Primeira Liga Gameweek 16 Sun, Jan 11 2026 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Nacional
3–3 Full time · HT 2–2 xG 1.98 – 2.40
Santa Clara
  • J. Ramírez 21’, 38’ (P), 50’
  • 4’ Vinícius Lopes
  • 15’ Paulo Victor
  • 90+5’ Elias Manoel
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nacional fight back from two goals down

Nacional entered as narrow favourites, yet Santa Clara led 2–0 after 15 minutes through goals from Lopes and Victor. But Ramírez scored three to rescue a draw for Nacional. Santa Clara finished with the higher xG (2.40 vs 1.98).

Nacional41%
Draw ✓28%
Santa Clara30%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
3
Model 1.35 · xG 1.98
Santa Clara goals
3
Model 1.13 · xG 2.40
Total goals
6
Model 2.48 · xG 4.38
Score 3–3
1%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. RamírezNacional · 3 goals
10.0
  • RefereeFabio Jose Costa Verissimo
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 13th · Santa Clara 14th

Timeline

  1. Vinícius Lopes 0–1
    4’
  2. Léo SantosYellow card
    6’
  3. Paulo Victor 0–2
    15’
  4. J. Ramírez 1–2Assist Paulinho Bóia
    21’
  5. Sidney LimaYellow card
    24’
  6. Pablo RuanYellow card
    30’
  7. J. Ramírez (pen) 2–2
    38’
  8. Half time · 2–2
  9. ⇄ Daniel JúniorFor Pablo Ruan
    46’
  10. ⇄ DeivisonFor João Aurélio
    46’
  11. J. Ramírez 3–2Assist Liziero
    50’
  12. José TavaresYellow card
    52’
  13. ⇄ AdrianoFor Henrique Silva
    65’
  14. ⇄ Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosFor José Tavares
    65’
  15. Gustavo KlismahnYellow card
    71’
  16. Matheus DiasYellow card
    72’
  17. ⇄ Pedro FerreiraFor Serginho
    76’
  18. ⇄ Elias ManoelFor Gustavo Klismahn
    76’
  19. ⇄ WitiFor Paulinho Bóia
    76’
  20. ⇄ C. LabidiFor Miguel Baeza
    76’
  21. KaiqueYellow card
    81’
  22. ⇄ WelintonFor Paulo Victor
    83’
  23. ⇄ André SousaFor Liziero
    90’
  24. Luís RochaYellow card
    90+5’
  25. Elias Manoel 3–3Assist Gabriel Batista
    90+5’
  26. Full time · 3–3

Team stats

Nacional13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
Santa Clara21 shots · 13 in box, 8 outside
NacionalSanta Clara
46% Possession 54%
1.98 Expected goals (xG) 2.40
1.17 Expected points (xPts) 1.63
13 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 6
5 Shots off target 11
3 Blocked shots 4
9 Shots inside the box 13
4 Shots outside the box 8
345 Passes 393
80% Pass accuracy 81%
2 Corners 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.73 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

Nacional 4-4-2

15.9 Kaique(G)
56.2 José Gomes 386.7 Zé Vitor 345.3 Léo Santos 26.2 João Aurélio ↓46’
116.5 Paulinho Bóia A↓76’ 287.5 Liziero A↓90’ 66.3 Matheus Dias 996.2 Pablo Ruan ↓46’
910.0★ J. Ramírez 86.7 Miguel Baeza ↓76’
  • 1Kaique (G)5.9
  • 5José Gomes6.2
  • 38Zé Vitor6.7
  • 34Léo Santos5.3
  • 2João Aurélio↓46’6.2
  • 11Paulinho BóiaA↓76’6.5
  • 28LizieroA↓90’7.5
  • 6Matheus Dias6.3
  • 99Pablo Ruan↓46’6.2
  • 9J. Ramírez ★10.0
  • 8Miguel Baeza↓76’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 10Daniel Júnior↑46’6.3
  • 88Deivison↑46’7.0
  • 15C. Labidi↑76’6.7
  • 7Witi↑76’6.7
  • 18André Sousa↑90’

Unused: Lucas França, Francisco Gonçalves, Lenny Vallier, Lucas João

Santa Clara 3-1-4-2

16.5 Gabriel Batista(G) A
946.2 Henrique Silva ↓65’ 135.6 Luís Rocha 237.6 Sidney Lima
656.3 José Tavares ↓65’
647.3 Paulo Victor ↓83’ 776.6 Gustavo Klismahn ↓76’ 356.2 Serginho ↓76’ 426.3 Lucas Soares
107.0 Gabriel Silva 708.0 Vinícius Lopes
  • 1Gabriel Batista (G)A6.5
  • 94Henrique Silva↓65’6.2
  • 13Luís Rocha5.6
  • 23Sidney Lima7.6
  • 65José Tavares↓65’6.3
  • 64Paulo Victor↓83’7.3
  • 77Gustavo Klismahn↓76’6.6
  • 35Serginho↓76’6.2
  • 42Lucas Soares6.3
  • 10Gabriel Silva7.0
  • 70Vinícius Lopes8.0

Substitutes used

  • 6Adriano↑65’6.9
  • 11Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos↑65’6.9
  • 8Pedro Ferreira↑76’6.3
  • 7Elias Manoel↑76’7.0
  • 49Welinton↑83’6.7

Unused: Neneca, F. Ferrão Venâncio, Diogo Calila

Player stats

Top rated
J. RamírezNacional10.0
2nd
Vinícius LopesSanta Clara8.0
3rd
Sidney LimaSanta Clara7.6

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 50% 30 0 0 0/0 0/1 5.9
José Gomes D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 29 0 1 1/1 0/1 6.2
Zé Vitor D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 41 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 38 0 1 0/0 3/1 5.3
João Aurélio D 46 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 16 1 1 0/2 0/1 6.2
Paulinho Bóia F 76 0 1 1 (1) 1 64% 14 2 0 1/3 3/0 6.5
Liziero M 90 0 1 0 (0) 4 85% 47 2 2 1/2 0/1 7.5
Matheus Dias M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 41 2 2 0/1 5/1 6.3
Pablo Ruan M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 43% 7 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.2
J. Ramírez F 90 3 0 3 (3) 1 75% 20 0 0 2/2 0/1 10.0
Miguel Baeza M 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 21 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.7
Daniel Júnior F 44 0 0 2 (1) 0 88% 17 1 4 2/4 0/0 6.3
Deivison M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 12 2 0 1/2 0/0 7.0
C. Labidi M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 0 1/2 0/0 6.7
Witi F 14 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
André Sousa M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Santa Clara

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Gabriel Batista G 90 0 1 2 sv 1 64% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Henrique Silva D 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 33 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
Luís Rocha D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 45 2 0 0/1 1/0 5.6
Sidney Lima D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 47 1 0 0/1 1/0 7.6
José Tavares M 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 27 0 0 2/2 2/2 6.3
Paulo Victor D 83 1 0 2 (2) 1 74% 31 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.3
Gustavo Klismahn M 76 0 0 0 (0) 3 79% 24 1 0 0/2 2/2 6.6
Serginho M 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 46 2 0 0/1 0/1 6.2
Lucas Soares D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 78% 32 3 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
Gabriel Silva F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 79% 19 2 0 0/0 3/5 7.0
Vinícius Lopes F 90 1 0 5 (1) 0 95% 20 1 1 2/5 0/0 8.0
Adriano M 25 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 30 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos F 25 0 0 2 (1) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Pedro Ferreira M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Elias Manoel F 14 1 0 2 (1) 1 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
Welinton F 7 0 0 0 (0) 2 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.