Primeira Liga Gameweek 14 Mon, Dec 15 2025 · 17:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Nacional
3–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.55 – 3.28
Tondela
  • Zé Vitor 68’
  • J. Ramírez 90+9’, 90+15’ (P)
  • Deivison 22’
  • 49’ N. Maviram
  • 90+13’ Brayan Medina
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nacional come from behind to beat Tondela

Nacional entered as narrow favourites, yet Tondela led 1–0 after 49 minutes through a Maviram goal. But Vitor and Ramírez scored to turn it around for Nacional, who won 3–1. Nacional played with ten men from the 22nd minute after Deivison was sent off. Nacional won despite the lower xG; Tondela created the better chances (3.28 vs 1.55). On the chances created, Tondela deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nacional ✓46%
Draw28%
Tondela26%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
3
Model 1.44 · xG 1.55
Tondela goals
1
Model 1.02 · xG 3.28
Total goals
4
Model 2.47 · xG 4.83
Score 3–1
4%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchZé VitorNacional · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeRicardo Baixinho
  • Coaches— · Ivo Vieira
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 14th · Tondela 17th

Timeline

  1. Christian MarquesYellow card
    20’
  2. DeivisonRed card
    22’
  3. ⇄ João AurélioFor Miguel Baeza
    24’
  4. WitiYellow card
    35’
  5. ✕ Pedro HenryqueMissed penalty
    37’
  6. Half time · 0–0
  7. ⇄ André CeitilFor Christian Marques
    46’
  8. N. Maviram 0–1Assist Pedro Henryque
    49’
  9. Léo SantosYellow card · misses next match
    54’
  10. J. SiebatcheuYellow card
    54’
  11. N. MaviramYellow card
    60’
  12. ⇄ C. LabidiFor Matheus Dias
    61’
  13. ⇄ Pablo RuanFor Witi
    61’
  14. Juan RodríguezYellow card
    62’
  15. Hugo FélixYellow card
    66’
  16. Zé Vitor 1–1
    68’
  17. ⇄ Hélder TavaresFor N. Maviram
    71’
  18. ⇄ Afonso RodriguesFor Juan Rodríguez
    71’
  19. ⇄ YarlenFor Ivan Cavaleiro
    79’
  20. ⇄ J. HodgeFor Hugo Félix
    82’
  21. Afonso RodriguesYellow card
    90’
  22. João AurélioYellow card
    90’
  23. ⇄ André SousaFor Liziero
    90+2’
  24. ✕ J. SiebatcheuMissed penalty
    90+8’
  25. J. Ramírez 2–1
    90+9’
  26. Paulinho BóiaYellow card
    90+11’
  27. André SousaYellow card
    90+11’
  28. Brayan MedinaRed card
    90+13’
  29. J. Ramírez (pen) 3–1
    90+15’
  30. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Nacional8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
Tondela21 shots · 14 in box, 7 outside
NacionalTondela
44% Possession 56%
1.55 Expected goals (xG) 3.28
0.58 Expected points (xPts) 2.27
8 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 8
1 Blocked shots 8
6 Shots inside the box 14
2 Shots outside the box 7
294 Passes 351
72% Pass accuracy 80%
3 Corners 10
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
11 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3
5 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1
7.07 Team rating 6.40

Line-ups

Nacional 4-3-3

17.6 Kaique(G)
246.7 Lenny Vallier 388.0★ Zé Vitor 347.0 Léo Santos 883.3 Deivison
286.6 Liziero ↓90’ 66.9 Matheus Dias ↓61’ 86.3 Miguel Baeza ↓24’
117.9 Paulinho Bóia 97.3 J. Ramírez 76.9 Witi ↓61’
  • 1Kaique (G)7.6
  • 24Lenny Vallier6.7
  • 38Zé Vitor ★8.0
  • 34Léo Santos7.0
  • 88Deivison3.3
  • 28Liziero↓90’6.6
  • 6Matheus Dias↓61’6.9
  • 8Miguel Baeza↓24’6.3
  • 11Paulinho Bóia7.9
  • 9J. Ramírez7.3
  • 7Witi↓61’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 2João Aurélio↑24’7.2
  • 15C. Labidi↑61’5.9
  • 99Pablo Ruan↑61’7.2
  • 18André Sousa↑90’6.6

