Primeira Liga Gameweek 24 Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 18:00 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Nacional
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.81 – 2.48
SC Braga
  • Paulinho Bóia 59’
  • 11’, 90+6’ (P) R. Zalazar
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Zalazar’s late goal settles it for SC Braga

SC Braga entered as favourites and won 2–1 through two Zalazar goals. Nacional replied through a Bóia goal. SC Braga finished with the higher xG (2.48 vs 0.81).

Nacional20%
Draw26%
SC Braga ✓54%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
1
Model 0.91 · xG 0.81
SC Braga goals
2
Model 1.64 · xG 2.48
Total goals
3
Model 2.55 · xG 3.29
Score 1–2
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 49%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchKaiqueNacional
9.0
  • RefereeDiogo Rosa
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 14th · SC Braga 4th

Timeline

  1. R. Zalazar 0–1Assist Pau Víctor
    11’
  2. F. GrillitschYellow card · Roughing
    13’
  3. VAR Gabri MartínezGoal Disallowed - Foul
    15’
  4. Matheus DiasYellow card · Roughing
    26’
  5. Ricardo HortaYellow card · Holding
    28’
  6. Half time · 0–1
  7. ⇄ Paulo OliveiraFor A. Barišić
    46’
  8. Paulinho Bóia 1–1Assist André Sousa
    59’
  9. ⇄ M. DorgelesFor Gabri Martínez
    66’
  10. ⇄ João MoutinhoFor F. Grillitsch
    67’
  11. D. RodriguesYellow card · Roughing
    72’
  12. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor André Sousa
    74’
  13. ⇄ WitiFor Gabriel Veron
    74’
  14. Lenny VallierYellow card · Tripping
    77’
  15. ⇄ D. TıknazFor D. Rodrigues
    84’
  16. ⇄ Fran NavarroFor Pau Víctor
    84’
  17. R. Zalazar (pen) 1–2
    90+6’
  18. ⇄ Pablo RuanFor Lenny Vallier
    90+7’
  19. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor Liziero
    90+8’
  20. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Nacional12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
SC Braga20 shots · 16 in box, 4 outside
NacionalSC Braga
37% Possession 63%
0.81 Expected goals (xG) 2.48
0.46 Expected points (xPts) 2.38
12 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 8
2 Shots off target 7
6 Blocked shots 5
8 Shots inside the box 16
4 Shots outside the box 4
327 Passes 566
76% Pass accuracy 86%
2 Corners 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 7.08

Line-ups

Nacional 4-3-3

19.0★ Kaique(G)
246.2 Lenny Vallier ↓90’ 336.6 Francisco Gonçalves 346.5 Léo Santos 166.3 Alan Nuñez
187.2 André Sousa A↓74’ 66.6 Matheus Dias 286.7 Liziero ↓90’
118.5 Paulinho Bóia 96.3 J. Ramírez 276.9 Gabriel Veron ↓74’
  • 1Kaique (G) ★9.0
  • 24Lenny Vallier↓90’6.2
  • 33Francisco Gonçalves6.6
  • 34Léo Santos6.5
  • 16Alan Nuñez6.3
  • 18André SousaA↓74’7.2
  • 6Matheus Dias6.6
  • 28Liziero↓90’6.7
  • 11Paulinho Bóia8.5
  • 9J. Ramírez6.3
  • 27Gabriel Veron↓74’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 26Joel Silva↑74’6.3
  • 7Witi↑74’6.5
  • 99Pablo Ruan↑90’
  • 19Lucas João↑90’

Unused: Kevyn, Daniel Júnior, Deivison, Miguel Baeza, Martim Watts

SC Braga 3-4-3

16.3 L. Horníček(G)
267.2 B. Arrey-Mbi 147.5 G. Lagerbielke 376.9 A. Barišić ↓46’
776.2 Gabri Martínez ↓66’ 506.9 D. Rodrigues ↓84’ 276.7 F. Grillitsch ↓67’ 27.5 Víctor Gómez
216.2 Ricardo Horta 187.6 Pau Víctor A↓84’ 109.0 R. Zalazar
  • 1L. Horníček (G)6.3
  • 26B. Arrey-Mbi7.2
  • 14G. Lagerbielke7.5
  • 37A. Barišić↓46’6.9
  • 77Gabri Martínez↓66’6.2
  • 50D. Rodrigues↓84’6.9
  • 27F. Grillitsch↓67’6.7
  • 2Víctor Gómez7.5
  • 21Ricardo Horta6.2
  • 18Pau VíctorA↓84’7.6
  • 10R. Zalazar9.0

Substitutes used

  • 15Paulo Oliveira↑46’6.7
  • 8João Moutinho↑67’6.9
  • 34D. Tıknaz↑84’6.7
  • 20M. Dorgeles↑66’6.3
  • 39Fran Navarro↑84’6.5

Unused: Tiago Sá, Leonardo Lelo, Yanis da Rocha, Gabriel Moscardo

Player stats

Top rated
KaiqueNacional9.0
2nd
R. ZalazarSC Braga9.0
3rd
Paulinho BóiaNacional8.5

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 62% 42 0 0 0/0 0/1 9.0
Lenny Vallier D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 68% 25 1 0 0/2 1/1 6.2
Francisco Gonçalves D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 42 3 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 37 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.5
Alan Nuñez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 19 0 2 1/1 2/0 6.3
André Sousa M 74 0 1 0 (0) 2 88% 25 2 0 0/0 0/3 7.2
Matheus Dias M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 82% 34 2 1 0/0 2/1 6.6
Liziero M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 71% 34 2 1 1/1 3/1 6.7
Paulinho Bóia F 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 69% 26 1 1 1/2 0/2 8.5
J. Ramírez F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 17 2 0 0/2 2/2 6.3
Gabriel Veron F 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 12 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
Joel Silva M 16 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 3 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
Witi F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.5
Pablo Ruan M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Lucas João F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

SC Braga

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Horníček G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 86% 22 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
B. Arrey-Mbi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 65 1 3 1/1 0/0 7.2
G. Lagerbielke D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 66 1 0 1/1 2/1 7.5
A. Barišić D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 36 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.9
Gabri Martínez F 66 0 0 3 (0) 1 86% 21 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
D. Rodrigues M 84 0 0 0 (0) 7 88% 75 0 3 0/1 0/0 6.9
F. Grillitsch M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 42 1 1 0/0 2/2 6.7
Víctor Gómez D 90 0 0 3 (2) 2 71% 42 5 0 0/1 0/1 7.5
Ricardo Horta F 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 86% 51 0 1 0/0 2/1 6.2
Pau Víctor F 84 0 1 2 (1) 2 85% 27 1 0 1/1 1/2 7.6
R. Zalazar M 90 2 0 4 (4) 2 76% 37 2 0 2/8 0/3 9.0
Paulo Oliveira D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 26 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.7
João Moutinho M 23 0 0 1 (1) 0 96% 26 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
D. Tıknaz M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
M. Dorgeles M 24 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 20 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.3
Fran Navarro F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.