Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Sep 20 2025 · 20:00 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
2–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.22 – 0.75
  • B. Kemper 57’
  • S. van Hooijdonk 85’
  • 11’ Y. Borges Sanches
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

NAC Breda come from behind to beat Heracles

NAC Breda entered as narrow favourites, yet Heracles led 1–0 at half-time through a Sanches goal. But Kemper and van Hooijdonk scored to turn it around for NAC Breda, who won 2–1. NAC Breda finished with the higher xG (2.22 vs 0.75).

NAC Breda ✓46%
Draw26%
Heracles28%

Model vs reality

NAC Breda goals
2
Model 1.55 · xG 2.22
Heracles goals
1
Model 1.16 · xG 0.75
Total goals
3
Model 2.71 · xG 2.97
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. KemperNAC Breda · 1 goal · 1 assist
7.9
  • RefereeDennis Higler
  • CoachesC. Hoefkens · Bas Sibum
  • VenueRat Verlegh Stadion
  • Table before kick-offNAC Breda 15th · Heracles 18th

Timeline

  1. Y. Borges Sanches 0–1
    11’
  2. R. HillenYellow card · Roughing
    45’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. M. BenitaYellow card · Tripping
    46’
  5. B. Kemper 1–1
    57’
  6. ⇄ T. van GilstFor B. Limbombe
    62’
  7. ⇄ W. Ould-ChikhFor T. Bruns
    62’
  8. A. HrustićYellow card · Roughing
    63’
  9. ⇄ L. KulenovićFor J. Hornkamp
    69’
  10. ⇄ E. MahmutovićFor L. Greiml
    69’
  11. ⇄ R. PaulaFor J. Talvitie
    81’
  12. ⇄ C. ValeriusFor B. Lucassen
    81’
  13. S. van Hooijdonk 2–1Assist B. Kemper
    85’
  14. ⇄ M. EngelsFor M. Benita
    87’
  15. ⇄ M. te WierikFor D. Mirani
    87’
  16. ⇄ F. Oldrup JensenFor M. Nassoh
    88’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

NAC Breda17 shots · 15 in box, 2 outside
Heracles11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
NAC BredaHeracles
63% Possession 37%
2.22 Expected goals (xG) 0.75
2.31 Expected points (xPts) 0.51
17 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
7 Shots off target 6
6 Blocked shots 1
15 Shots inside the box 8
2 Shots outside the box 3
506 Passes 301
85% Pass accuracy 76%
10 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

NAC Breda 4-2-3-1

997.5 D. Bielica(G)
47.9★ B. Kemper A 227.2 R. Hillen 127.2 L. Greiml ↓69’ 26.7 B. Lucassen ↓81’
167.0 M. Balard 906.3 L. Holtby
146.5 K. Sowah 106.6 M. Nassoh ↓88’ 326.2 J. Talvitie ↓81’
177.3 S. van Hooijdonk
  • 99D. Bielica (G)7.5
  • 4B. Kemper ★A7.9
  • 22R. Hillen7.2
  • 12L. Greiml↓69’7.2
  • 2B. Lucassen↓81’6.7
  • 16M. Balard7.0
  • 90L. Holtby6.3
  • 14K. Sowah6.5
  • 10M. Nassoh↓88’6.6
  • 32J. Talvitie↓81’6.2
  • 17S. van Hooijdonk7.3

Substitutes used

  • 25C. Valerius↑81’6.7
  • 15E. Mahmutović↑69’6.3
  • 11R. Paula↑81’6.5
  • 20F. Oldrup Jensen↑88’

Unused: K. Lamprou, R. Kortsmit, J. Candelaria, T. Kongolo, C. Staring, C. Leemans, Dion Versluis, Pepijn Reulen

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Heracles 4-3-3

16.9 F. de Keijzer(G)
246.9 I. Mesík 186.7 A. Van Hoorenbeeck 46.7 D. Mirani ↓87’ 26.3 M. Benita ↓87’
106.5 T. Bruns ↓62’ 327.6 S. Scheperman 706.6 A. Hrustić
217.9 Y. Borges Sanches 96.6 J. Hornkamp ↓69’ 76.9 B. Limbombe ↓62’
  • 1F. de Keijzer (G)6.9
  • 24I. Mesík6.9
  • 18A. Van Hoorenbeeck6.7
  • 4D. Mirani↓87’6.7
  • 2M. Benita↓87’6.3
  • 10T. Bruns↓62’6.5
  • 32S. Scheperman7.6
  • 70A. Hrustić6.6
  • 21Y. Borges Sanches7.9
  • 9J. Hornkamp↓69’6.6
  • 7B. Limbombe↓62’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 73W. Ould-Chikh↑62’6.7
  • 17T. van Gilst↑62’6.6
  • 23M. te Wierik↑87’6.6
  • 8M. Engels↑87’6.3
  • 19L. Kulenović↑69’6.5

Unused: T. Jansink, R. Mantel, L. Milani, D. van der Kust, J. Wieckhoff, J. Žambůrek

Coach: Bas Sibum

Player stats

Top rated
B. KemperNAC Breda7.9
2nd
Y. Borges SanchesHeracles7.9
3rd
S. SchepermanHeracles7.6

NAC Breda

Heracles

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.