Premier League Gameweek 6 Sun, Sep 28 2025 · 16:30 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
1–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.61 – 2.04
  • N. Woltemade 34’
  • 84’ Mikel Merino
  • 90’ Gabriel Magalhães
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arsenal come from behind to beat Newcastle

Arsenal entered as favourites, yet Newcastle led 1–0 at half-time through a Woltemade goal. But Merino and Magalhães scored to turn it around for Arsenal, who won 2–1. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (2.04 vs 0.61).

Newcastle28%
Draw25%
Arsenal ✓47%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
1
Model 1.25 · xG 0.61
Arsenal goals
2
Model 1.69 · xG 2.04
Total goals
3
Model 2.95 · xG 2.65
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchGabriel MagalhãesArsenal · 1 goal
8.7
  • RefereeJarred Gillett
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 15th · Arsenal 7th

Timeline

  1. VAR V. GyökeresPenalty cancelled
    15’
  2. N. Woltemade 1–0Assist S. Tonali
    34’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ W. SalibaFor Cristhian Mosquera
    46’
  5. R. CalafioriYellow card · Foul
    56’
  6. ⇄ A. ElangaFor J. Murphy
    66’
  7. ⇄ K. TrippierFor A. Gordon
    67’
  8. ⇄ W. OsulaFor N. Woltemade
    67’
  9. ⇄ Gabriel MartinelliFor B. Saka
    70’
  10. ⇄ Mikel MerinoFor R. Calafiori
    70’
  11. ⇄ J. LascellesFor V. Livramento
    77’
  12. ⇄ M. ØdegaardFor Martín Zubimendi
    82’
  13. JoelintonYellow card · Time wasting
    83’
  14. Mikel Merino 1–1Assist D. Rice
    84’
  15. D. BurnYellow card · Foul
    88’
  16. ⇄ M. Lewis-SkellyFor L. Trossard
    88’
  17. Gabriel Magalhães 1–2Assist M. Ødegaard
    90’
  18. ⇄ H. BarnesFor Joelinton
    90+4’
  19. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Newcastle8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
Arsenal20 shots · 18 in box, 2 outside
NewcastleArsenal
37% Possession 63%
0.61 Expected goals (xG) 2.04
0.49 Expected points (xPts) 2.32
8 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 7
1 Shots off target 7
4 Blocked shots 6
7 Shots inside the box 18
1 Shots outside the box 2
279 Passes 495
70% Pass accuracy 82%
7 Corners 12
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.86 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

17.9 N. Pope(G)
336.2 D. Burn 47.3 S. Botman 126.6 M. Thiaw 216.9 V. Livramento ↓77’
76.3 Joelinton ↓90’ 87.7 S. Tonali A 396.3 Bruno Guimarães
106.9 A. Gordon ↓67’ 277.0 N. Woltemade ↓67’ 236.9 J. Murphy ↓66’
  • 1N. Pope (G)7.9
  • 33D. Burn6.2
  • 4S. Botman7.3
  • 12M. Thiaw6.6
  • 21V. Livramento↓77’6.9
  • 7Joelinton↓90’6.3
  • 8S. TonaliA7.7
  • 39Bruno Guimarães6.3
  • 10A. Gordon↓67’6.9
  • 27N. Woltemade↓67’7.0
  • 23J. Murphy↓66’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 2K. Trippier↑67’6.3
  • 6J. Lascelles↑77’6.2
  • 11H. Barnes↑90’
  • 20A. Elanga↑66’6.6
  • 18W. Osula↑67’6.2

Unused: A. Ramsdale, E. Krafth, J. Willock, L. Miley

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

16.7 David Raya(G)
336.2 R. Calafiori ↓70’ 68.7★ Gabriel Magalhães 36.2 Cristhian Mosquera ↓46’ 127.0 J. Timber
418.0 D. Rice A 367.3 Martín Zubimendi ↓82’
196.2 L. Trossard ↓88’ 106.5 E. Eze 76.3 B. Saka ↓70’
145.9 V. Gyökeres
  • 1David Raya (G)6.7
  • 33R. Calafiori↓70’6.2
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães ★8.7
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera↓46’6.2
  • 12J. Timber7.0
  • 41D. RiceA8.0
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↓82’7.3
  • 19L. Trossard↓88’6.2
  • 10E. Eze6.5
  • 7B. Saka↓70’6.3
  • 14V. Gyökeres5.9

Substitutes used

  • 8M. ØdegaardA↑82’7.3
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↑70’6.9
  • 2W. Saliba↑46’6.9
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↑88’6.3
  • 23Mikel Merino↑70’7.9

Unused: Kepa, B. White, M. Dowman, C. Nørgaard

Player stats

Top rated
Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal8.7
2nd
D. RiceArsenal8.0
3rd
N. PopeNewcastle7.9

Newcastle

Arsenal

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.