Unused: Lucas França, Francisco Gonçalves, Daniel Júnior, Lucas João, M. Nourani

Tondela 4-2-3-1

315.9 Bernardo Fontes(G)
607.2 N. Maviram ↓71’ 206.3 Brayan Medina 47.3 Christian Marques ↓46’ 487.0 Tiago Manso
156.9 S. Sithole 326.7 Juan Rodríguez ↓71’
176.2 Ivan Cavaleiro ↓79’ 795.6 Hugo Félix ↓82’ 76.3 Pedro Henryque A
295.3 J. Siebatcheu
  • 31Bernardo Fontes (G)5.9
  • 60N. Maviram↓71’7.2
  • 20Brayan Medina6.3
  • 4Christian Marques↓46’7.3
  • 48Tiago Manso7.0
  • 15S. Sithole6.9
  • 32Juan Rodríguez↓71’6.7
  • 17Ivan Cavaleiro↓79’6.2
  • 79Hugo Félix↓82’5.6
  • 7Pedro HenryqueA6.3
  • 29J. Siebatcheu5.3

Substitutes used

  • 6André Ceitil↑46’6.9
  • 8Hélder Tavares↑71’6.7
  • 19Afonso Rodrigues↑71’6.3
  • 67Yarlen↑79’6.3
  • 10J. Hodge↑82’6.2

Unused: Gabriel Souza, João Afonso, Cicero, Y. Rodriguez

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Player stats

Top rated
Zé VitorNacional8.0
2nd
Paulinho BóiaNacional7.9
3rd
KaiqueNacional7.6

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 57% 35 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.6
Lenny Vallier D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.7
Zé Vitor D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 71% 45 0 1 0/0 1/1 8.0
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 48 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
Deivison M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 0 0/0 1/1 3.3
Liziero M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 33 3 1 0/0 1/3 6.6
Matheus Dias M 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 26 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Miguel Baeza M 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Paulinho Bóia F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 67% 15 0 0 1/3 1/1 7.9
J. Ramírez F 90 2 0 4 (2) 2 77% 13 0 0 1/1 2/2 7.3
Witi F 61 0 0 0 (0) 1 55% 11 0 0 1/1 2/2 6.9
João Aurélio D 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 23 2 1 0/0 1/2 7.2
C. Labidi M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 55% 11 0 0 0/0 2/1 5.9
Pablo Ruan M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/1 0/0 7.2
André Sousa M 1 0 0 0 (0) 1 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Tondela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Bernardo Fontes G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 55% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
N. Maviram D 71 1 0 1 (1) 1 78% 18 0 0 0/0 2/1 7.2
Brayan Medina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 36 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
Christian Marques D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 21 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
Tiago Manso D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 39 2 0 1/1 2/2 7.0
S. Sithole M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 32 3 1 0/0 2/3 6.9
Juan Rodríguez M 71 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 35 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
Ivan Cavaleiro F 79 0 0 3 (0) 0 78% 23 0 0 2/5 1/0 6.2
Hugo Félix M 82 0 0 1 (0) 3 76% 34 0 1 0/0 1/1 5.6
Pedro Henryque M 90 0 1 4 (2) 5 82% 28 0 3 1/1 0/0 6.3
J. Siebatcheu F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 72% 18 0 0 0/0 3/1 5.3
André Ceitil M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 16 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
Hélder Tavares M 19 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 14 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Afonso Rodrigues F 19 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 6 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Yarlen F 11 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
J. Hodge M 8 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 7 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.