Primeira Liga Gameweek 32 Sat, May 2 2026 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
1–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.12 – 1.54
  • Filipe Soares 4’
  • Zé Vitor 90+4’
  • 22’ Pedro Lima
  • 63’ G. Neiva
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AVS come from behind to beat Nacional

Nacional entered as favourites and led 1–0 after 4 minutes through a Soares goal. But Lima and Neiva scored to turn it around for AVS, who won 2–1. Nacional played with ten men from the 90th minute after Vitor was sent off. AVS finished with the higher xG (1.54 vs 1.12). On the chances created, Nacional deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nacional54%
Draw26%
AVS ✓20%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
1
Model 1.60 · xG 1.12
AVS goals
2
Model 0.89 · xG 1.54
Total goals
3
Model 2.49 · xG 2.66
Score 1–2
5%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchFilipe SoaresNacional · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeMarcio Torres
  • Coaches— · Joao Henriques
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 14th · AVS 18th

Timeline

  1. Filipe Soares 1–0
    4’
  2. Pedro Lima 1–1Assist B. Akinsola
    22’
  3. Gabriel VeronYellow card
    41’
  4. Paulo VitorYellow card
    45’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. ⇄ LizieroFor Gabriel Veron
    46’
  7. C. LabidiYellow card
    55’
  8. Zé VitorYellow card
    59’
  9. G. Neiva 1–2Assist Diego Duarte
    63’
  10. ⇄ Carlos PonckFor Tiago Galletto
    64’
  11. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor Daniel Júnior
    71’
  12. ⇄ Pablo RuanFor C. Labidi
    71’
  13. ⇄ TómanéFor G. Neiva
    72’
  14. ⇄ WitiFor José Gomes
    88’
  15. ⇄ João AurélioFor Alan Nuñez
    88’
  16. AdrielYellow card
    89’
  17. ⇄ Guillem MolinaFor B. Akinsola
    90’
  18. Zé VitorSecond yellow
    90+4’
  19. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Nacional17 shots · 11 in box, 6 outside
AVS19 shots · 9 in box, 10 outside
NacionalAVS
68% Possession 32%
1.12 Expected goals (xG) 1.54
1.08 Expected points (xPts) 1.66
17 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 7
5 Blocked shots 9
11 Shots inside the box 9
6 Shots outside the box 10
414 Passes 193
84% Pass accuracy 72%
7 Corners 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 7.08

Line-ups

Nacional 4-2-3-1

15.9 Kaique(G)
57.3 José Gomes ↓88’ 386.5 Zé Vitor 346.2 Léo Santos 167.0 Alan Nuñez ↓88’
228.2★ Filipe Soares 156.7 C. Labidi ↓71’
117.5 Paulinho Bóia 106.6 Daniel Júnior ↓71’ 276.3 Gabriel Veron ↓46’
96.6 J. Ramírez
  • 1Kaique (G)5.9
  • 5José Gomes↓88’7.3
  • 38Zé Vitor6.5
  • 34Léo Santos6.2
  • 16Alan Nuñez↓88’7.0
  • 22Filipe Soares ★8.2
  • 15C. Labidi↓71’6.7
  • 11Paulinho Bóia7.5
  • 10Daniel Júnior↓71’6.6
  • 27Gabriel Veron↓46’6.3
  • 9J. Ramírez6.6

Substitutes used

  • 28Liziero↑46’7.2
  • 2João Aurélio↑88’
  • 7Witi↑88’
  • 19Lucas João↑71’6.9
  • 99Pablo Ruan↑71’6.9

Unused: Kevyn, Francisco Gonçalves, Matheus Dias, Joel Silva

AVS 4-3-3

16.3 Adriel
127.7 Leonardo Rivas 37.0 Paulo Vitor 427.2 C. Devenish 976.5 Mateus Pivô
87.7 Pedro Lima 706.9 Roni 196.6 Tiago Galletto ↓64’
218.2 G. Neiva ↓72’ 206.9 Diego Duarte A 117.2 B. Akinsola A↓90’
  • 1Adriel6.3
  • 12Leonardo Rivas7.7
  • 3Paulo Vitor7.0
  • 42C. Devenish7.2
  • 97Mateus Pivô6.5
  • 8Pedro Lima7.7
  • 70Roni6.9
  • 19Tiago Galletto↓64’6.6
  • 21G. Neiva↓72’8.2
  • 20Diego DuarteA6.9
  • 11B. AkinsolaA↓90’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 26Carlos Ponck↑64’6.9
  • 5Guillem Molina↑90’
  • 7Tómané↑72’6.3

Unused: Pedro Trigueira, Simão, Aderllan Santos, Ángel Algobia, Ó. Perea, Nenê

Coach: Joao Henriques

Player stats

Top rated
Filipe SoaresNacional8.2
2nd
G. NeivaAVS8.2
3rd
Leonardo RivasAVS7.7

Nacional

AVS

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.