Primeira Liga Gameweek 12 Sat, Nov 29 2025 · 18:00 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
1–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.42 – 2.62
  • J. Ramírez 60’
  • 89’ G. Prestianni
  • 90+5’ V. Pavlidis
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Benfica come from behind to beat Nacional

Benfica entered as clear favourites, yet Nacional led 1–0 after 60 minutes through a Ramírez goal. But Prestianni and Pavlidis scored to turn it around for Benfica, who won 2–1. Benfica finished with the higher xG (2.62 vs 0.42).

Nacional14%
Draw22%
Benfica ✓64%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
1
Model 0.81 · xG 0.42
Benfica goals
2
Model 1.98 · xG 2.62
Total goals
3
Model 2.79 · xG 3.04
Score 1–2
10%
Most likely 0–2 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchH. SudakovBenfica
8.5
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 11th · Benfica 3rd

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. E. BarrenecheaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    55’
  3. M. NouraniYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    55’
  4. ⇄ G. PrestianniFor Rodrigo Rego
    58’
  5. ⇄ WitiFor M. Nourani
    59’
  6. ⇄ C. LabidiFor Miguel Baeza
    59’
  7. J. Ramírez 1–0Assist Paulinho Bóia
    60’
  8. ⇄ F. IvanovićFor E. Barrenechea
    64’
  9. C. LabidiYellow card · Foul
    65’
  10. J. RamírezYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    71’
  11. ⇄ A. SchjelderupFor L. Barreiro
    77’
  12. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor J. Ramírez
    78’
  13. G. PrestianniYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    84’
  14. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor Paulinho Bóia
    84’
  15. G. Prestianni 1–1Assist A. Dedić
    89’
  16. V. Pavlidis 1–2Assist A. Schjelderup
    90+5’
  17. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Nacional5 shots · 2 in box, 3 outside
Benfica30 shots · 18 in box, 12 outside
NacionalBenfica
30% Possession 70%
0.42 Expected goals (xG) 2.62
0.24 Expected points (xPts) 2.65
5 Shots 30
2 Shots on target 8
2 Shots off target 13
1 Blocked shots 9
2 Shots inside the box 18
3 Shots outside the box 12
258 Passes 595
67% Pass accuracy 84%
2 Corners 11
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.83 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Nacional 4-2-3-1

18.0 Kaique(G)
56.3 José Gomes 386.9 Zé Vitor 346.5 Léo Santos 166.0 Alan Nuñez
67.5 Matheus Dias 286.2 Liziero
117.3 Paulinho Bóia A↓84’ 86.5 Miguel Baeza ↓59’ 176.7 M. Nourani ↓59’
97.5 J. Ramírez ↓78’
  • 1Kaique (G)8.0
  • 5José Gomes6.3
  • 38Zé Vitor6.9
  • 34Léo Santos6.5
  • 16Alan Nuñez6.0
  • 6Matheus Dias7.5
  • 28Liziero6.2
  • 11Paulinho BóiaA↓84’7.3
  • 8Miguel Baeza↓59’6.5
  • 17M. Nourani↓59’6.7
  • 9J. Ramírez↓78’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 15C. Labidi↑59’6.3
  • 7Witi↑59’6.7
  • 19Lucas João↑78’6.3
  • 26Joel Silva↑84’6.5

Unused: Lucas França, Francisco Gonçalves, Deivison, André Sousa, Martim Watts

Benfica 4-2-3-1

16.5 A. Trubin(G)
266.9 S. Dahl 306.9 N. Otamendi 47.2 António Silva 176.3 A. Dedić A
56.9 E. Barrenechea ↓64’ 86.9 F. Aursnes
108.5★ H. Sudakov 184.9 L. Barreiro ↓77’ 676.5 Rodrigo Rego ↓58’
147.7 V. Pavlidis
  • 1A. Trubin (G)6.5
  • 26S. Dahl6.9
  • 30N. Otamendi6.9
  • 4António Silva7.2
  • 17A. DedićA6.3
  • 5E. Barrenechea↓64’6.9
  • 8F. Aursnes6.9
  • 10H. Sudakov ★8.5
  • 18L. Barreiro↓77’4.9
  • 67Rodrigo Rego↓58’6.5
  • 14V. Pavlidis7.7

Substitutes used

  • 25G. Prestianni↑58’7.6
  • 9F. Ivanović↑64’6.2
  • 21A. SchjelderupA↑77’7.7

Unused: Samuel Soares, J. Wynder, Tomás Araújo, Manu, João Veloso, João Rêgo

Player stats

Top rated
H. SudakovBenfica8.5
2nd
KaiqueNacional8.0
3rd
V. PavlidisBenfica7.7

Nacional

Benfica

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.