Primeira Liga Gameweek 30 Sat, Apr 18 2026 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.73 – 0.44
  • J. Ramírez 67’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ramírez goal decides it for Nacional

Nacional won 1–0 through a Ramírez goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.73 and 0.44. On the chances created, Alverca deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nacional ✓34%
Draw29%
Alverca36%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
1
Model 1.17 · xG 0.73
Alverca goals
0
Model 1.20 · xG 0.44
Total goals
1
Model 2.37 · xG 1.17
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 42%
Both scored
No
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. RamírezNacional · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeMiguel Nogueira
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 15th · Alverca 10th

Timeline

  1. RhaldneyYellow card
    38’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ D. GuiFor Rhaldney
    46’
  4. ⇄ Filipe SoaresFor Daniel Júnior
    63’
  5. J. Ramírez 1–0Assist José Gomes
    67’
  6. ⇄ Vasco MoreiraFor Lincoln
    75’
  7. ⇄ M. MilovanovićFor Sandro Lima
    75’
  8. ⇄ M. ClairiciaFor Figueiredo
    75’
  9. C. LabidiYellow card · misses next match
    78’
  10. Gabriel VeronYellow card
    87’
  11. ⇄ Matheus DiasFor Gabriel Veron
    87’
  12. ⇄ Zakaria KassaryFor Chiquinho
    88’
  13. ⇄ João AurélioFor Liziero
    90+3’
  14. ⇄ Pablo RuanFor J. Ramírez
    90+3’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Nacional9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
Alverca7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
NacionalAlverca
50% Possession 50%
0.73 Expected goals (xG) 0.44
1.57 Expected points (xPts) 1.01
9 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 1
0 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 5
4 Shots outside the box 2
391 Passes 372
81% Pass accuracy 81%
4 Corners 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
15 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.14 Team rating 6.50

Line-ups

Nacional 4-3-3

16.7 Kaique(G)
57.2 José Gomes A 387.7 Zé Vitor 337.7 Francisco Gonçalves 167.7 Alan Nuñez
287.2 Liziero ↓90’ 156.6 C. Labidi 106.7 Daniel Júnior ↓63’
116.3 Paulinho Bóia 97.9★ J. Ramírez ↓90’ 277.0 Gabriel Veron ↓87’
  • 1Kaique (G)6.7
  • 5José GomesA7.2
  • 38Zé Vitor7.7
  • 33Francisco Gonçalves7.7
  • 16Alan Nuñez7.7
  • 28Liziero↓90’7.2
  • 15C. Labidi6.6
  • 10Daniel Júnior↓63’6.7
  • 11Paulinho Bóia6.3
  • 9J. Ramírez ★↓90’7.9
  • 27Gabriel Veron↓87’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 2João Aurélio↑90’
  • 22Filipe Soares↑63’6.3
  • 6Matheus Dias↑87’
  • 99Pablo Ruan↑90’

Unused: Kevyn, Witi, Joel Silva, Martim Watts, Lucas João

Alverca 3-4-3

316.9 Matheus Mendes(G)
336.7 B. Meupiyou 56.0 Sergi Gómez 47.2 Kaiky Naves
126.5 Isaac James 186.9 Lincoln ↓75’ 266.0 Rhaldney ↓46’ 26.2 Zoubdi
106.6 Chiquinho ↓88’ 916.0 Sandro Lima ↓75’ 206.2 Figueiredo ↓75’
  • 31Matheus Mendes (G)6.9
  • 33B. Meupiyou6.7
  • 5Sergi Gómez6.0
  • 4Kaiky Naves7.2
  • 12Isaac James6.5
  • 18Lincoln↓75’6.9
  • 26Rhaldney↓46’6.0
  • 2Zoubdi6.2
  • 10Chiquinho↓88’6.6
  • 91Sandro Lima↓75’6.0
  • 20Figueiredo↓75’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 6D. Gui↑46’6.6
  • 35Zakaria Kassary↑88’
  • 17Vasco Moreira↑75’6.3
  • 9M. Milovanović↑75’6.3
  • 19M. Clairicia↑75’6.7

Unused: Mateus Oliveira, Diogo Spencer, S. Baseya, Cedric Nuozzi

Player stats

Top rated
J. RamírezNacional7.9
2nd
Zé VitorNacional7.7
3rd
Francisco GonçalvesNacional7.7

Nacional

Alverca

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.