Premier League Gameweek 23 Sun, Jan 25 2026 · 14:00 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Newcastle
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.18 – 1.16
Aston Villa
  • 19’ E. Buendía
  • 88’ O. Watkins
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa beat Newcastle

Aston Villa won 2–0 through goals from Buendía and Watkins. Aston Villa won despite the lower xG; Newcastle created the better chances (2.18 vs 1.16). On the chances created, Newcastle deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Newcastle38%
Draw26%
Aston Villa ✓36%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
0
Model 1.52 · xG 2.18
Aston Villa goals
2
Model 1.48 · xG 1.16
Total goals
2
Model 2.99 · xG 3.34
Score 0–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
No
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. PopeNewcastle
8.3
  • RefereeJarred Gillett
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 9th · Aston Villa 3rd

Timeline

  1. E. Buendía 0–1Assist M. Rogers
    19’
  2. JoelintonYellow card · Foul
    27’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ J. RamseyFor Joelinton
    48’
  5. ⇄ L. BaileyFor J. Sancho
    59’
  6. ⇄ N. WoltemadeFor Y. Wissa
    62’
  7. ⇄ A. ElangaFor A. Gordon
    63’
  8. ⇄ L. BogardeFor Y. Tielemans
    74’
  9. ⇄ T. MingsFor Pau Torres
    75’
  10. ⇄ L. DigneFor E. Buendía
    75’
  11. L. DigneYellow card · Foul
    79’
  12. ⇄ J. WillockFor S. Tonali
    84’
  13. O. Watkins 0–2Assist L. Digne
    88’
  14. ⇄ V. LindelöfFor A. Onana
    89’
  15. I. MaatsenYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Newcastle15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
Aston Villa14 shots · 7 in box, 7 outside
NewcastleAston Villa
61% Possession 39%
2.18 Expected goals (xG) 1.16
2.02 Expected points (xPts) 0.78
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 8
4 Shots off target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 7
6 Shots outside the box 7
519 Passes 353
86% Pass accuracy 77%
6 Corners 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 7.18

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

18.3★ N. Pope(G)
36.9 L. Hall 47.0 S. Botman 126.9 M. Thiaw 26.2 K. Trippier
76.3 Joelinton ↓48’ 87.9 S. Tonali ↓84’ 677.0 L. Miley
107.2 A. Gordon ↓63’ 96.3 Y. Wissa ↓62’ 115.9 H. Barnes
  • 1N. Pope (G) ★8.3
  • 3L. Hall6.9
  • 4S. Botman7.0
  • 12M. Thiaw6.9
  • 2K. Trippier6.2
  • 7Joelinton↓48’6.3
  • 8S. Tonali↓84’7.9
  • 67L. Miley7.0
  • 10A. Gordon↓63’7.2
  • 9Y. Wissa↓62’6.3
  • 11H. Barnes5.9

Substitutes used

  • 28J. Willock↑84’6.3
  • 41J. Ramsey↑48’6.9
  • 27N. Woltemade↑62’6.2
  • 20A. Elanga↑63’6.6

Unused: A. Ramsdale, D. Burn, L. Shahar, W. Osula, A. Murphy

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

238.3 E. Martínez(G)
227.2 I. Maatsen 146.7 Pau Torres ↓75’ 46.9 E. Konsa 26.9 M. Cash
87.2 Y. Tielemans ↓74’ 247.2 A. Onana ↓89’
107.9 E. Buendía ↓75’ 277.2 M. Rogers A 196.5 J. Sancho ↓59’
117.2 O. Watkins
  • 23E. Martínez (G)8.3
  • 22I. Maatsen7.2
  • 14Pau Torres↓75’6.7
  • 4E. Konsa6.9
  • 2M. Cash6.9
  • 8Y. Tielemans↓74’7.2
  • 24A. Onana↓89’7.2
  • 10E. Buendía↓75’7.9
  • 27M. RogersA7.2
  • 19J. Sancho↓59’6.5
  • 11O. Watkins7.2

Substitutes used

  • 3V. Lindelöf↑89’6.9
  • 5T. Mings↑75’6.6
  • 31L. Bailey↑59’6.5
  • 26L. Bogarde↑74’6.7
  • 12L. DigneA↑75’7.5

Unused: M. Bizot, H. Elliott, E. Guessand, George Hemmings

Player stats

Top rated
N. PopeNewcastle8.3
2nd
E. MartínezAston Villa8.3
3rd
S. TonaliNewcastle7.9

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Pope G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 79% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.3
L. Hall D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 90% 42 3 0 3/4 0/1 6.9
S. Botman D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 90% 77 3 1 0/0 0/1 7.0
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 65 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
K. Trippier D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 70 2 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
Joelinton F 48 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 20 2 0 0/0 2/3 6.3
S. Tonali M 84 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 67 7 1 5/6 1/0 7.9
L. Miley M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 86% 59 3 0 1/1 1/0 7.0
A. Gordon F 63 0 0 1 (0) 2 71% 14 0 0 0/0 0/2 7.2
Y. Wissa M 62 0 0 1 (1) 1 83% 12 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
H. Barnes M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 64% 28 0 0 1/3 1/1 5.9
J. Willock M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Ramsey M 42 0 0 1 (0) 0 96% 25 3 1 1/1 0/0 6.9
N. Woltemade F 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
A. Elanga F 27 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 10 0 0 1/1 0/2 6.6

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 38% 48 0 0 0/0 0/2 8.3
I. Maatsen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 26 2 0 1/1 1/1 7.2
Pau Torres D 75 0 0 2 (0) 0 77% 26 0 2 0/1 1/0 6.7
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Cash D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 23 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.9
Y. Tielemans M 74 0 0 0 (0) 2 76% 33 1 2 0/0 0/1 7.2
A. Onana M 89 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 32 3 2 0/0 3/1 7.2
E. Buendía M 75 1 0 4 (3) 0 88% 24 4 0 0/1 1/0 7.9
M. Rogers F 90 0 1 2 (2) 2 79% 34 4 0 2/11 2/2 7.2
J. Sancho F 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 18 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.5
O. Watkins F 90 1 0 4 (3) 2 78% 23 4 0 2/4 0/0 7.2
V. Lindelöf D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
T. Mings D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Bailey M 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 14 2 0 0/2 0/0 6.5
L. Bogarde M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Digne D 15 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 7 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.