens · —
  • VenueRat Verlegh Stadion
  • Table before kick-offNAC Breda 17th · Excelsior 13th

Timeline

  1. R. HillenRed card · Serious foul
    12’
  2. ⇄ Jerolldino BergraafFor N. Naujoks
    14’
  3. E. Hansson 0–1
    18’
  4. I. Yegoian 0–2Assist G. de Regt
    31’
  5. ⇄ C. ValeriusFor J. Candelaria
    34’
  6. Half time · 0–2
  7. ⇄ M. JonathansFor E. Hansson
    46’
  8. A. ZagréYellow card · Roughing
    52’
  9. ⇄ A. SalamaFor J. Talvitie
    55’
  10. ⇄ Simon JanssenFor A. Zagré
    62’
  11. M. NassohYellow card · Tripping
    63’
  12. M. JonathansYellow card · Foul
    69’
  13. ⇄ S. HenderikxFor L. Hartjes
    70’
  14. ⇄ A. CarlénFor L. Schouten
    70’
  15. ⇄ A. AyewFor K. Sowah
    73’
  16. ⇄ L. HoltbyFor M. Nassoh
    73’
  17. ⇄ C. LeemansFor C. Brym
    73’
  18. C. LeemansYellow card · Foul
    89’
  19. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

NAC Breda14 shots · 7 in box, 7 outside
Excelsior9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
NAC BredaExcelsior
48% Possession 52%
1.08 Expected goals (xG) 0.86
1.52 Expected points (xPts) 1.17
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 6
6 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
7 Shots inside the box 8
7 Shots outside the box 1
403 Passes 436
69% Pass accuracy 77%
7 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
6.65 Team rating 7.17

Line-ups

NAC Breda 3-4-1-2

997.0 D. Bielica(G)
223.0 R. Hillen 127.0 L. Greiml 36.2 D. Odoi
216.5 J. Candelaria ↓34’ 146.2 K. Sowah ↓73’ 166.7 M. Balard 326.2 J. Talvitie ↓55’
107.2 M. Nassoh ↓73’
97.2 M. Soumano 76.6 C. Brym ↓73’
  • 99D. Bielica (G)7.0
  • 22R. Hillen3.0
  • 12L. Greiml7.0
  • 3D. Odoi6.2
  • 21J. Candelaria↓34’6.5
  • 14K. Sowah↓73’6.2
  • 16M. Balard6.7
  • 32J. Talvitie↓55’6.2
  • 10M. Nassoh↓73’7.2
  • 9M. Soumano7.2
  • 7C. Brym↓73’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 25C. Valerius↑34’6.9
  • 19A. Salama↑55’6.2
  • 8C. Leemans↑73’6.3
  • 90L. Holtby↑73’6.9
  • 24A. Ayew↑73’6.3

Unused: K. Lamprou, R. Kortsmit, B. Lucassen, E. Mahmutović, R. Paula, B. Ghalidi, P. Reulen

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Excelsior 4-2-3-1

18.9★ S. van Gassel(G)
126.6 A. Zagré ↓62’ 37.3 R. Meissen 46.6 C. Widell 27.2 Ilias Bronkhorst
207.3 L. Hartjes ↓70’ 147.6 L. Schouten ↓70’
77.7 E. Hansson ↓46’ 238.0 I. Yegoian 116.2 G. de Regt A
106.3 N. Naujoks ↓14’
  • 1S. van Gassel (G) ★8.9
  • 12A. Zagré↓62’6.6
  • 3R. Meissen7.3
  • 4C. Widell6.6
  • 2Ilias Bronkhorst7.2
  • 20L. Hartjes↓70’7.3
  • 14L. Schouten↓70’7.6
  • 7E. Hansson↓46’7.7
  • 23I. Yegoian8.0
  • 11G. de RegtA6.2
  • 10N. Naujoks↓14’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 33Jerolldino Bergraaf↑14’6.2
  • 26M. Jonathans↑46’6.9
  • 15Simon Janssen↑62’6.9
  • 5S. Henderikx↑70’6.7
  • 6A. Carlén↑70’6.3

Unused: C. Raatsie, D. Sanches Fernandes, C. Nadje, S. Włodarczyk, M. van Duinen

Player stats

Top rated
S. van GasselExcelsior8.9
2nd
I. YegoianExcelsior8.0
3rd
E. HanssonExcelsior7.7

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 17% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
R. Hillen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 20% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 3.0
L. Greiml D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 56 4 0 1/1 0/2 7.0
D. Odoi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 52% 44 0 2 0/1 0/1 6.2
J. Candelaria D 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 10 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.5
K. Sowah M 73 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 28 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
M. Balard M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 82% 60 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Talvitie F 55 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.2
M. Nassoh M 73 0 0 0 (0) 4 71% 41 3 0 1/1 1/2 7.2
M. Soumano F 90 0 0 5 (2) 2 70% 20 0 1 2/4 1/2 7.2
C. Brym F 73 0 0 3 (2) 2 87% 15 1 0 0/1 1/1 6.6
C. Valerius D 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 31 2 5 0/1 1/3 6.9
A. Salama F 35 0 0 1 (1) 1 71% 14 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.2
C. Leemans M 17 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 22 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
L. Holtby M 17 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 9 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
A. Ayew F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Excelsior

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. van Gassel G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 61% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.9
A. Zagré D 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 40 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
R. Meissen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 50 2 3 0/0 1/1 7.3
C. Widell D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 43 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.6
Ilias Bronkhorst D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 55 0 3 1/2 1/0 7.2
L. Hartjes M 70 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 26 0 0 2/2 1/1 7.3
L. Schouten M 70 0 0 2 (1) 2 82% 39 2 2 0/0 0/1 7.6
E. Hansson F 46 1 0 2 (1) 1 75% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
I. Yegoian M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 88% 42 2 0 2/3 1/0 8.0
G. de Regt F 90 0 1 1 (1) 2 65% 31 0 0 1/3 1/0 6.2
N. Naujoks M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 25% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
Jerolldino Bergraaf F 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 12 0 0 0/2 4/0 6.2
M. Jonathans M 44 0 0 1 (1) 1 75% 12 1 0 0/1 2/2 6.9
Simon Janssen D 28 0 0 2 (1) 0 56% 9 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
S. Henderikx D 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Carlén M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.