Premier League Gameweek 7 Sun, Oct 5 2025 · 14:00 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Newcastle
2–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 3.45 – 0.30
Nottingham Forest
  • Bruno Guimarães 58’
  • N. Woltemade 84’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Newcastle beat Nottingham Forest

Newcastle entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Guimarães and Woltemade. Newcastle finished with the higher xG (3.45 vs 0.30).

Newcastle ✓58%
Draw23%
Nottingham Forest20%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
2
Model 1.98 · xG 3.45
Nottingham Forest goals
0
Model 1.08 · xG 0.30
Total goals
2
Model 3.05 · xG 3.75
Score 2–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBruno GuimarãesNewcastle · 1 goal
9.5
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 15th · Nottingham Forest 17th

Timeline

  1. R. YatesYellow card · Foul
    32’
  2. N. WilliamsYellow card · Foul
    34’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. Bruno Guimarães 1–0Assist D. Burn
    58’
  5. ⇄ Igor JesusFor C. Wood
    64’
  6. ⇄ C. Hudson-OdoiFor R. Yates
    64’
  7. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor D. Ndoye
    65’
  8. MoratoYellow card · Foul
    68’
  9. ⇄ J. MurphyFor A. Elanga
    70’
  10. ⇄ H. BarnesFor A. Gordon
    70’
  11. ⇄ D. BakwaFor Morato
    77’
  12. E. AndersonYellow card · Foul
    83’
  13. N. Woltemade (pen) 2–0
    84’
  14. ⇄ W. OsulaFor N. Woltemade
    90+2’
  15. ⇄ L. MileyFor Joelinton
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Newcastle18 shots · 13 in box, 5 outside
Nottingham Forest5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
NewcastleNottingham Forest
51% Possession 49%
3.45 Expected goals (xG) 0.30
2.85 Expected points (xPts) 0.09
18 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
13 Shots inside the box 4
5 Shots outside the box 1
464 Passes 452
83% Pass accuracy 82%
8 Corners 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
16 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.16 Team rating 6.88

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

16.6 N. Pope(G)
336.9 D. Burn A 47.5 S. Botman 127.2 M. Thiaw 27.3 K. Trippier
76.6 Joelinton ↓90’ 87.2 S. Tonali 399.5★ Bruno Guimarães
106.3 A. Gordon ↓70’ 277.2 N. Woltemade ↓90’ 206.2 A. Elanga ↓70’
  • 1N. Pope (G)6.6
  • 33D. BurnA6.9
  • 4S. Botman7.5
  • 12M. Thiaw7.2
  • 2K. Trippier7.3
  • 7Joelinton↓90’6.6
  • 8S. Tonali7.2
  • 39Bruno Guimarães ★9.5
  • 10A. Gordon↓70’6.3
  • 27N. Woltemade↓90’7.2
  • 20A. Elanga↓70’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 23J. Murphy↑70’7.0
  • 11H. Barnes↑70’6.5
  • 18W. Osula↑90’
  • 67L. Miley↑90’

Unused: A. Ramsdale, J. Lascelles, E. Krafth, J. Willock, F. Schär

Nottingham Forest 3-4-3

268.6 M. Sels(G)
47.0 Morato ↓77’ 316.5 N. Milenković 236.7 Jair
37.2 N. Williams 86.9 E. Anderson 226.5 R. Yates ↓64’ 376.2 N. Savona
146.9 D. Ndoye ↓65’ 116.3 C. Wood ↓64’ 107.0 M. Gibbs-White
  • 26M. Sels (G)8.6
  • 4Morato↓77’7.0
  • 31N. Milenković6.5
  • 23Jair6.7
  • 3N. Williams7.2
  • 8E. Anderson6.9
  • 22R. Yates↓64’6.5
  • 37N. Savona6.2
  • 14D. Ndoye↓65’6.9
  • 11C. Wood↓64’6.3
  • 10M. Gibbs-White7.0

Substitutes used

  • 29D. Bakwa↑77’6.5
  • 19Igor Jesus↑64’6.6
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↑64’6.6
  • 21O. Hutchinson↑65’6.5

Unused: John Victor, I. Sangaré, J. McAtee, Murillo, N. Domínguez

Player stats

Top rated
Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle9.5
2nd
M. SelsNottingham Forest8.6
3rd
S. BotmanNewcastle7.5

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Pope G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 29% 14 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
D. Burn D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 79% 28 1 1 0/0 2/2 6.9
S. Botman D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 87% 53 1 0 0/0 2/0 7.5
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 91% 46 1 3 0/0 1/1 7.2
K. Trippier D 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 83% 83 3 0 0/1 3/0 7.3
Joelinton F 90 0 0 3 (2) 1 92% 36 1 3 0/1 3/1 6.6
S. Tonali M 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 88% 69 3 1 1/1 1/1 7.2
Bruno Guimarães M 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 81% 54 3 0 1/1 3/5 9.5
A. Gordon F 70 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 22 1 0 1/2 0/1 6.3
N. Woltemade F 90 1 0 2 (1) 1 100% 17 2 0 0/0 1/2 7.2
A. Elanga F 70 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 27 0 0 1/5 0/1 6.2
J. Murphy M 20 0 0 1 (1) 2 50% 10 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
H. Barnes M 20 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
W. Osula F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
L. Miley M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 1 0/0 0/0 —

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 48% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.6
Morato D 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 45 1 2 0/0 1/1 7.0
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 41 1 2 0/0 1/1 6.5
Jair D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 47 2 2 1/1 0/0 6.7
N. Williams D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 42 4 0 2/2 2/1 7.2
E. Anderson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 69 2 0 3/4 2/5 6.9
R. Yates M 64 0 0 1 (1) 0 93% 29 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
N. Savona D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 36 0 0 1/1 2/0 6.2
D. Ndoye F 65 0 0 0 (0) 2 92% 13 1 1 2/3 2/2 6.9
C. Wood F 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 55% 11 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
M. Gibbs-White M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 84% 50 0 1 1/2 0/4 7.0
D. Bakwa F 13 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Igor Jesus F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 8 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
C. Hudson-Odoi F 26 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 9 0 1 3/5 0/0 6.6
O. Hutchinson F 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.