Primeira Liga Gameweek 8 Sat, Oct 4 2025 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Nacional
3–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.76 – 2.08
Moreirense
  • J. Ramírez 21’ (P), 84’ (P)
  • Léo Santos 59’
  • 5’ Vasco Sousa
  • 56’ Kiko Bondoso
  • 62’ Vasco Sousa
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nacional come from behind to beat Moreirense

Moreirense led 1–0 after 5 minutes through a Sousa goal. But Ramírez and Santos scored to turn it around for Nacional, who won 3–2. Moreirense played with ten men from the 62nd minute after Sousa was sent off. Nacional finished with the higher xG (2.76 vs 2.08). On the chances created, Moreirense deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nacional ✓35%
Draw28%
Moreirense36%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
3
Model 1.24 · xG 2.76
Moreirense goals
2
Model 1.26 · xG 2.08
Total goals
5
Model 2.49 · xG 4.84
Score 3–2
2%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchLéo SantosNacional · 1 goal
8.7
  • RefereeHelder Malheiro
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 14th · Moreirense 4th

Timeline

  1. Vasco Sousa 0–1Assist Dinis Pinto
    5’
  2. MaracásYellow card
    15’
  3. J. Ramírez (pen) 1–1
    21’
  4. MaranhãoYellow card
    30’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. Zé VitorYellow card
    50’
  7. Kiko Bondoso 1–2Assist Maranhão
    56’
  8. Léo Santos 2–2Assist Liziero
    59’
  9. Vasco SousaRed card
    62’
  10. ⇄ LandersonFor Kiko Bondoso
    69’
  11. ⇄ BennyFor Alan
    70’
  12. ⇄ G. Dambi BatistaFor Maranhão
    70’
  13. M. StjepanovićYellow card
    72’
  14. ⇄ Filipe SoaresFor C. Labidi
    76’
  15. ⇄ WitiFor Pablo Ruan
    81’
  16. J. Ramírez (pen) 3–2
    84’
  17. ⇄ Cedric TeguiaFor Diogo Travassos
    85’
  18. ⇄ André SousaFor Liziero
    90+1’
  19. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Nacional17 shots · 7 in box, 10 outside
Moreirense10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
NacionalMoreirense
58% Possession 42%
2.76 Expected goals (xG) 2.08
1.77 Expected points (xPts) 1.06
17 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 8
10 Shots outside the box 2
356 Passes 254
82% Pass accuracy 78%
2 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
6.86 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

Nacional 4-2-3-1

16.2 Kaique(G)
55.7 José Gomes 386.2 Zé Vitor 348.7★ Léo Santos 166.6 Alan Nuñez
66.7 Matheus Dias 287.5 Liziero A↓90’
116.7 Paulinho Bóia 156.9 C. Labidi ↓76’ 996.7 Pablo Ruan ↓81’
97.7 J. Ramírez
  • 1Kaique (G)6.2
  • 5José Gomes5.7
  • 38Zé Vitor6.2
  • 34Léo Santos ★8.7
  • 16Alan Nuñez6.6
  • 6Matheus Dias6.7
  • 28LizieroA↓90’7.5
  • 11Paulinho Bóia6.7
  • 15C. Labidi↓76’6.9
  • 99Pablo Ruan↓81’6.7
  • 9J. Ramírez7.7

Substitutes used

  • 7Witi↑81’6.3
  • 18André Sousa↑90’
  • 22Filipe Soares↑76’6.3

Unused: Kevyn, Lenny Vallier, Ulisses, Martim Watts, Joel Silva, Lucas João

Moreirense 4-3-3

226.5 Caio Secco(G)
276.6 Kiko 265.9 Maracás 447.3 Marcelo 766.2 Dinis Pinto A
156.3 Vasco Sousa 86.2 M. Stjepanović 116.2 Alan ↓70’
106.6 Kiko Bondoso ↓69’ 997.0 Maranhão A↓70’ 26.9 Diogo Travassos ↓85’
  • 22Caio Secco (G)6.5
  • 27Kiko6.6
  • 26Maracás5.9
  • 44Marcelo7.3
  • 76Dinis PintoA6.2
  • 15Vasco Sousa6.3
  • 8M. Stjepanović6.2
  • 11Alan↓70’6.2
  • 10Kiko Bondoso↓69’6.6
  • 99MaranhãoA↓70’7.0
  • 2Diogo Travassos↓85’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 66G. Dambi Batista↑70’6.3
  • 7Cedric Teguia↑85’
  • 20Benny↑70’6.7
  • 78Landerson↑69’6.6

Unused: Mika, Álvaro Martínez, J. Gower, Joel Jorquera, Afonso Assis

Player stats

Top rated
Léo SantosNacional8.7
2nd
J. RamírezNacional7.7
3rd
LizieroNacional7.5

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 70% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
José Gomes D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 68% 22 1 1 0/1 2/0 5.7
Zé Vitor D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 86% 58 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
Léo Santos D 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 88% 52 0 2 0/0 0/0 8.7
Alan Nuñez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 30 2 0 1/1 2/0 6.6
Matheus Dias M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 95% 39 0 2 0/3 2/3 6.7
Liziero M 90 0 1 1 (0) 2 87% 46 2 0 1/2 0/1 7.5
Paulinho Bóia F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 69% 16 0 0 1/4 1/5 6.7
C. Labidi M 76 0 0 1 (1) 1 93% 14 3 0 1/1 1/3 6.9
Pablo Ruan M 81 0 0 0 (0) 1 52% 21 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
J. Ramírez F 90 2 0 3 (3) 1 90% 20 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.7
Witi F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
André Sousa M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Filipe Soares M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3

Moreirense

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Caio Secco G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 72% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Kiko D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 70% 23 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.6
Maracás D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 36 0 0 0/0 2/0 5.9
Marcelo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 41 1 1 0/0 1/1 7.3
Dinis Pinto D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 88% 24 1 2 0/1 1/1 6.2
Vasco Sousa M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 100% 13 1 0 0/0 5/0 6.3
M. Stjepanović M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 25 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
Alan M 70 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 10 1 1 0/1 1/0 6.2
Kiko Bondoso F 69 1 0 0 (0) 1 78% 18 0 0 0/1 0/2 6.6
Maranhão F 70 0 1 3 (1) 2 92% 13 3 0 1/1 2/2 7.0
Diogo Travassos D 85 0 0 1 (0) 2 44% 16 3 1 0/1 1/3 6.9
G. Dambi Batista D 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Cedric Teguia F 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/1 —
Benny M 20 0 0 1 (1) 2 33% 3 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
Landerson F 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.