Primeira Liga Gameweek 10 Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.46 – 1.07
  • Zé Vitor 63’
  • 45+2’ A. Joujou
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Joujou goal decides it for Famalicao

Famalicao entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Joujou goal. Nacional played with ten men from the 63rd minute after Vitor was sent off. Famalicao finished with the higher xG (1.07 vs 0.46). On the chances created, Nacional deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nacional33%
Draw28%
Famalicao ✓39%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
0
Model 1.20 · xG 0.46
Famalicao goals
1
Model 1.32 · xG 1.07
Total goals
1
Model 2.51 · xG 1.53
Score 0–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchGustavo SáFamalicao
7.6
  • RefereeClaudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 10th · Famalicao 5th

Timeline

  1. S. ElisorYellow card
    25’
  2. Pedro BondoYellow card
    30’
  3. Léo SantosYellow card
    34’
  4. Zé VitorYellow card
    39’
  5. A. Joujou 0–1
    45+2’
  6. Half time · 0–1
  7. VAR Zé VitorGoal Disallowed - offside
    53’
  8. ⇄ Gil DiasFor A. Joujou
    60’
  9. Zé VitorSecond yellow
    63’
  10. LizieroYellow card
    66’
  11. Rodrigo PinheiroYellow card
    68’
  12. ⇄ M. NouraniFor Witi
    70’
  13. ⇄ M. ZabiriFor S. Elisor
    75’
  14. ⇄ Rafa SoaresFor Pedro Bondo
    75’
  15. ⇄ Alan NuñezFor João Aurélio
    78’
  16. ⇄ Lenny VallierFor José Gomes
    78’
  17. M. ZabiriYellow card
    78’
  18. ⇄ André SousaFor Filipe Soares
    87’
  19. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor Liziero
    87’
  20. L. CarevićYellow card
    90’
  21. ⇄ Marcos PeñaFor M. De Amorim
    90+1’
  22. SorrisoYellow card
    90+3’
  23. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Nacional8 shots · 4 in box, 4 outside
Famalicao18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
NacionalFamalicao
43% Possession 57%
0.46 Expected goals (xG) 1.07
0.81 Expected points (xPts) 1.85
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 7
1 Blocked shots 8
4 Shots inside the box 12
4 Shots outside the box 6
276 Passes 358
77% Pass accuracy 80%
3 Corners 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
15 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Nacional 4-2-3-1

16.9 Kaique(G)
56.7 José Gomes ↓78’ 385.6 Zé Vitor 346.9 Léo Santos 26.9 João Aurélio ↓78’
286.9 Liziero ↓87’ 66.7 Matheus Dias
116.9 Paulinho Bóia 226.7 Filipe Soares ↓87’ 76.9 Witi ↓70’
97.5 J. Ramírez
  • 1Kaique (G)6.9
  • 5José Gomes↓78’6.7
  • 38Zé Vitor5.6
  • 34Léo Santos6.9
  • 2João Aurélio↓78’6.9
  • 28Liziero↓87’6.9
  • 6Matheus Dias6.7
  • 11Paulinho Bóia6.9
  • 22Filipe Soares↓87’6.7
  • 7Witi↓70’6.9
  • 9J. Ramírez7.5

Substitutes used

  • 24Lenny Vallier↑78’6.7
  • 16Alan Nuñez↑78’6.6
  • 18André Sousa↑87’6.3
  • 26Joel Silva↑87’6.3
  • 17M. Nourani↑70’6.7

Unused: Kevyn, Francisco Gonçalves, Martim Watts, Lucas João

Famalicao 4-2-3-1

257.5 L. Carević(G)
286.6 Pedro Bondo ↓75’ 37.0 L. Realpe 557.0 I. Ba 176.9 Rodrigo Pinheiro
146.9 M. De Amorim ↓90’ 66.9 T. van de Looi
776.9 A. Joujou ↓60’ 207.6★ Gustavo Sá 76.6 Sorriso
125.9 S. Elisor ↓75’
  • 25L. Carević (G)7.5
  • 28Pedro Bondo↓75’6.6
  • 3L. Realpe7.0
  • 55I. Ba7.0
  • 17Rodrigo Pinheiro6.9
  • 14M. De Amorim↓90’6.9
  • 6T. van de Looi6.9
  • 77A. Joujou↓60’6.9
  • 20Gustavo Sá ★7.6
  • 7Sorriso6.6
  • 12S. Elisor↓75’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 5Rafa Soares↑75’6.7
  • 23Gil Dias↑60’6.9
  • 8Marcos Peña↑90’
  • 21M. Zabiri↑75’6.3

Unused: I. Zlobin, Gustavo Garcia, Renan, Pedro Santos, Umar Abubakar

Player stats

Top rated
Gustavo SáFamalicao7.6
2nd
J. RamírezNacional7.5
3rd
L. CarevićFamalicao7.5

Nacional

Famalicao

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.