Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 17:45 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.55 – 0.62
GO Ahead Eagles
  • J. Talvitie 48’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Talvitie goal decides it for NAC Breda

GO Ahead Eagles entered as narrow favourites, but NAC Breda won 1–0 through a Talvitie goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.55 and 0.62. On the chances created, GO Ahead Eagles deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

NAC Breda ✓32%
Draw27%
GO Ahead Eagles41%

Model vs reality

NAC Breda goals
1
Model 1.26 · xG 0.55
GO Ahead Eagles goals
0
Model 1.46 · xG 0.62
Total goals
1
Model 2.73 · xG 1.17
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. TalvitieNAC Breda · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeDennis Higler
  • CoachesC. Hoefkens · M. Boel
  • VenueRat Verlegh Stadion
  • Table before kick-offNAC Breda 14th · GO Ahead Eagles 11th

Timeline

  1. M. SmitYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    36’
  2. B. KemperYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    36’
  3. R. HillenYellow card
    40’
  4. A. AdelgaardYellow card · Roughing
    44’
  5. Half time · 0–0
  6. ⇄ R. WeijenbergFor O. Sivertsen
    46’
  7. J. Talvitie 1–0Assist M. Balard
    48’
  8. ⇄ F. StokkersFor K. Goudmijn
    66’
  9. ⇄ H. LinthorstFor A. Adelgaard
    66’
  10. ⇄ R. MargaretFor C. Twigt
    68’
  11. ⇄ C. StaringFor C. Leemans
    69’
  12. ⇄ J. CandelariaFor B. Kemper
    73’
  13. ⇄ T. BaetenFor Y. Rahmouni
    81’
  14. ⇄ C. ValeriusFor J. Talvitie
    85’
  15. ⇄ E. MahmutovićFor B. Lucassen
    85’
  16. ⇄ T. KongoloFor F. Oldrup Jensen
    85’
  17. C. ValeriusYellow card · Delay of game
    90+3’
  18. D. BielicaYellow card · Delay of game
    90+6’
  19. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

NAC Breda8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
GO Ahead Eagles5 shots · 5 in box
NAC BredaGO Ahead Eagles
44% Possession 56%
0.55 Expected goals (xG) 0.62
1.22 Expected points (xPts) 1.35
8 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 1
0 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 0
378 Passes 497
81% Pass accuracy 82%
2 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 2
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.00 Team rating 6.45

Line-ups

NAC Breda 4-2-3-1

996.6 D. Bielica(G)
47.2 B. Kemper ↓73’ 227.0 R. Hillen 207.2 F. Oldrup Jensen ↓85’ 27.3 B. Lucassen ↓85’
906.6 L. Holtby 167.3 M. Balard A
146.7 K. Sowah 86.9 C. Leemans ↓69’ 328.2★ J. Talvitie ↓85’
176.3 S. van Hooijdonk
  • 99D. Bielica (G)6.6
  • 4B. Kemper↓73’7.2
  • 22R. Hillen7.0
  • 20F. Oldrup Jensen↓85’7.2
  • 2B. Lucassen↓85’7.3
  • 90L. Holtby6.6
  • 16M. BalardA7.3
  • 14K. Sowah6.7
  • 8C. Leemans↓69’6.9
  • 32J. Talvitie ★↓85’8.2
  • 17S. van Hooijdonk6.3

Substitutes used

  • 5T. Kongolo↑85’6.5
  • 15E. Mahmutović↑85’6.6
  • 21J. Candelaria↑73’6.7
  • 25C. Valerius↑85’6.9
  • 6C. Staring↑69’6.6

Unused: R. Kortsmit, K. Lamprou, R. Paula, M. Nassoh, C. Brym, P. Reulen

Coach: C. Hoefkens

GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1

226.6 J. De Busser(G)
296.2 A. Adelgaard ↓66’ 46.9 J. Kramer 217.0 M. Meulensteen 26.9 M. Deijl
346.6 Y. Rahmouni ↓81’ 66.7 C. Twigt ↓68’
176.2 M. Suray 246.3 K. Goudmijn ↓66’ 116.2 O. Sivertsen ↓46’
95.3 M. Smit
  • 22J. De Busser (G)6.6
  • 29A. Adelgaard↓66’6.2
  • 4J. Kramer6.9
  • 21M. Meulensteen7.0
  • 2M. Deijl6.9
  • 34Y. Rahmouni↓81’6.6
  • 6C. Twigt↓68’6.7
  • 17M. Suray6.2
  • 24K. Goudmijn↓66’6.3
  • 11O. Sivertsen↓46’6.2
  • 9M. Smit5.3

Substitutes used

  • 8H. Linthorst↑66’6.9
  • 15R. Weijenberg↑46’6.2
  • 23T. Baeten↑81’6.5
  • 27F. Stokkers↑66’6.3
  • 18R. Margaret↑68’6.3

Unused: L. Plogmann, S. Jansen, G. van Zwam, J. Dirksen, X. Blomme, O. Pettersson

Coach: M. Boel

Player stats

Top rated
J. TalvitieNAC Breda8.2
2nd
B. LucassenNAC Breda7.3
3rd
M. BalardNAC Breda7.3

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 57% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
B. Kemper D 73 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 24 3 1 0/0 0/1 7.2
R. Hillen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 52 0 0 1/1 2/0 7.0
F. Oldrup Jensen M 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 55 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
B. Lucassen D 85 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 22 3 0 1/1 0/0 7.3
L. Holtby M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 29 3 0 0/1 1/0 6.6
M. Balard M 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 81% 43 3 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
K. Sowah M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 2 0 1/3 1/0 6.7
C. Leemans M 69 0 0 2 (1) 1 87% 45 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.9
J. Talvitie F 85 1 0 1 (1) 0 86% 22 1 1 1/3 1/4 8.2
S. van Hooijdonk F 90 0 0 3 (0) 0 68% 25 1 1 0/2 1/1 6.3
T. Kongolo D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
E. Mahmutović D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
J. Candelaria D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
C. Valerius D 5 0 0 1 (0) 0 — 0 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
C. Staring M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

GO Ahead Eagles

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
J. De Busser G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 56% 50 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
A. Adelgaard D 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 19 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.2
J. Kramer D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 70 1 3 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Meulensteen M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 94 3 1 0/1 0/1 7.0
M. Deijl D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 57 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.9
Y. Rahmouni M 81 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 51 1 0 0/0 1/2 6.6
C. Twigt M 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 36 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
M. Suray M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 18 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
K. Goudmijn M 66 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 23 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.3
O. Sivertsen F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Smit F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 74% 19 0 0 0/1 0/1 5.3
H. Linthorst M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
R. Weijenberg M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
T. Baeten F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
F. Stokkers F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Margaret F 22 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 3 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.