Primeira Liga Gameweek 22 Sun, Feb 15 2026 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Nacional
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.61 – 0.45
FC Porto
  • 60’ J. Bednarek
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bednarek goal decides it for FC Porto

FC Porto entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Bednarek goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.61 and 0.45. On the chances created, Nacional deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nacional18%
Draw25%
FC Porto ✓57%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
0
Model 0.82 · xG 0.61
FC Porto goals
1
Model 1.68 · xG 0.45
Total goals
1
Model 2.50 · xG 1.06
Score 0–1
13%
Most likely 0–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMatheus DiasNacional
7.9
  • RefereeJosé Bessa
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 14th · FC Porto 1st

Timeline

  1. Francisco GonçalvesYellow card · Foul
    45+1’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ Miguel BaezaFor Joel Silva
    46’
  4. ⇄ Gabri VeigaFor Rodrigo Mora
    59’
  5. ⇄ Borja SainzFor O. Pietuszewski
    59’
  6. J. Bednarek 0–1Assist Gabri Veiga
    60’
  7. ⇄ Pablo RuanFor Witi
    71’
  8. ⇄ T. MoffiFor D. Gül
    74’
  9. ⇄ S. FofanaFor V. Froholdt
    74’
  10. ⇄ Lenny VallierFor Francisco Gonçalves
    76’
  11. LizieroYellow card
    84’
  12. ⇄ Daniel JúniorFor Paulinho Bóia
    85’
  13. ⇄ C. LabidiFor Liziero
    85’
  14. KaiqueYellow card · Delay of game
    87’
  15. ⇄ William GomesFor Pepê
    90’
  16. Lenny VallierYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Nacional8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
FC Porto8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
NacionalFC Porto
47% Possession 53%
0.61 Expected goals (xG) 0.45
1.43 Expected points (xPts) 1.12
8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Shots inside the box 5
2 Shots outside the box 3
285 Passes 323
76% Pass accuracy 80%
5 Corners 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 5
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.76 Team rating 6.88

Line-ups

Nacional 4-3-3

17.0 Kaique(G)
56.6 José Gomes 387.0 Zé Vitor 336.3 Francisco Gonçalves ↓76’ 166.9 Alan Nuñez
286.3 Liziero ↓85’ 67.9★ Matheus Dias 266.6 Joel Silva ↓46’
117.2 Paulinho Bóia ↓85’ 96.0 J. Ramírez 76.6 Witi ↓71’
  • 1Kaique (G)7.0
  • 5José Gomes6.6
  • 38Zé Vitor7.0
  • 33Francisco Gonçalves↓76’6.3
  • 16Alan Nuñez6.9
  • 28Liziero↓85’6.3
  • 6Matheus Dias ★7.9
  • 26Joel Silva↓46’6.6
  • 11Paulinho Bóia↓85’7.2
  • 9J. Ramírez6.0
  • 7Witi↓71’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 8Miguel Baeza↑46’6.3
  • 99Pablo Ruan↑71’6.9
  • 24Lenny Vallier↑76’6.7
  • 15C. Labidi↑85’6.5
  • 10Daniel Júnior↑85’6.7

Unused: Kevyn, Deivison, Martim Watts, Lucas João

FC Porto 4-3-3

997.3 Diogo Costa(G)
127.2 Z. Sanusi 57.9 J. Bednarek 37.3 Thiago Silva 207.0 Alberto Baio
866.2 Rodrigo Mora ↓59’ 226.9 A. Varela 86.3 V. Froholdt ↓74’
776.9 O. Pietuszewski ↓59’ 276.2 D. Gül ↓74’ 116.2 Pepê ↓90’
  • 99Diogo Costa (G)7.3
  • 12Z. Sanusi7.2
  • 5J. Bednarek7.9
  • 3Thiago Silva7.3
  • 20Alberto Baio7.0
  • 86Rodrigo Mora↓59’6.2
  • 22A. Varela6.9
  • 8V. Froholdt↓74’6.3
  • 77O. Pietuszewski↓59’6.9
  • 27D. Gül↓74’6.2
  • 11Pepê↓90’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 10Gabri VeigaA↑59’7.0
  • 17Borja Sainz↑59’6.6
  • 42S. Fofana↑74’6.3
  • 29T. Moffi↑74’6.5
  • 7William Gomes↑90’

Unused: Cláudio Ramos, Gabriel Brás, D. Prpić, P. Rosario

Player stats

Top rated
Matheus DiasNacional7.9
2nd
J. BednarekFC Porto7.9
3rd
Diogo CostaFC Porto7.3

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 53% 38 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
José Gomes D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 79% 14 3 2 0/0 0/1 6.6
Zé Vitor D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 79% 38 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
Francisco Gonçalves D 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 36 1 2 0/0 2/2 6.3
Alan Nuñez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 24 4 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
Liziero M 85 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 26 2 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
Matheus Dias M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 36 1 1 2/2 1/2 7.9
Joel Silva M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 4 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
Paulinho Bóia F 85 0 0 1 (1) 1 81% 16 3 0 0/3 1/2 7.2
J. Ramírez F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 64% 14 0 0 0/2 3/1 6.0
Witi F 71 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 15 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.6
Miguel Baeza M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
Pablo Ruan M 19 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Lenny Vallier D 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
C. Labidi M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Daniel Júnior F 5 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

FC Porto

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Diogo Costa G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 88% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Z. Sanusi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 78% 23 0 2 1/2 1/1 7.2
J. Bednarek D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 80% 61 0 0 0/0 1/2 7.9
Thiago Silva D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 66 1 1 0/0 0/1 7.3
Alberto Baio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 35 3 1 1/1 2/1 7.0
Rodrigo Mora M 59 0 0 1 (1) 2 80% 15 1 0 0/3 0/0 6.2
A. Varela M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 44 1 1 1/3 0/1 6.9
V. Froholdt M 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.3
O. Pietuszewski M 59 0 0 1 (1) 0 70% 10 1 1 3/8 1/2 6.9
D. Gül F 74 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 6 0 0 1/2 3/0 6.2
Pepê F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 73% 26 0 0 2/4 1/2 6.2
Gabri Veiga M 31 0 1 0 (0) 1 75% 4 1 0 0/1 0/2 7.0
Borja Sainz F 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
S. Fofana M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
T. Moffi F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
William Gomes F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/1 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.